Flood Warning
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
922 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
LAC017-TXC067-203-315-091422-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0039.090510T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCOL1.1.ER.090510T0300Z.090512T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BIG CYPRESS BAYOU AT CADDO LAKE AT MOORINSPORT LOUISIANA.
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
IS CANCELLED.
* AT 800 AM FRIDAY THE POOL STAGE WAS 171.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 172 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY LATE EVENING AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 174.2 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AREA RESIDENTS IN CYPRESS VILLAGE AND NEAR CADDO LAKE STATE PARK
NEED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR HIGH WATER. SECURE BOATS AND
DOCKS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT AS ACCESS ROADS
OVERFLOW. MOVE BELONGINGS TO HIGHER GROUND.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
919 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
TXC183-203-315-459-091419-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-090511T0000Z/
/JFFT2.2.ER.090507T1921Z.090508T1800Z.090510T0600Z.NO/
919 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LITTLE CYPRESS BAYOU NEAR JEFFERSON TEXAS.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 815 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET.
* FORECAST...EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE TO VERY SLIGHT RISES THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING AS THE LITTLE CYPRESS BAYOU IS NEAR CREST.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
916 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
TXC067-315-091416-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-090510T1338Z/
/JEFT2.1.ER.090504T2045Z.090506T2300Z.090509T1938Z.NO/
916 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACK CYPRESS BAYOU AT JEFFERSON TEXAS.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 900 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE BLACK CYPRESS BAYOU WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW
FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
914 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
TXC499-091414-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-090510T0430Z/
/QTMT2.3.ER.090503T1406Z.090504T1415Z.090509T1030Z.NO/
914 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LAKE FORK CREEK NEAR QUITMAN TEXAS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 815 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
913 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
TXC159-343-449-091413-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-090513T0600Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.090503T0630Z.090504T1800Z.090512T1200Z.NO/
913 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE WHITE OAK CREEK NEAR TALCO TEXAS.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 830 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
TUESDAY MORNING.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
912 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
TXC037-067-343-091411-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NAPT2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.090507T1447Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SULPHUR RIVER NEAR NAPLES TEXAS.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* THE FRIDAY MORNING STAGE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR 30 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE BEAR 29.2
FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
912 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
TXC159-343-387-449-091412-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TLCT2.2.ER.090430T2104Z.090504T2330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SULPHUR RIVER BELOW TALCO TEXAS.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 815 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 23.0 FEET
BY SATURDAY MORNING.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
910 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN TEXAS...
VILLAGE CREEK NEAR KOUNTZE
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...TEXAS..
CALCASIEU RIVER AT OLD TOWN BAY
SABINE RIVER NEAR DEWEYVILLE
TXC199-090410-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-090509T1330Z/
/KOUT2.1.ER.090507T0356Z.090508T0215Z.090509T0130Z.NO/
910 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE VILLAGE CREEK NEAR KOUNTZE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WATER COVERS LOW SPOTS ON WILLARD LAKE
ROAD AND VILLAGE CREEK ROAD NEAR LUMBERTON.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
905 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS...
SOUTH SULPHUR RIVER NEAR COOPER AFFECTING DELTA AND HOPKINS
COUNTIES
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.
CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS.
&&
TXC119-223-090205-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/COPT2.1.ER.090506T2036Z.090507T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
905 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SOUTH SULPHUR RIVER NEAR COOPER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 0815 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.22 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 16 FEET FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
* AT 16 FEET MINOR OUT OF BANK FLOODING WILL OCCUR. A FEW RURAL ROADS
WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. MINOR FLOODING WILL OCCUR TO FARM AND RANCH
LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE
SOUTH SULPHUR RIVER
COOPER 16 16.2 FRI 08 AM 16.2 16.2 16.2 16.2
$$
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
855 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
TXC183-401-091355-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0049.090510T1840Z-000000T0000Z/
/LONT2.2.ER.090510T1840Z.090513T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
855 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SABINE RIVER AT LONGVIEW TEXAS.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
IS CANCELLED.
* AT 815 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 30.4 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* MOVE LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT TO HIGHER GROUND. SECURE PETROLEUM
EQUIPMENT FOR HIGH WATER. EXPECT FLOODED BOAT RAMPS...SECONDARY
ROADWAYS...AND TRAILS.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
853 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
TXC183-423-459-499-091352-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GDWT2.2.ER.090506T1522Z.090511T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
853 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SABINE RIVER NEAR GLADEWATER TEXAS.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 815 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34 FEET
DURING THIS WEEKEND AND THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY.
* MOVE LIVESTOCK TO HIGHER GROUND. EXPECT FLOODED TRAILS...BOAT
RAMPS...AND SECONDARY ROADWAYS.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
853 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
TXC423-499-091353-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-090511T1851Z/
/MLAT2.2.ER.090503T2327Z.090506T1015Z.090511T0051Z.NO/
853 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
THE SABINE RIVER NEAR MINEOLA TEXAS.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 815 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
SUNDAY EVENING.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
849 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
ARC081-OKC089-TXC037-387-091349-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0048.090509T0000Z-090511T0000Z/
/DEKT2.1.ER.090509T0000Z.090509T1200Z.090510T0600Z.NO/
849 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
THE RED RIVER NEAR DEKALB TEXAS AT PECAN POINT.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
CANCELLED.
* AT 800 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RED RIVER WILL
FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
$$
Lake Wind Advisory
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
345 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
ARZ050-051-059-060-070-071-LAZ001-002-010-017-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-090000-
/O.NEW.KSHV.LW.Y.0032.090508T1400Z-090509T0000Z/
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-CADDO-
BOSSIER-DE SOTO-SABINE LA-MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-
TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-
CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
SABINE TX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...HOPE...
TEXARKANA...LEWISVILLE...SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...MANSFIELD...
MANY...IDABEL...CLARKSVILLE...MT VERNON...MT PLEASANT...
PITTSBURG...DAINGERFIELD...ATLANTA...QUITMAN...GILMER...
JEFFERSON...TYLER...LONGVIEW...MARSHALL...RUSK...HENDERSON...
CARTHAGE...NACOGDOCHES...CENTER...LUFKIN...SAN AUGUSTINE...
HEMPHILL
345 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING.
A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND EXTREME NORTHWEST
LOUISIANA. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH BY 700 PM THIS EVENING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.
&&
$$
13
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
457 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-082100-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...
BRACKETTVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...
SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...
CUERO...HALLETTSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS
457 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
...ANOTHER HOT DAY FRIDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE IS FIRMLY IN CONTROL OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND
THIS WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER HOT DAY FRIDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
RANGE FROM THE LOW 90S IN THE EAST TO THE LOW 100S IN THE SOUTH
AND WEST. HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH 110 IN A FEW PLACES SOUTHWEST
OF SAN ANTONIO.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR RECORD LEVELS. THE RECORD HIGHS FOR
OUR CLIMATE SITES ARE:
AUSTIN - BERGSTROM 96
AUSTIN - CAMP MABRY 99
DEL RIO 103
SAN ANTONIO 102
THE YOUNG AND THE ELDERLY ARE MOST VULNERABLE DURING EXCESSIVELY
HOT WEATHER. FRIENDS...RELATIVES...AND NEIGHBORS OF THE ELDERLY
ARE URGED TO CHECK WITH THEM FREQUENTLY DURING THIS HOT WEATHER.
THOSE OUTDOORS SHOULD WEAR LIGHT CLOTHING...PACE THEMSELVES...AND
DRINK PLENTY OF NON-ALCOHOLIC LIQUIDS...PREFERABLY WATER.
A SHIFT IN THE WINDS ON SATURDAY WILL BRING RELIEF WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES COOLER.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
113 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
...SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL CONTINUE...
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 8 PM.
DISCUSSION...
THE COMBINATION OF A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND A REMNANT
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE MORNING STORM COMPLEX WILL SERVE
AS A FOCUS FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. A STRONG
CAPPING INVERSION REMAINS IN PLACE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARIES
WHICH WILL DELAY ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT UNTIL THE
LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. HOWEVER AS ADDITIONAL HEATING COMBINES
WITH THE FRONTAL FORCING...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE FRONT WITH STRONG INSTABILITY YIELDING A QUICK
TRANSITION TO SEVERE WEATHER. WHILE MOST STORMS ARE LIKELY
TO REMAIN CONFINED TO THE FRONT WHICH WOULD LIMIT TORNADIC
POTENTIAL...THERE WILL REMAIN A LIMITED TORNADIC THREAT
GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVIANT STORM MOTIONS IN SUCH AN
UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. AS THE EVENT UNFOLDS...A LARGE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WHERE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOW. THIS WILL RAISE
THE RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING...AND SHOULD THE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS BECOME MORE APPARENT...THEN ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOOD
WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED. ALSO...SEVERAL AREA RIVERS REMAIN
IN FLOOD AND WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE GIVEN ANY FURTHER HEAVY
RAINFALL AMOUNTS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BY LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE DAILY THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. THE FOCUS WILL BE THE STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM AND FRONTAL PASSAGE BY MID NEXT WEEK. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL REMAIN A CONCERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY OVER
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ADDITIONALLY...THERE WILL LIKELY
REMAIN SOME LEVEL OF SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WITH EACH
THUNDERSTORM EVENT DURING THE NEXT WEEK.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-091100-
BOWIE-CAMP-CASS-COLUMBIA-FRANKLIN-HEMPSTEAD-HOWARD-LAFAYETTE-
LITTLE RIVER-MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NEVADA-RED RIVER TX-SEVIER-
TITUS-UNION AR-
1200 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST
TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
VERY WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE ATMOSPHERE BEING VERY UNSTABLE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE
REGION SHOULD STAY CAPPED DUE TO WARM SOUTHWEST WINDS JUST OFF THE
SURFACE WHICH SHOULD HELP TO INHIBIT ANY ORGANIZED CONVECTION...AT
LEAST UNTIL THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE SOUTHWARD
INTO NORTH TEXAS AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY THIS EVENING. THIS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE COULD DRIFT SOUTH AND EAST INTO THE
REGION TONIGHT. LATE TONIGHT...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 30
CORRIDOR OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS. ANY STRONG CONVECTION THIS EVENING WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY
OF PRODUCING STRONG AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN A FAVORABLE AREA FOR STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...
THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS BY BE NEEDED AS EARLY AS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT MORE LIKELY THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-091100-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-CADDO-CALDWELL-CHEROKEE-CLAIBORNE-DE SOTO-
GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LINCOLN-MARION-NACOGDOCHES-
NATCHITOCHES-OUACHITA-PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SHELBY-SMITH-UNION LA-UPSHUR-WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
1200 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...EAST TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
VERY WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE ATMOSPHERE BEING VERY UNSTABLE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE
REGION SHOULD STAY CAPPED DUE TO WARM SOUTHWEST WINDS JUST OFF THE
SURFACE WHICH SHOULD HELP TO INHIBIT ANY ORGANIZED CONVECTION.
FURTHER NORTH ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR OF
NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...STRONG
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG A SOUTHWARD MOVING
COLD FRONT. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AS WELL. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THIS ACTIVITY COULD PERHAPS MAKE IT
AS FAR SOUTH AS THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
NORTHERN LOUISIANA BUT THIS REGIONS MORE ACTIVE WEATHER SHOULD HOLD
OFF UNTIL SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY SINK SOUTHWARD NEAR THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA DURING THE DAY
SATURDAY. THIS BOUNDARY WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE A
POSSIBILITY THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY ACROSS THE REGION...BUT MAINLY
NEAR THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
IF SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NEEDED LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT...IT
WOULD BE ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS
WEEKEND.
$$
11
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1154 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-091000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1154 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK IS SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM SEYMOUR AND VERNON
TEXAS... TO DUNCAN AND PAULS VALLEY... TO SEMINOLE OKLAHOMA.
TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AFTER 4 PM
THROUGH THIS EVENING... AND POSSIBLY OVERNIGHT.
IMPACTS...
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS CAUSING DAMAGE TO AUTOMOBILES...
VEGETATION... AND ROOFS AND WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD EXPECT SEVERE OPERATIONS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING.
DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS
THIS AFTERNOON... WITH A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS IN PLACE AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. STRONG INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE FRONT MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO OVERCOME THE CAP LEADING TO
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE VERY LARGE
HAIL... STRONG WINDS... AND HEAVY RAIN.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY MAY 9.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...60 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...90 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL HAS LEFT THE GROUND SATURATED ACROSS PARTS OF THE
AREA. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND
POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AGAIN ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY FROM MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
SATURDAY.
$$
MAXWELL
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1145 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-091200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
1145 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
WIDELY SCATTERED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING VERY LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH...AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES WILL DEVELOP
BY VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST NORTH TEXAS...AND MOVE
SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
SOME UNCERTAINTIES EXIST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20...DUE TO A STRONG CAPPING
INVERSION ALOFT. HOWEVER...STRONG DAYTIME HEATING AND LIFT ALONG A COLD
FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH RICH MOISTURE...EXTREME INSTABILITY...AND MODEST
WIND SHEAR ALOFT FOR RAPID STORM DEVELOPMENT AND LIKELY SEVERE WEATHER.
BY LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...A STORM COMPLEX WILL EVOLVE AND MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL POSSIBLE...WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING ACROSS
AREAS THAT SAW HEAVY RAINFALL THIS PAST WEEK.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND...AS
THE COLD FRONT FLUCTUATES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. MAIN THREATS WILL BE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY BY THIS EVENING ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.
$$
05/
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1139 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
TXZ021>044-091645-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1139 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE
COLD FRONT FOR TODAY IS WELL AHEAD OF SCHEDULE...ALREADY HAVING
MOVED THROUGH THE SOUTH PLAINS AND MUCH OF THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS
AS OF 1130 AM. THEREFORE...CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR VERY
UNLIKELY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW SATURDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
539 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-091045-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
539 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER
THE EASTERN BIG COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF A STORM
FORMS...THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE BIG COUNTRY...CONCHO VALLEY...AND NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
SMALL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WEEKEND
NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 87 CORRIDOR. THE BETTER CHANCES FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE OVER THE HEARTLAND...WITH THE MAIN POTENTIAL
HAZARDS BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN BIG
COUNTRY...EAST OF HIGHWAY 277...DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO
THE EVENING HOURS.
$$
LACY
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081900-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
100 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
.NOW...
AT 12:57 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE ACROSS A PORTION OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. PRECIPITATION WAS MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 412.
THROUGH 2 PM...LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL PERSIST IN NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WHILE SLOWLY DIMINISHING.
A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT VAN BUREN UNTIL
THIS EVENING OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED...AND FOR THE NEOSHO
RIVER NEAR COMMERCE FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR
UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
$$
