August marked the twelfth consecutive month with near to much below-normal precipitation statewide. This persistent dryness has resulted in the fifth driest summer (June-August) and driest April-August to September-August seasons (see table below). The long-term moisture deficits, averaged across the state, are unprecedented and have caused the most severe statewide Palmer Drought Index in the 20th century record.
According to the Colorado state climatologist (Dr. Roger Pielke Sr.), the June-July
period had the highest average upper-level characteristics (average 700 mb temperatures, 850-700 mb thicknesses, and 500 mb heights) in the NCEP Reanalysis period of record (1948-2002) over the state. (Upper atmospheric patterns are an important controlling factor of the temperature and rainfall regime at the surface.) Precipitation deficits over the last year were among the
worse (but not the worst) for most individual locations in the last century. The
impacts, however, exceeded the severity expected from the precipitation deficits
alone. This suggests that we have become more vulnerable to drought in
Colorado.
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