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Table 1. Trends in U.S. International Trade, Trade with Canada and Mexico, Population, GDP, and Passenger Trips
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Population (millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
United States |
249 |
263 |
281
|
13.2
|
1.2 |
Canada |
28 |
30 |
31
|
10.6
|
1.0 |
Mexico |
81 |
91 |
97
|
19.9
|
1.8 |
Gross domestic product (GDP) |
|
|
|
|
|
United States (billions of current $US) |
5,744 |
7,270 |
9,963
|
73.5
|
5.7 |
United States (billions of chained 1996 $US)1
|
6,708 |
7,544 |
9,319
|
38.9
|
3.3 |
Canada (billions of current $US) |
540 |
546 |
699
|
29.5
|
2.6 |
Mexico (billions of current $US) |
240 |
262 |
575
|
139.0
|
9.1 |
Value of total U.S. international merchandise trade |
|
|
|
|
|
Billions of current dollars |
907 |
1,341 |
1,997
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120.3
|
8.2 |
Billions of chained 1996 dollars1
|
891 |
1,308 |
2,163
|
142.7
|
9.3 |
Value of U.S. trade with NAFTA partners (billions of current $US) |
233 |
380 |
653
|
179.9
|
10.8 |
Thousands of passenger trips between the United States and: |
|
|
|
|
|
Canada |
105,167 |
89,484 |
86,827 2
|
-17.4 2
|
-2.1 |
Mexico |
178,949 |
185,628 |
212,321 2
|
18.6 2
|
1.9 |
1 To compare economic changes over time, current or nominal values of currencies must be deflated or adjusted for inflation. In the United States, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) establishes indices to calculate changes between years. These are used to calculate real chained dollars. Annual changes in the indices are chained (multiplied) together to form a time series. Chained dollars, instead of merely reflecting inflation, capture the effect of relative changes in prices and in the composition of output. They also better reflect cyclical fluctuations in the economy. Chained 1996 dollars are the most currently available indices from BEA for adjusting for inflation. 2 For this category, the last data year is 1999, not 2000, and the percentage change column covers 1990–1999.
SOURCES: Data for trade, population, and GDP for 1990 and 1995—U.S. Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics; U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau; Statistics Canada; Transport Canada; Instituto Mexicano del Transporte; Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía e Informática; and Secretaría de Comunicaciones y Transportes, North American Transportation in Figures: English Edition, BTS00-05 (Washington, DC: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, 2000). Trade data for 2000—Based on U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Merchandise Trade Data; and U.S. Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Transborder Surface Freight Data.
U.S. population data for 2000—U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau.
Canadian population data for 2000—Statistics Canada.
Mexican population data for 2000—Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía e Informática, available at http://www.inegi.gob.mx/estadistica/ingles/sociodem/fisociodemografia.html.
U.S. GDP for 2000—U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis data, available at http://www.ita.doc.gov/td/industry/otea/usfth/aggregate/HL00T05.txt.
Canadian GDP for 2000—Statistics Canada, available at http://www.statcan.ca/english/Pgdb/Economy/econom.htm#nat.
Mexican GDP for 2000—Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía e Informática, available at http://www.inegi.gob.mx/estadistica/ingles/economia/fieconomia.html.
Data for passenger trips between the United States and Canada—Statistics Canada, International Travel, Travel Between Canada and their Countries (Touriscope), Catalogue No. 66-201-XPB (Ottawa, Ontario: Various years).
Data for passenger trips between the United States and Mexico—Banco de México, Dirección General de Investigación Económica, Dirección de Medición Económica, Mexico City, D.F., 1999 and 2001.
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