Regional Overview
August brought beneficial rains to some of the regions that have been experiencing severe drought, especially along the coastal Southeast and parts of the central Plains. But dry conditions continued across much of the drought area, from the Northeast to the Ohio Valley and southern Appalachians, and across much of the West. Unusually hot conditions accompanied the dryness, especially from the Northeast to Ohio Valley, but also from the Southwest and into parts of the Great Plains.
August was dry at most of the primary stations in Hawaii and Puerto Rico. Alaska was dry in the western and northern sections but wet in the southeast.
These overall conditions are evident in the following indicators:
- the Palmer Indices and Standardized Precipitation Index,
- the runoff, evaporation, and soil moisture conditions as calculated by the National Weather Service,
- maps showing the percent of normal precipitation for airport stations for August and summer (June-August),
- the percent of average precipitation map for the hydrologic year thus far (October 1, 2001 - August 31, 2002) for the SNOTEL stations in the western mountains provided by the USDA Water and Climate Center,
- the statewide precipitation ranks for August (short-term) and summer (June-August), March-August, and September-August (longer-term), and
- the short-term surface wetness anomaly maps for August computed by the National Climatic Data Center from the Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSMI), a polar orbiting satellite with global coverage, and
- the USGS August daily streamflow maps.
Two other drought-related monitoring tools are the Vegetation Health Index and the Keetch-Byram Drought Index:
- NOAA satellite observations of vegetation health from early September revealed stress on vegetation from the southwestern U.S. into the central Plains, and across parts of the Midwest to Great Lakes.
- The USDA Forest Service uses a satellite-based vegetation health index tool to monitor the risk of wildfires. This Greenness Index for late August revealed above-average stress on vegetation across much of the West and adjoining Great Plains, as well as parts of the eastern U.S. and Ohio Valley.
- The Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) is used by the Wildland Fire Assessment System to monitor the risk of wildfires. The end-of-August KBDI showed dry conditions across parts of the West, central and southern Plains, Ohio Valley, and much of the eastern U.S. The Forest Service fire danger analysis indicated a high risk of wildfires across parts of the western U.S. into the central Plains, and across part of Maine. The fire threat conditions can change rapidly from week to week.
The rainfall and surface wetness patterns averaged across the summer months (June-August) clearly indicate the areas suffering from moisture stress during this season. The greatest wetness deficiency occurred in the central Plains and Southeast states, with deficiencies developing in the Ohio Valley (see map to right). Below-normal rainfall occurred at stations in those areas as well as along most of the east coast and much of the Far West, Puerto Rico, and the Hawaiian Islands (see map below left). States having summer precipitation ranks of tenth driest, or drier, were located in the southwestern U.S. and Ohio Valley (see map below right).
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Western U.S. Drought
August is in the dry season for much of the West and Northwest regions, so below normal summer precipitation has less of an impact here than in the winter. However, this month is in the middle of the wet season for the Southwest region and the northern Rockies. On a regional basis, August 2002 was drier than normal across these western areas. The combination of subnormal rainfall and, in some areas, hot temperatures resulted in widespread severe to extreme short-term drought. Summer (June-August) 2002 was drier than normal in these three regions, with the West region having the driest summer on record. The cumulative effect of the dryness over the last several months in the Southwest has resulted in record dry seasons from May-August back to September-August. Severe to extreme long-term drought was widespread across the western U.S. Water year (October 2001-present) precipitation totals were above average in the Northwest reflecting a rainy wet season earlier, but totals dropped precipitously toward the Rockies and the Southwest.
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Numerous wildfires continued across the West during August, agriculture and the cattle industry were severely impacted, and water shortages continued in many localities.
By the beginning of September, topsoil moisture conditions were extremely dry across much of the western U.S. According to September 1 USDA reports, 70% or more of the topsoil was short to very short in Wyoming (91%), Utah (90%), Oregon (89%), New Mexico (85%), and Idaho (71%).
Range and pasture conditions continued to deteriorate in many areas during August. According to September 1 USDA reports, conditions on 49% of the nation's pastures and rangeland were poor or very poor (compared to 37% at this time last year):
- 80% or more of the range and pasture lands were reported in poor to very poor condition in Colorado (93%), California (90%), Arizona (83%), and Wyoming (80%),
- 50% or more poor to very poor in Utah (73%), New Mexico (70%), Oregon (63%), Washington (51%), and Nevada (50%).
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Several western states had the driest or near-record driest August, summer (June-August), March-August, and September-August in their 108-year record.
A detailed discussion of drought conditions is available for the following regions and states:
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Central U.S. Drought
By the beginning of September, topsoil moisture conditions were extremely dry across much of the central U.S. According to September 1 USDA reports:
- 70% or more of the topsoil was short to very short in Ohio (84%), West Virginia (79%), Kansas (73%), Nebraska (71%), Illinois (71%), and Kentucky (71%), and
- 50% or more short to very short in Missouri (65%).
Range and pasture conditions continued to deteriorate in many areas during August. According to September 1 USDA reports:
- 80% or more of the range and pasture lands were reported in poor to very poor condition in Nebraska (86%),
- 75% or more poor to very poor in Kansas (73%), and
- 50% or more poor to very poor in Ohio (68%), Indiana (67%), South Dakota (60%), North Dakota (56%), Montana (54%), and Missouri (51%).
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A detailed discussion of drought conditions is available for the following regions and states:
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Eastern U.S. Drought
By the beginning of September, topsoil moisture conditions were extremely dry across much of the eastern U.S. According to September 1 USDA reports:
- 70% or more of the topsoil was short to very short in Maine (96%), Rhode Island (91%), Pennsylvania (90%), and Virginia (77%), and
- 50% or more short to very short in New Hampshire (61%), Georgia (60%), Connecticut (56%), Vermont (54%), New York (52%), and Maryland (50%).
Range and pasture conditions continued to deteriorate in many areas during August. According to September 1 USDA reports:
- 80% or more of the range and pasture lands were reported in poor to very poor condition in Maine (81%),
- 75% or more poor to very poor in Pennsylvania (84%) and New Jersey (79%), and
- 50% or more poor to very poor in Virginia (69%), Maryland (65%), Delaware (63%), North Carolina (62%), Massachusetts (51%), and Rhode Island (50%).
Severe to extreme long-term drought persisted from Long Island and southern Pennsylvania to western Georgia. The long-term deficits were so severe that two states (North Carolina and Virginia) had the driest September-August in the 108-year record, with several others second driest (see map below right). The severe short-term dryness in Maine gave the state the driest August on record.
A detailed discussion of drought conditions is available for the following regions and states:
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Additional Contacts:
For all climate questions other than questions concerning this report, please contact the National Climatic Data Center's Climate Services Division:
Climate Services Division NOAA/National Climatic Data Center 151 Patton Avenue Asheville, NC 28801-5001 fax: 828-271-4876 phone: 828-271-4800 email: ncdc.info@noaa.gov
For further information on the historical climate perspective presented in this report, contact:
Richard Heim NOAA/National Climatic Data Center 151 Patton Avenue Asheville, NC 28801-5001 fax: 828-271-4328 email: Richard.Heim@noaa.gov
-or-
Jay Lawrimore NOAA/National Climatic Data Center 151 Patton Avenue Asheville, NC 28801-5001 fax: 828-271-4328 email: Jay.Lawrimore@noaa.gov
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