000
FNUS76 KMFR 232155
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOUBLEDAY...OR- MFR ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
255 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 2008
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1233 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
.DISCUSSION...
DRY AIR ALOFT TODAY WILL MIX DOWN THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN LINGER
OVER THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH ONLY MODERATE RELATIVE
RECOVERIES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY
WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
TURNING WINDS MORE TO THE WEST AND CAUSING THEM TO DIMINISH AS
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RISE. WEDNESDAY NIGHT THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY
OF LIGHT SHOWERS...BUT RAIN FALL AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY LIGHT IF THERE
IS RAIN AT ALL.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH EARLY EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
RIDGES...SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL EARLY EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO
500 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SW 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY EVENING...THEN SOUTH 5 TO
10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...BECOMING UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH LATE MORNING...THEN 4-7 MPH WITH
GUSTS 6-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGES...SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH INCREASING AND BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST
8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS 12-14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10-15 MPH EARLY...THEN 15 TO 25 MPH LATE
MORNING ONWARD.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH
LATE EVENING ONWARD.
RIDGES...WEST 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS 6-8 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN 3-5
MPH LATE EVENING...THEN 1-3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AROUND
MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...
DIMINISHING TO 5-10 MPH LATE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...KRISTINA SHEPPARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20080923.DOUBL.01/MFR
000
FNUS76 KMFR 232147
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOUBLEDAY...OR- MFR ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
247 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 2008
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1233 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
.DISCUSSION...
DRY AIR ALOFT TODAY WILL MIX DOWN THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN LINGER
OVER THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH ONLY MODERATE RELATIVE
RECOVERIES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY
WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
TURNING WINDS MORE TO THE WEST AND CAUSING THEM TO DIMINISH AS
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RISE. WEDNESDAY NIGHT THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY
OF LIGHT SHOWERS...BUT RAIN FALL AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY LIGHT IF THERE
IS RAIN AT ALL.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH EARLY EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
RIDGES...SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL EARLY EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO
500 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SW 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY EVENING...THEN SOUTH 5 TO
10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...BECOMING UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH LATE MORNING...THEN 4-7 MPH WITH
GUSTS 6-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGES...SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH INCREASING AND BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST
8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS 12-14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10-15 MPH EARLY...THEN 15 TO 25 MPH LATE
MORNING ONWARD.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH
LATE EVENING ONWARD.
RIDGES...WEST 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS 6-8 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN 3-5
MPH LATE EVENING...THEN 1-3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AROUND
MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...
DIMINISHING TO 5-10 MPH LATE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...KRISTINA SHEPPARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20080917.DOUBL.04/MFR
000
FNUS76 KMFR 232142 CCB
FWSMFR
FNUS76 KMFR 232132
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOUBLEDAY...OR- MFR ODF...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
232 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 2008
CORRECTED DISCUSSION
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1233 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
.DISCUSSION...
DRY AIR ALOFT TODAY WILL MIX DOWN THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN LINGER
OVER THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH ONLY MODERATE RELATIVE
RECOVERIES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY
WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
TURNING WINDS MORE TO THE WEST AND CAUSING THEM TO DIMINISH AS
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RISE. WEDNESDAY NIGHT THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY
OF LIGHT SHOWERS...BUT RAIN FALL AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY LIGHT IF THERE
IS RAIN AT ALL.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH EARLY EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
RIDGES...SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL EARLY EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO
500 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SW 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY EVENING...THEN SOUTH 5 TO
10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...BECOMING UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH LATE MORNING...THEN 4-7 MPH WITH
GUSTS
6-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGES...SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH INCREASING AND BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST
8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS 12-14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10-15 MPH EARLY...THEN 15 TO 25 MPH LATE
MORNING ONWARD.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH
LATE EVENING ONWARD.
RIDGES...WEST 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS 6-8 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN 3-5
MPH
LATE EVENING...THEN 1-3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AROUND
MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...
DIMINISHING
TO 5-10 MPH LATE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...KRISTINA SHEPPARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20080917.DOUBL.04/MFR
000
FNUS76 KMFR 232138 CCA
FWSMFR
KMFR ETA MOS GUIDANCE 9/23/2008 1200 UTC
DT /SEPT 23/SEPT 24 /SEPT 25 /SEPT 26
HR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12
N/X 47 80 48 75 42
TMP 61 76 81 72 61 55 50 49 62 74 78 70 61 56 52 51 61 70 74 56 45
DPT 40 39 38 41 40 41 40 40 40 41 43 46 47 47 45 45 45 43 39 40 40
CLD CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC SC CL BK BK CL CL CL CL CL CL
WDR 12 29 30 30 14 17 13 00 29 29 29 29 32 32 30 32 34 33 30 29 16
WSP 02 04 06 05 02 01 01 00 05 12 12 08 07 05 04 02 01 02 05 02 01
P06 0 4 3 8 10 11 18 14 8 1 1
P12 9 14 19 24 4
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Q12 0 0 0 0 0
T06 0/ 0 0/ 0 2/ 0 0/ 0 10/ 0 0/ 1 2/ 0 0/ 1 5/ 1999/99
T12 2/ 0 3/ 0 10/ 1 2/ 1 999/99
SNW 0 0 0
CIG 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 5 6 8 8 8 8
VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
OBV N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N
FOUS26 KMFR 231200
KMFR GFS MOS GUIDANCE 9/23/2008 1200 UTC
DT /SEPT 23/SEPT 24 /SEPT 25 /SEPT 26
HR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12
N/X 43 82 49 79 44
TMP 61 75 82 70 59 51 46 46 61 75 81 71 63 56 52 51 62 73 78 60 48
DPT 40 35 29 33 35 36 36 36 37 36 35 40 43 44 44 44 46 43 40 42 40
CLD CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC BK BK SC BK BK SC CL CL CL CL CL
WDR 00 31 29 29 23 11 12 00 29 30 29 28 30 33 32 31 33 31 31 17 15
WSP 00 03 06 05 03 02 02 00 02 07 09 06 07 04 03 01 02 04 07 02 01
P06 0 0 0 7 15 17 18 12 5 3 3
P12 1 15 32 19 3
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Q12 0 0 0 0 0
T06 3/ 0 2/ 0 2/ 1 3/ 2 5/ 4 3/ 1 2/ 0 0/ 1 1/ 2 0/ 0
T12 5/ 0 4/ 2 5/ 4 2/ 1 1/ 2
POZ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
POS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TYP R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
SNW 0 0 0
CIG 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
OBV N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N
FNUS76 KMFR 232132
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOUBLEDAY...OR- MFR ODF...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
232 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 2008
CORRECTED DISCUSSION
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1233 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
.DISCUSSION...
DRY AIR ALOFT TODAY WILL MIX DOWN THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN LINGER
OVER THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH ONLY MODERATE RELATIVE
RECOVERIES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY
WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
TURNING WINDS MORE TO THE WEST AND CAUSING THEM TO DIMINISH AS
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RISE. WEDNESDAY NIGHT THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY
OF LIGHT SHOWERS...BUT RAIN FALL AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY LIGHT IF THERE
IS RAIN AT ALL.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH EARLY EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
RIDGES...SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL EARLY EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO
500 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SW 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY EVENING...THEN SOUTH 5 TO
10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...BECOMING UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH LATE MORNING...THEN 4-7 MPH WITH
GUSTS
6-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGES...SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH INCREASING AND BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST
8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS 12-14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10-15 MPH EARLY...THEN 15 TO 25 MPH LATE
MORNING ONWARD.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH
LATE EVENING ONWARD.
RIDGES...WEST 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS 6-8 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN 3-5
MPH
LATE EVENING...THEN 1-3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AROUND
MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...
DIMINISHING
TO 5-10 MPH LATE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...KRISTINA SHEPPARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20080917.DOUBL.04/MFR
000
FNUS76 KMFR 232132
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOUBLEDAY...OR- MFR ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
232 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 2008
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1233 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
.DISCUSSION...
DRY AIR ALOFT TODAY WILL MIX DOWN THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN LINGER OVER
THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH ONLY MODERATE RELATIVE
RECOVERIES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY
MONDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA LATE IN THE AFTERNOON TURNING
WINDS MORE TO THE WEST AND CAUSING THEM TO DIMINISH AS RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES RISE. WEDNESDAY NIGHT THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT
SHOWERS...BUT RAIN FALL AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY LIGHT IF THERE IS RAIN AT
ALL.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH EARLY EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
RIDGES...SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL EARLY EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO
500 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SW 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY EVENING...THEN SOUTH 5 TO
10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...BECOMING UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH LATE MORNING...THEN 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS
6-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGES...SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH INCREASING AND BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST
8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS 12-14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10-15 MPH EARLY...THEN 15 TO 25 MPH LATE
MORNING ONWARD.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....
SLOPES...UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH
LATE EVENING ONWARD.
RIDGES...WEST 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS 6-8 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN 3-5 MPH
LATE EVENING...THEN 1-3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AROUND MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...DIMINISHING
TO 5-10 MPH LATE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...KRISTINA SHEPPARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20080917.DOUBL.04/MFR
000
FNUS76 KMFR 230240
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR CASTLE...DOI-NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
740 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2008
FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1850 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL CAUSE LIGHT OFFSHORE
FLOW ON TUESDAY MORNING. THE THERMAL TROUGH ALONG THE COAST WILL THEN
MOVE EASTWARD...OVER THE FIRE...DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY RESULTING IN
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING OFF SUBSTANTIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND A WARM UP
OF 10 TO 15 DEGREES FOR THE HIGH TEMPERATURE. AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM
TUESDAY NIGHT WILL CAUSE WINDS TO PICK UP WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM THE
SOUTHEAST...WITH ONLY MODERATE RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EXPECTED. ON
WEDNESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE SOUTH TO WEST WINDS AHEAD OF
IT...BEFORE PASSING LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT
RAIN IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONLY A TRACE TO 0.05" ARE EXPECTED.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........COLD IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-22 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE AND NORTHEAST 0-2 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING UPSLOPE AND SOUTH 1-3 MPH IN LATE
THE MORNING...THEN UPSLOPE AND SOUTHWEST 1-3 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY DUE TO HIGH CLOUDS AND NOT AS COLD.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1-3 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING THEN DOWNSLOPE AND SOUTHEAST 0-3 MPH.
WINDS INCREASING AND BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2-4 MPH
TOWARD MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND UPSLOPE
3-5 MPH LATE MORNING. WIND UPSLOPE AND WEST-SOUTHWEST
3-5 MPH WITH GUSTS 6-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HARWOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20080922.CASTL.01/MFR
000
FNUS76 KMFR 230050
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOUBLEDAY...OR- MFR ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
550 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2008
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1712 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW TONIGHT AS A THERMAL
TROUGH BUILDS NORTH INTO SOUTHWEST OREGON. THE AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE
WARMING AND DRYING ON TUESDAY AS THE THERMAL TROUGH MOVES INLAND. SOUTH
WINDS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT. THE
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY ALONG WITH BRIEFLY COOLER AND MORE
MOIST CONDITIONS. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED AT THE END OF
THE WEEK.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WIND 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE
0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WIND 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING EAST 1 TO 4 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WIND 0 TO 3 MPH BECOMING WEST 1 TO 4
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WIND 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING WEST 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WIND 1 TO 4 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING
SOUTH 0 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING
SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WIND 3 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH
AFTER 2100.
$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...KRISTINA SHEPPARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20080922.DOUBL.01/MFR
000
FNUS76 KMFR 220151
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR CASTLE...DOI-NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
651 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 2008
FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1819 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...CLOUDS WILL LINGER BEHIND A FRONT OVERNIGHT THEN DISSIPATE
MONDAY LEADING TO SLIGHT WARMING COMPARED WITH SUNDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE THE WEAK WARMING AND DRYING TREND TUESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE INLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT SHOWERS. A RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE FORECAST AREA WILL
LEAD TO WARMING AND DRYING FRIDAY.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 0 TO 2 MPH INCREASING TO 1 TO 4
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING CALM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM WIND BECOMING WEST 1 TO 4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HARWOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20080921.CASTL.01/MFR
000
FNUS76 KMFR 211836
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOUBLEDAY FIRE...ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1136 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2008
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...A COOL AND MOIST AIR MASS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE
FIRE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. A WEAK TROUGH PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH TONIGHT WILL HELP TO RE-INFORCE THE COOL AIR WITH A FEW
SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN WEST TO
NORTHWEST FACING ASPECTS. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS TO THE
NORTH AGAIN WEDNESDAY. WE MAY SEE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST
WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT THE MAIN EFFECT WILL BE TO KEEP
TEMPERATURES COOL WITH HIGH HUMIDITY. HOWEVER A RIDGE BUILDING
INTO SOUTHERN OREGON IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK COULD LEAD TO
WARMING AND DRYING FROM THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE
OVERNIGHT
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43 TO 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING DOWNSLOPE WIND 0 TO 2 MPH BY 2200.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH THROUGH LATE EVENING
BECOMING NORTH-NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SUNNY
BY EARLY AFTERNOON. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS UNTIL 0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63 TO 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 TO 42 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WIND 2 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING WEST TO
NORTHWEST 3 TO 4 MPH AFTER 1500 ESPECIALLY
AT THE HIGHER END OF THE FIRE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WIND 4 TO 6 MPH.
$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PERILLI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20080921.DOUBL.01/MFR
000
FNUS76 KMFR 210305
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR CASTLE...DOI-NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
805 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2008
FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1933 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...IT WILL BE WARMER WITH SOME BREAKS OF SUN SUNDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA. THE HIGH WILL WEAKEN BY
EARLY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE OREGON COAST.
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE SUNDAY NIGHT AND QUICKLY
DISSIPATE WITH LITTLE IMPACT ON THE SITE. A THERMAL TROUGH BUILDS
BRIEFLY INTO SOUTHWEST OREGON MONDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MAY
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 0 TO 3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING NORTHWEST WIND 0 TO 2 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING WEST 1 TO 4 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HARWOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20080920.CASTL.01/MFR
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