Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 1240 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009 OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-091000- HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE- ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM- WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND- POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN- COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON- CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER- WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- 1240 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN... CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. LOCATION... THE SLIGHT RISK IS SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM SHAWNEE TO LAWTON OKLAHOMA TO SEYMOUR TEXAS. TIMING... SEVERE WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IMPACTS... HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS CAUSING DAMAGE TO AUTOMOBILES... VEGETATION AND ROOFS...WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE A SECONDARY POSSIBILITY. RECOMMENDED ACTIONS... STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE RISK AREA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SEVERE OPERATIONS OVERNIGHT. DISCUSSION... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. INSTABILITY IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM... PRIMARILY CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO AROUND GOLF BALL SIZE. PROBABILITY TABLE... VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY MAY 9. PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT. PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...100 PERCENT. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... HEAVY RAINFALL HAS LEFT THE GROUND SATURATED ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AGAIN ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... NONE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM SATURDAY. $$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 800 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-100100- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 800 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT... ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF NORTH TEXAS. LARGE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IN ALSO POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF...AS THE COLD FRONT FLUCTUATES AROUND NORTH TEXAS. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR. $$
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 313 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2009 NMZ005-007-091100- FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...LAS VEGAS/RATON 313 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2009 .NOW... ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST OVERNIGHT. IN COLFAX COUNTY...SHOWERS CROSSING INTERSTATE 25 BETWEEN RATON PASS AND SPRINGER WILL MOVE EAST TOWARD THE UNION COUNTY LINE...AND MOVE TOWARD CAPULIN...FOLSOM...DES MOINES...AND ACROSS HIGHWAYS 64 AND 87. EXPECT RAINFALL OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH AS THESE SHOWERS MOVE THROUGH. $$ SHY
SHORT TERM FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 310 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-091030- ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA- DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON- HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS- LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO- PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT- WISE-YOUNG- 310 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009 .NOW... DISSIPATING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEAST TEXAS HAVE RESULTED IN DAMAGING WINDS FAR FROM THE ORIGINAL STORMS. TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN IN PARIS BY WINDS MEASURED AT 65 MPH. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION THAT HAS PERSISTED SINCE THE EVENING HOURS HAS LARGELY DISSIPATED...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE THROUGH DAYBREAK. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. OTHERWISE...MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST UNTIL A COLD FRONT USHERS NOTICEABLY MORE PLEASANT AIR OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY. $$ 25
SHORT TERM FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 255 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009 OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-091000- ALFALFA-ARCHER-ATOKA-BAYLOR-BECKHAM-BLAINE-BRYAN-CADDO-CANADIAN- CARTER-CLAY-CLEVELAND-COAL-COMANCHE-COTTON-CUSTER-DEWEY-ELLIS-FOARD- GARFIELD-GARVIN-GRADY-GRANT-GREER-HARDEMAN-HARMON-HARPER-HUGHES- JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSTON-KAY-KINGFISHER-KIOWA-KNOX-LINCOLN-SLOGAN- LOVE-MAJOR-MARSHALL-MCCLAIN-MURRAY-NOBLE-OKLAHOMA-PAYNE-PONTOTOC- POTTAWATOMIE-ROGER MILLS-SEMINOLE-STEPHENS-TILLMAN-WASHITA-WICHITA- WILBARGER- 257 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009 .NOW... ...REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT FROM NEAR HOLDENVILLE... TO PAULS VALLEY... TO NEAR WICHITA FALLS TEXAS... WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST EARLY THIS MORNING. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT. SOUTH OF THE FRONT... WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE... WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S. TO THE NORTH... TEMPERATURES ARE MOSTLY IN THE 60S... AND HUMIDITIES ARE GENERALLY MUCH LOWER. $$ CMS