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MAPSS Home > Publications by year
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List Publications By Author
2006
Cary,
G.; Keane, R.; Gardner, R.; Lavorel, S.; Flannigan, M.; Davies,
I.; Liu, C.; Lenihan, J.; Rupp, T.; Mouillot, F. 2006. Comparison
of the sensitivity of landscape-fire-succession models to variation
in terrain, fuel pattern, climate and weather. Landscape Ecology.
21: 121-137.
Malcolm,
J.; Liu, C.; Neilson, R.; Hansen, L.; Hannah, L. 2006. Global warming
and extinctions of endemic species from biodiversity hotspots. Conservation
Biology. 20(2): 538-548.
Wiedinmyer,
C.; Ti, X.; Guenther, A.; Neilson, R.; Granier, C. 2006. Future
changes in biogenic isoprene emissions: How might they affect regional
and global atmospheric chemistry? Earth Interactions. 10(3): 1-9.
2005
Bachelet
D.; Lenihan, J.; Neilson, R.; Drapek, R.; Kittel, T. 2005. Simulating
the response of natural ecosystems and their fire regimes to climatic
variability in Alaska. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 35:
2073-2293.
Calkin, D.; Gebert, K.; Jones, J.; Neilson, R. 2005 Forest Service
large fire area burned and suppression expenditure trends, 1970-2002.
Journal of Forestry. 103(4): 179-183.
Neilson, R.; Pitelka, L.; Solomon, A.; Nathan, R.; Midgley, G.;
Fragoso, J.; Lischke, H.; Thompson, K. 2005. Forecasting regional
to global plant migration in response to climate change. BioScience.
55(9): 749-759.
2004
Bachelet,
D.; Neilson, R.; Lenihan, J.; Drapek, R. 2004. Regional differences
in the carbon source-sink potential of natural vegetation in the
U.S.A. Environmental. Management 33(Supplement 1): S23-S43.
Daly,
C.; Gibson, W.; Doggett, M.; Smith, J.; Taylor G. 2004. Up-to-date
monthly climate maps for the conterminous United States. Proceedings,
14th AMS Conference on Applied Climatology. Seattle, WA: American
Meteorological Society: 1-8.
Hayhoe,
K.; Cayan, D.; Field, C.; Frumhoff, P.; Maurer, E.; Miller, N.;
Moser, S.; Schneider, S.; Cahill, K.; Cleland, E.; Dale, L.; Davis,
F.; Drapek, R.; Hanemann, W.; Kalkstein, L.; Lenihan, J.; Lunch,
C.; Neilson, R.; Sheridan, S.; Verville, J. 2004. Emissions pathways,
climate change, and impacts on California. Proceedings of the National
Academy of Sciences. 101(34): 12422-12427.
Keane, R.;
Cary, G.; Davies, I.; Flannigan, M.; Gardner, R.; Lavorel, S.; Lenihan,
J.; Liu, C.; Rupp, T. 2004. A classification of landscape fire succession
models: spatial simulations for fire and vegetation dynamics. Ecological
Modelling. 179: 3-27.
Kittel,
T.; Rosenbloom, N.; Royle, J.; Daly, C.; Gibson, W.; Fisher, H.;
Thornton, P.; Yates, D.; Aulenbach, S.; Kaufman, C.; McKeown, R.;
Bachelet, D.; Schimel, D.; VEMAP2 Participants. 2004. VEMAP Phase
2 bioclimatic database. I. Gridded historical (20th century) climate
for modeling ecosystem dynamics across the conterminous USA. Climate
Research. 27: 151-170.
Neilson,
R. 2004. Projecting potential landscape dynamics: issues and challenges.
In: Gucinski, H.; Miner, C.; Bittner, B., eds. Proceedings: views
from the ridge—considerations for planning at the landscape
scale. PNW-GTR-596. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture,
Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station: 42-47.
2003
Bachelet,
D.; Neilson, R.; Hickler, T.; Drapek, R.; Lenihan, J.; Sykes, M.;
Smith, B.; Sitch, S.; Thonicke, K. 2003. Simulating past and future
dynamics of natural ecosystems in the United States. Global Biogeochemical
Cycles. 17(2): 14-1—14-21.
Lenihan
J.; Drapek R.; Bachelet D.; Neilson R. 2003. Climate change effects
on vegetation distribution, carbon, and fire in California. Ecological
Applications. 13, 1667-1681.
Marland,
G.; Pielke, R.; Apps, M.; Avissar, R.; Betts, R.; Davis,K.; Frumhoff,
P.; Jackson, S.; Joyce, L.; Kauppi, P.; Katzenberger, J.; MacDicken,
K.; Neilson, R.; Niles, J.; Niyogi, D.; Norby, R.; Pena, N.; Sampson,
N.; Xue,Y. 2003. The climatic impacts of land surface change and
carbon management, and the implications for climate-change mitigation
policy. Climate Policy. 3: 149-157.
Neilson, R. 2003. The importance of precipitation seasonality in
controlling vegetation distribution. In Weltzin, J.; McPherson,
G., eds. Changing precipitation regimes and terrestrial ecosystems:
a North American perspective. Phoenix, AZ: The University of Arizona
Press: 47-71.
2002
Luo,
T.; Neilson, R.; Tian, H.; Vorosmarty, C.; Zhu, H.; Liu, S. 2002.
A model for seasonality and distribution of leaf area index of forests
and its application to China. Journal of Vegetation Science. 13:
817-830. (PDF) — (Appendix)
2001
Aber,
J.; Neilson, R.; McNulty, S.; Lenihan, J.; Bachelet, D.; Drapek,
R. 2001. Forest processes and global environmental change: predicting
the effect of individual and multiple stressors. 2000. BioScience.
51(9): 735-751.
Bachelet,
D.; Lenihan, J.; Daly, C.; Neilson, R.; Ojima, D.; Parton, W. 2001.
MC1: a dynamic vegetation model for estimating the distribution
of vegetation and associated ecosystem fluxes of carbon, nutrients,
and water. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-508. Portland, OR: U.S. Department
of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station:
95.
Bachelet,
D.; Neilson, R.; Lenihan, J.; Drapek, R.; 2001. Climate change effects
on vegetation distribution and carbon budget in the United States.
Ecosystems. 4: 164-185.
Dale,
V.; Joyce, L.; McNulty, S.; Neilson, R.; Ayres, M.; Flannigan, M.;
Hanson, P.; Irland, L.; Lugo, A.; Peterson, C.; Simberloff, D.;
Swanson, F.; Stocks, B.; Wotton, B. 2001. Climate change and forest
disturbance. BioScience. 51(9): 723-734.
Hansen,
A.; Neilson, R.; Dale, V.; Flather, C.; Iverson, L.; Currie, D.;
Shafer, S.; Cook, R.; Bartlein, P. 2001. Global change in forests:
responses of species, communities, and biomes. BioScience. 51(9):
765-779.
Joyce, L.; Baer, J.;
McNulty, S.; Dale, V.; Hansen, A.; Irland, L.; Neilson, R.; Skog,
K. 2001. Potential consequences of climate variability and change
for the forests of the United States. In: Climate change impacts
in the United States. Report for the U.S. Global Change Research
Program. Cambridge UK: Cambridge University Press: 489-521. (PDF)
— (Color figures
PDF)
Malcolm, J.; Markham, A.; Neilson, R. 2001. Can species keep up
with climate change? Conservation Biology in Practice. 2(2): 24-25.
2000
Bachelet,
D.; Daly, C.; Lenihan, J.; Neilson, R.; Parton, W.; Ojima, D. 2000.
Interactions between fire, grazing, and climate change at Wind Cave
National Park, SD. Ecological Modelling. 134: 229-244.
Bachelet, D.; Neilson, R. 2000. Biome redistribution under climate
change. In: Joyce, L.; Birdsey, R., eds. The impact of climate change
on America's forests. Gen. Tech. Rep. RMRS-GTR-59. U.S. Department
of Agriculture, Forest Service. Fort Collins, CO: Rocky Mountain
Research Station: 18-44.
Dale,
V.; Joyce, L.; McNulty, S.; Neilson, R. 2000. The interplay between
climate change, forests, and disturbance. Science of the Total Environment.
262(3): 201-204.
Daly, C.; Bachelet,
D.; Lenihan, J.; Parton, W.; Neilson, R.; Ojima, D. 2000. Dynamic
simulation of tree-grass interactions for global change studies.
Ecological Applications. 10(2): 449-469.
Jackson, R.; Schenk,
H.; Jobbagy, E.; Canadell, J.; Colello, G.; Dickinson, R.; Dunne,
T.; Field, C.; Friedlingstein, P.; Heimann, M.; Hibbard, K.; Kicklighter,
D.; Kleidon, A.; Neilson, R.; Parton, W.; Sala, O.; Sykes, M. 2000.
Belowground consequences of vegetation change and its treatment
in models. Ecological Applications. 10(2): 470-483. [abstract]
Lenihan, J.; Sandberg, D.; Neilson, R. 2000. Linking a dynamic
vegetation model with the National Fuels Characterization System.
In: Neuenschwander, L.; Ryan, K., eds. Crossing the millennium:
integrating spatial technologies and ecological principles for a
new age in fire management. Moscow, ID: University of Idaho. 288-289.
Neilson, R.; Lenihan, J.; Bachelet, D. 2000. Overview of dynamic
global vegetation models. In: Hawkes, B.; Flannigan, M.; eds. Landscape
fire modeling—challenges and opportunities. Victoria, BC: Canadian
Forest Service Information Report NOR-X-371. 3-4.
Schimel, D.; Melillo, J.; Tian, H.; McGuire, A.; Kicklighter, D.;
Kittel, T; Rosenbloom, N.; Running, S.; Thornton, P.; Ojima, D.;
Parton, W.; Kelly, R.; Sykes, M.; Neilson, R.; Rizzo, B. 2000. The
contribution of increasing CO2 and climate to carbon
storage by natural and agricultural ecosystems of the US 1980-1993.
Science. 287: 2004-2006.
1999
Fosberg,
M.; Cramer, W.; Brovkin, V.; Fleming, R.; Gardner, R.; Gill, A.;
Goldammer, J.; Keane, R.; Koehler, P.; Lenihan, J.; Neilson, R.;
Sitch, S.; Thonicke, K.; Venevski, S.; Weber, M.; Wittenberg, U.
1999. Strategy for a fire module in dynamic global vegetation models.
International Journal of Wildland Fire. 9: 79-84.
Neilson, R. 1999. Landscape ecology and global change. In: Wiens,
J.; Moss, M., eds. Issues in landscape ecology. Guelph, Ontario,
Canada: The International Association for Landscape Ecology. 64-69.
Schmoldt,
D.; Peterson, D.; Keane, R.; Lenihan, J.; McKenzie, D.; Weise, D.;
Sandberg, D. 1999. Assessing the effects of fire disturbance on
ecosystems: a scientific agenda for research and management. Gen.
Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-455. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture,
Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station: 1-104.
1998
Bachelet,
D.; Brugnach, M.; Neilson, R. 1998. Sensitivity of a biogeography
model to soil properties. Ecological Modelling. 109: 77-98. [abstract]
Bishop,
G.; Church, M.; Aber, J.; Neilson, R.; Ollinger, S.; Daly, C. 1998.
A comparison of mapped estimates of long-term runoff in the northeast
United States. Journal of Hydrology. 206: 176-190. [abstract]
Lenihan,
J., Daly, C.; Bachelet, D.; Neilson, R. 1998. Simulating broad-scale
fire severity in a dynamic global vegetation model. Northwest Science.
72(2): 91-103. [abstract]
Neilson, R.; Drapek, R. 1998. Potentially complex biosphere responses
to transient global warming. Global Change Biology. 4: 505-521.
Neilson, R.; Prentice, I.; Smith, B.; Kittel, T.; Viner, D. 1998.
Simulated changes in vegetation distribution under global warming.
In: Watson, R.; Zinyowera, M.; Moss, R.; Dokken, D., eds. The regional
impacts of climate change: an assessment of vulnerability. Cambridge,
UK: Cambridge University Press: 439-456.
Shriner, D.; Street, R.; Ball, R.; D'Amours, D.; Duncan, K.; Kaiser,
D.; Maarouf, A.; Mortsch, L.; Mulholland, P.; Neilson, R.; Patz,
J.; Scheraga, J.; Titus, J.; Vaughan, H.; Weltz, M. [et al.]. 1998.
North America. In: Watson, R.; Zinyowera, M.; Moss, R.; Dokken,
D., eds. The regional impacts of climate change: an assessment of
vulnerability. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. 255-330.
Sohngen,
B.; Mendelsohn, R.; Neilson, R. 1998. Predicting CO2
emissions from forests during climatic change: a comparison of natural
and human response models. Ambio. 27(7): 509-513. [abstract]
1997
Borchers, J.; Neilson, R. 1997. Projected impacts of global climate
change on forests and water resources of the Southeastern United
States. In: Fox, S.; Mickler, R., eds. The productivity and sustainability
of southern forest ecosystems in a changing environment. New York:
Springer-Verlag. 453-478.
Kittel, T.; Royle, J.; Daly, C.; Rosenbloom, N.; Gibson, W.; Fisher,
H.; Schimel, D.; Berliner, L.; VEMAP2 Participants. 1997. A gridded
historical (1895-1993) bioclimate dataset for the coterminous United
States. In: Proceedings of the 10th Conference on Applied Climatology.
Boston, MA: American Meteorological Society: 219-222.
Neilson,
R. 1997. The MAPSS model. Gen. Tech. Rep. NE-GTR-237. Radnor, PA:
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research
Station: 111-112.
Neilson,
R.; Chaney, J. 1997. Potential changes in the vegetation distribution
in the United States. Gen. Tech. Rep. NE-GTR-237. Radnor, PA: U.S.
Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research
Station: 66-80.
Schimel,
D.; Emanuel, W.; Rizzo, B.; Smith, T.; Woodward, F.; Fisher, H.;
Kittel, T.; McKeown, R.; Painter, T.; Rosenbloom, N. Ojima, D.;
Parton, W.; Kicklighter, D.; McGuire, A.; Melillo, J.; Pan, Y.,
Haxeltine, A.; Prentice, I.; Sitch, S.; Hibbard, K.; Nemani, R.;
Pierce, L.; Running, S.; Borhcers, J.; Chaney, J.; Neilson, R.;
Braswell, B. 1997. Continental scale variability in ecosystem processes:
models, data, and the role of disturbance. Ecological Monographs.
67: 251-271. [abstract]
1996
Neilson, R.; Running, S. 1996. Global dynamic vegetation modelling:
coupling biogeochemistry and biogeography models. In: Walker, B.;
Steffen, W.; eds. Global change and terrestrial ecosystems. Cambridge,
UK: Cambridge University Press: 451-465.
1995
Kittel,
T.; Rosenbloom, N.; Painter, T.; Schimel, D.; Melillo, J.; Pan,
Y.; Kicklighter, D.; McGuire, A.; Neilson, R.; Chaney, J.; Ojima,
D; McKeown, R.; Parton, W.; Pulliam, W.; Prentice, I.; Haxeltine,
A.; Running, S.; Pierce, L.; Nemani, R.; Hunt, E.; Smith, T.; Rizzo,
B.; Woodward, F. 1995. The VEMAP integrated database for modelling
United States ecosystem/vegetation sensitivity to climate change.
Journal of Biogeography. 22: 857-862.
Lenihan, J.; Neilson, R. 1995. Canadian vegetation sensitivity
to projected climatic change at three organizational levels. Climatic
Change. 30: 27-56.
Neilson,
R. 1995. A model for predicting continental-scale vegetation distribution
and water balance. Ecological Applications. 5(2): 362-385. [abstract]
Pre-1995
Daly, C.; Neilson, R.;
Phillips, D. 1994. A statistical-topographic model for mapping climatological
precipitation over mountainous terrain. Journal of Applied Meteorology.
33(2): 140-158. [abstract]
Neilson, R.; King, G.; Koerper, G. 1992. Toward a rule-based
model. Landscape Ecology. 7(1): 27-43.
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