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Day 4-8 Convective Outlook Issued on Aug 24, 2009
Updated: Mon Aug 24 08:31:04 UTC 2009
D4 | Thu, Aug 27, 2009 - Fri, Aug 28, 2009 |
D7 | Sun, Aug 30, 2009 - Mon, Aug 31, 2009 |
D5 | Fri, Aug 28, 2009 - Sat, Aug 29, 2009 |
D8 | Mon, Aug 31, 2009 - Tue, Sep 01, 2009 |
D6 | Sat, Aug 29, 2009 - Sun, Aug 30, 2009 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
Note: A severe weather
area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates a 30% or higher probability
for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW means severe storms are possible.
However, no severe weather areas are included as the severe threat is
less than 30% due to expected limited coverage or uncertainty on the
timing and location of such an event.
POTENTIAL TOO LOW is used when the threat for organized areas
of severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period.
ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
ACUS48 KWNS 240830
SPC AC 240830
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0330 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2009
VALID 271200Z - 011200Z
...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT LARGE SCALE PATTERN
WILL REMAIN TOO CHAOTIC AND GENERALLY A BIT TOO WEAK REGARDING
SHEAR/INSTABILITY FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE
COUNTRY...AT LEAST ON AN ISOLATED BASIS...SEVERE PREDICTABILITY IS
TOO LOW TO WARRANT AN OUTLOOK.
..DARROW.. 08/24/2009
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
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