SPC AC 240715
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2009
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS...
LATE EVENING MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT SWRN U.S.
SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER SRN CA/AZ MONDAY MORNING WILL DRIFT
SLOWLY NEWD INTO THE CNTRL ROCKIES BEFORE TURNING SEWD INTO THE
CNTRL PLAINS ON THE FRONT SIDE OF RIDGE AXIS. THIS FEATURE IS
HANDLED SIMILARLY BY BOTH THE NAM AND GFS REGARDING TIMING INTO WRN
KS BY 27/00Z. CONVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG WEAK SFC BOUNDARY
ACROSS KS AIDED BY THIS FEATURE...THEN MOVE SLOWLY SEWD INTO
NWRN/NRN OK DURING THE EVENING HOURS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL STEEPEN DRAMATICALLY ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AS
TEMPERATURES SOAR WELL INTO THE MID-UPPER 90S. THIS COULD RESULT IN
LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...ESPECIALLY IF MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORM
CLUSTERS DEVELOP AS MODELS SUGGEST.
..DARROW.. 08/24/2009
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z