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Table 4 Bayesian Parameter Estimates and Goodness of Fit Measures for Linear and Quadratic Models Applied to the RARU Data.

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Parameter/
measure		 Linear model Quadratic model
Mean 2.5 percentile 97.5 percentile Mean 2.5 percentile 97.7 percentile
b0 −7.35 −10.64 −5.29 −7.66 −11.72 −5.36
b1 0.54 0.33 0.84 0.55 0.15 1.11
b2 − − − 0.0018 −0.018 0.025
deviance 36.33 26 48 36.3 25.6 48.5
DIC   40   39.6
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