Tropical Storm LARRY

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TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172003
1500Z FRI OCT 03 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE  BAY OF CAMPECHE COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CAMPECHE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  94.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  25SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 100SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  94.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  94.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.7N  94.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  25SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.5N  94.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.3N  94.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.0N  94.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.5N  94.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  50SE  50SW 125NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 18.0N  95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.5N  95.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N  94.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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