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Pacific Northwest Weather Workshop - 2009

Pacific Northwest Weather Workshop – 2009

 

 

20 and 21 March 2009

 

Building 9 Auditorium

NOAA Western Regional Campus

7600 Sand Point Way, Seattle, WA 98115

 

Friday, 20 March

 

12 - 1 PM        Registration

 

1:05-1:15         Welcome and Meeting Plans – Brad Colman

Meteorologist in Charge, NOAA/NWS WFO Seattle

 

Flooding and Streamflow


1:15-1:30         Forecasting the Janyary 2009 Flood Event in Western Washington ,
Mark Stoelinga, Matthew Wiley, Eric Grimit, and Andrew Wood, 3TIER, Inc.

 

 

1:30-1:45         Evaluation of PoP and QPF Forecasts for a Significant Flood Event in Western Washington from and Impact Perspective,
Kirby Cook, NWS Seattle

 

 

1:45-2:00         Precipitation and Lithologic Factors from the Storm Event of December 1-3, 2007 , in Western Washington,
Isabelle Y. Sarikhan, Department of Natural Resources, Division of Geology and Earth Resources, Washington State DNR

 

 

2:00-2:15         Heavy Raingall's Lesser-Known Dangers: Landslides and Debris Flows ,
Brent Bower, NWS Seattle

 

 

2:15-2:30         Climate Variability and its Impact on Defining Flood Risk in Western Washington ,
Ted Perkins, FEMA Region X

 

 

2:30-2:45         Anyone can forecast like the National Weather Service: How the Bonneville Power Administration uses NWS software to produce high quality forecast products,
Charles Ross, Bonnevile Power Adminstrations, Portland Oregon

 

 

2:45-3:15         Break with refreshments and book signing "Weather of the Pacific Northwest" by Cliff Mass

 


Air Quality


3:15-3:30         Ventilation Indices and Air Quality -- A Meaningful Regionship or Passing Fancy? ,
Clint Bowman, Deptartment of Ecology, Washington State

 


Communication, Community Efforts and Eduacation


3:30-3:45         An Introduction to the Community Collaboritive Rain, Hail and Snow (CoCoRaHS) Network ,
Jeff Michalski, NWS Seattle

 

 

3:45-4:00         Online Weather Briefing Results ,
Ted Buehner, NWS Seattle

 

 

4:00-4:15         More Kids in the Woods ,
Megan L. Syner, NWS Great Falls

 


Regional Weather


 

2:00-2:15         City in Fog: Physics and Forecasting of Major Fog and Stratus Events in BC ,
Melinda M. Brugman, Michel Gelinas, Gary Gen and Brad Snyder, Pacific Storm Prediction Centre, MSC, Environment Canada

 

 

2:15-2:30         Science on a Ski Lift: A new approach to characterize boundary laer influence atop Mount Bachelor ,
David R. Reidmiller, Emily V. Fischer, Ryan Kangas, and Daniel A. Jaffe, Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Department of Interdisciplinary Arts and Sciences, University of Washington, Bothell

 

 

 

Workshop Banquet

 

6:00-9:00         Workshop Banquet at the Talaris Conference Center.  4000 NE 41st St, Seattle, WA 98105

 

6:00-7:00 PM    Icebreaker – no host bar

7:00-8:00 PM    Buffet Dinner

8:00-9:00 PM    Special Presentation:  Larry Schick, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Seattle: A Flood of Problems: An Insider View of the Flooding at Pacific, Washington, in January 2009

 


 

Saturday, 20 March

 

8:00-8:45        Registration and coffee

 

Northwest Observations, Analysis, and Numerical Weather Prediction


8:45-9:00         Real-time mesoscale analyses and gridded forecast verification at NWS Seattle ,
Brad Coleman and Kirby Cook, NWS Seattle

 

 

9:00-9:15         Toward a Pacific Northwest High-resolution Analysis of Record using an Ensemble Kalman Filter,
Brian Ancell, Cliff Mass, and Gregory Hakim, University of Washington

 

 

9:15-9:30         Observing Weather and Climate from the Ground Up: A Nationwide Network of Networks,
S. Edward Boselly, Weather Solutions Group, Olympia, Washington

 

 

9:30-9:45         Update on the University of Washington MM5/WRF Real-Time Prediction System and the Acquisition of a Coastal Weather Radar,
Cliff Mass, David Ovens, Mark Albright, Richard Steed, Phil Regulski, and Jeff Baars, University of Washington

 

 

9:45-10:00         Regional Climate Simulations for the Washington State Climate Assessment ,
Eric Salathe Jr., JISAO, University of Washington

 

 

10:00-10:30         Poster Session and Break

 

 

         The effects of a Warming Climate on snowpack accumulation in the Northern Cascades ,
Nic Wayand, Justin Minder, Dale R. Durran, Gerard H. Roe, University of Washington, Department of Atmospheric Science

 

 

         A Comparison of Downslope Windstorms in Southeast Washington and Central and Northeast Oregon ,
Mary Johnson, and Jon Mittelstadt, NWS Pendleton

 

 

         The Localized Nature of a Winter Storm in Juneau, AK, December, 2008 ,
Carl Dierking and Paul Suffern, NWS Juneau

 

 

         Cooperation Key to Monitoring International Air Quality ORCAA Takes Leadership Role with International Air Monitoring Site ,
James P. Werner, Olympic Region Clean Air Agency, Olympia WA.

 

 

Dealing with Uncertainty


10:30-10:45         Barriers to the Use of Uncertainty Information in Weather-Driven Renewable Energy Forecasting Applications ,
Eric P. Grimit, Cameron Potter, and Andrew Wood, 3TIER, Inc.

 

 

10:45-11:00         Providing Probabilistic Forecasts for Wind Speed using Ensemble MOS ,
Thordis Linda Thorarinsdottir, and Tilmann Gneiting, Department of Statistics, University of Washington

 

 

11:00-11:15         Sensitivity of West Coast Forecast Errors to Pacific Initializations ,
Lynn McMurdie and Garrtt Wedam, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington

 

 

11:15-11:30         Reducing Uncertainty in Regional Climate Simulations ,
Rick Steed, Cliff Mass, and Eric Salathe Jr., Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington

 

 

Regional Severe Weather


11:30-11:45         A Preliminary Study of Cold Air Damming along the East Slopes of the Washington Cascades ,
Ronald J. Miller, NWS Spokane

 

 

11:45-1:00  Lunch (included with registration)

 

Regional Severe Weather (cont.)


1:00-1:15         The Effects of Mesoscale Forcing on Snowfall Amounts from 14 December 2008 ,
Charles Dalton, NWS Portland

 

 

1:15-1:30         A Profilers View of a Mountain Wave, Induced Critical Level, and Rotors ,
Carl Dierking, NWS Juneau

 

 

1:30-1:45         Pacific Northwest Severe Weather: Where Theory Meets Reality ,
Jonathan Wolfe, NWS Portland

 

 

1:45-2:00         Observations of a Wintertime Southeast Alaska Waterspout Event ,
Paul Suffern, NWS Juneau

 

 

2:00-2:30         Break with refreshments and book signing "Weather of the Pacific Northwest" by Cliff Mass

 

2:30-2:45         Three Types of Drought in the Pacific Northwest - 2001, 2003, and 2005 ,
Karin Bumbaco, and Philip Mote, Office of the Washington State Climatologist

 

2:45-3:00         Development of Extreme Avalanche Danger in the NW: A brief case study of the Jan 6-7, 2009 avalanche cycle ,
Mark Moore, Northwest Weather and Avalanche Center (NWAC)

 

 

3:00-3:15         Did the MJO Play a Likely Role in the Weather of late December 2008? ,
Nick Bond, JISAO, University of Washington

 

 

 

THE END

 

 

 

 

NEXT YEAR’S PACIFIC NORTHWEST WEATHER WORKSHOP WILL BE HELD 5 & 6 MARCH 2010. 

 

PLEASE GET IT ON YOUR CALENDARS EARLY!!!!

 

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