Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
309 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2009
NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-081100-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...
SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON...
BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...PECOS...MENTONE...
RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...
MONAHANS...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...ALPINE...
FORT DAVIS...FORT STOCKTON...PRESIDIO...MARFA...BIG BEND NP...
MARATHON...SANDERSON...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
309 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2009 /209 PM MDT THU MAY 7 2009/
...VERY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND FRIDAY...
NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE SET TO AFFECT
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS TODAY AND FRIDAY AS A DRY AND
WARM AIR MASS REMAINS OVER THE AREA. READINGS OF 95 TO 105 DEGREES
WILL BE COMMON OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS...WHILE TEMPERATURES
WILL BE NEAR 110 ALONG THE RIO GRANDE RIVER AND THE TRANS PECOS
REGION.
TO GAUGE HOW HOT IT WILL BE...THE RECORD HIGHS FOR TODAY AND FRIDAY
AT MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ARE 101 DEGREES SET IN 2000 AND 106
DEGREES SET IN 1989...RESPECTIVELY. THE TEMPERATURE OFFICIALLY HIT
100 DEGREES AT MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT SHORTLY AFTER 2 PM
CDT THURSDAY...AND WITH A FEW MORE HOURS OF HEATING...THE
TEMPERATURE COULD CLIMB TO NEAR 103 DEGREES. THE FORECAST HIGH
FOR FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO PEAK NEAR 106 DEGREES. BY COMPARISON...
THE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR EARLY MAY AT THE MIDLAND
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS 84 DEGREES.
ALL PARTICIPATING IN OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES SHOULD EXERCISE HEAT
SAFETY PRECAUTIONS AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
350 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-090900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
350 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009 /250 AM MDT FRI MAY 8 2009/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
RECORD TO NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL IMPACT THE REGION AGAIN
TODAY WITH MOST AREA RESIDENTS EXPERIENCING HIGHS OF 100 DEGREES
OR MORE. THOSE PARTICIPATING IN OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES SHOULD USE HEAT
SAFETY PRECAUTIONS AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER. IN ADDITION... DRY
AND WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS HAVE LED TO A
RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
330 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2009
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-081115-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
330 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
THERE WILL BE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES FRIDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. OTHERWISE NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1158 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2009
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-081000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1158 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA.
LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK COVERS LOCATIONS NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE EXTENDING
FROM BUFFALO...TO KINGFISHER...TO EDMOND...TO CHANDLER.
TIMING...
ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON OR EVENING...THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
IMPACTS...
DAMAGE TO AUTOMOBILES...VEGETATION...AND ROOFS FROM LARGE HAIL.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS FROM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION...
WARM TEMPERATURES AND PLENTIFUL MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO VERY
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...DUE TO A MODERATE
CAPPING INVERSION AND LACK OF FOCUSING MECHANISMS...ANY STORMS THAT
FORM DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY WILL BE ISOLATED.
DURING THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS...A STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET
IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL PROVIDE STRONG
LIFT NEAR A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH KANSAS.
A COMPLEX OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
OVER KANSAS OR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT AND MOVE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST. THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO ALLOW LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT FRIDAY MAY 8.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...80 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...80 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
SOILS ARE SATURATED ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION...SO ANY HEAVY RAIN
WITH THUNDERSTORMS COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
A COLD FRONT...AIDED BY POSSIBLE OUTFLOWS FROM THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY MORNING THUNDERSTORMS...WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. EXTREME INSTABILITY AND
STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL PROVIDE AN ENVIRONMENT FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE
WEATHER THAT WOULD INCLUDE GIANT HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
TORNADOES. THE MOST WIDESPREAD STORMS ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE
OVER CENTRAL AND PRIMARILY SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...
HOWEVER...THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LOWER ON SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY AS THE MENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO TEXAS. WARM
AND MORE UNSTABLE AIR IS EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT
WEEK ALLOWING THE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO RETURN TO OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
WITH EACH EPISODE OF RAIN... MOST OF THE RAIN WILL RESULT IN RAPID
RUNOFF AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. MAINSTEM RIVER FLOODING MAY ALSO OCCUR
WITH REPEATED RAINFALL.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
FRIDAY.
$$
03
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1137 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2009
TXZ021>044-081645-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1137 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
CONVECTIVE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING OVER THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHERN
ROLLING PLAINS. IF THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP...THEY MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...MAINLY OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE AND
THE ROLLING PLAINS. OTHERWISE THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
A FEW STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED LATE TODAY OVER THE EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE AND NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS.
$$
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
345 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-081000-
ALFALFA-ARCHER-ATOKA-BAYLOR-BECKHAM-BLAINE-BRYAN-CADDO-CANADIAN-
CARTER-CLAY-CLEVELAND-COAL-COMANCHE-COTTON-CUSTER-DEWEY-ELLIS-FOARD-
GARFIELD-GARVIN-GRADY-GRANT-GREER-HARDEMAN-HARMON-HARPER-HUGHES-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSTON-KAY-KINGFISHER-KIOWA-KNOX-LINCOLN-SLOGAN-
LOVE-MAJOR-MARSHALL-MCCLAIN-MURRAY-NOBLE-OKLAHOMA-PAYNE-PONTOTOC-
POTTAWATOMIE-ROGER MILLS-SEMINOLE-STEPHENS-TILLMAN-WASHITA-WICHITA-
WILBARGER-
347 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
.NOW...
...REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
A LARGE COMPLEX OF STRONG AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS... CENTERED OVER
SOUTHERN KANSAS... WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY 5 AM. THE
STORMS WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN... STRONG WINDS... HAIL... AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST EARLY THIS
MORNING... AND ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST HALF OF
OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING.
THE REST OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS CAN EXPECT A WARM AND VERY
HUMID NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING... WITH AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG.
$$
CMS
