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The 1998 Leonid Meteor Shower Click here! October 7, 1998: Perhaps the most anticipated event in astronomy this year is the upcoming Leonid meteor storm. Sometime during the early morning hours of November 17th, observers could be treated to a spectacular display of shooting stars as Earth passes through the debris trail of periodic Comet 55P/Tempel-Tuttle. Experts are cautiously predicting a repeat of the great meteor storm that broke over the Earth in November 1966 when more than 100,000 meteors per hour were observed in some locations. |
Despite all the talk about Leonids, a lesser known shower called the Giacobinids could steal the show this week. Every year Earth passes close to the orbit of comet 21P/Giacobini-Zinner. Usually not much happens because the comet isn't nearby. This year could be different. On October 9th Earth will pass by the comet's orbit just 49 days before the comet itself arrives. In 1933 Earth sailed by Giacobini's orbital path 80 days after comet passage, and there was a historic meteor storm. In some places over 20,000 meteors per hour were observed. We will be closer to the comet in 1998, but no one is certain what will happen because Earth will reach the vicinity of the orbit before the comet arrives. If there's plenty of debris flying ahead of the comet, then the resulting meteor shower could rival the predicted Leonid storm. If not, it will be another lackluster year for the Draconids with just a few, faint shooting stars per hour. |
Later this week we could be in for a meteor outburst like the one pictured here when Earth passes close to the orbit of comet Giacobini-Zinner. We will arrive in the vicinity of the comet's path only 50 days before the comet itself. image credits |
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Amateurs can make a difference in 98One reason for the uncertainty about the 1998 Giacobinids is that scientists still have a lot to learn about meteor streams. When comets visit the inner solar system, they are warmed by the sun, and ablated by the solar wind, which produces the familiar tails that we see. This debris is left in space, and is comprised of particles of ice, dust, and rock. When Earth encounters these particles on its journey around the Sun, they strike the atmosphere with tremendous speed and become shooting stars. Astronomers know that comets leave debris behind them, but does comet debris also precede the comet? This week we have a good chance to find out, because Earth will be passing by Giacobini's orbit in advance of the comet. |
For this year's Giacobinid meteor storm Science@NASA will be collecting meteor counts from amateurs and lay observers to probe the structure of the meteor stream ahead of comet Giacobini-Zinner. If you would like to participate simply follow the simple instructions about how to observe and keep records. Then, after the shower, return here to submit your data. Even if you don't observe any meteors, your null result is valuable. It tells us how little debris is flying ahead of the comet. Cumulative results will be posted on SpaceWeather.com before the Leonid meteor shower in November. |
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The image indicates the general region of the sky from which the Giacobinid meteors appear to emanate (red dot). This point, called the radiant, is really an optical illusion - the meteors are moving along parallel paths, but appear to come from a single point, just as a stretch of parallel railroad tracks will appear to meet at a point on the horizon. |
Tuning In to the GiacobinidsIn 1946 the Earth passed through
the orbit of comet Giacobini-Zinner just 15 days after the comet.
The result was a remarkable meteor shower with hourly rates exceeding
3000 in many locations. It also marked an important event in
serious meteor astronomy: the first radar detection of meteors.
Just after World War II many countries had sophisticated radar
installations, and over 20 were trained on the Giacobinid radiant
during the predicted storm. Radar receivers in London, the Soviet
Union and the United States all detected echoes. Radar measurements
of meteor showers are important because radar is able to detect
meteors even when they are very small, or when bright moonlight
or sunlight makes visual observing impossible. In 1956 radar
was responsible for the detection of a surprisingly strong Giacobinid
storm. The Earth passed by the comet's orbit nearly 200 days
before the comet, so astronomers weren't expecting much of a
shower. However, radio astronomers at Jodrell Bank detected radar
echoes from an intense meteor burst during the day on October
9th that lasted nearly 2 hours. |
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NASA space science research Meteor Showers - Washington University in St.Louis NASA Science News Updates Halley's Comet returns in bits and pieces -- 21 Oct 1998 Giacobinids dazzle observers -- 14 Oct 1998 |
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monitor satellites as they weather the storm International Meteor Organization NASA's Office of Space Science - press releases and other news related to NASA and astrophysics |
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