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Severe Thunderstorm Warning


SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
729 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAC059-143-060145-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0297.000000T0000Z-081106T0145Z/
DICKINSON IA-OSCEOLA IA-
728 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN OSCEOLA AND SOUTHWESTERN DICKINSON COUNTIES...

AT 728 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHEASTERN OSCEOLA
COUNTY...OR 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF SPENCER...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL OSCEOLA COUNTY EAST OF MAY CITY THROUGH 740 PM CST...
  RURAL DICKINSON COUNTY SOUTHWEST OF LAKE PARK AT 745 PM CST...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

LAT...LON 4326 9540 4326 9551 4344 9544 4342 9531
      4341 9531
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 198DEG 33KT 4331 9545

$$

CHAPMAN







Severe Thunderstorm Watch


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 925
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
505 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 925 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

IAC001-003-009-027-029-047-071-073-077-085-129-133-137-145-155-
165-173-060600-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0925.081105T2305Z-081106T0600Z/

IA
.    IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR                ADAMS               AUDUBON
CARROLL              CASS                CRAWFORD
FREMONT              GREENE              GUTHRIE
HARRISON             MILLS               MONONA
MONTGOMERY           PAGE                POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY               TAYLOR
$$



SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 925
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
505 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 925 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

MOC003-005-021-087-147-060600-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0925.081105T2305Z-081106T0600Z/

MO
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDREW               ATCHISON            BUCHANAN
HOLT                 NODAWAY
$$



SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 925
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
505 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 925 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NEC025-055-097-127-131-133-147-153-177-060600-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0925.081105T2305Z-081106T0600Z/

NE
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CASS                 DOUGLAS             JOHNSON
NEMAHA               OTOE                PAWNEE
RICHARDSON           SARPY               WASHINGTON
$$


ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...ICT...








Severe Weather Statement


SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
729 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAC059-143-060145-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0297.000000T0000Z-081106T0145Z/
DICKINSON IA-OSCEOLA IA-
728 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN OSCEOLA AND SOUTHWESTERN DICKINSON COUNTIES...

AT 728 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHEASTERN OSCEOLA
COUNTY...OR 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF SPENCER...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL OSCEOLA COUNTY EAST OF MAY CITY THROUGH 740 PM CST...
  RURAL DICKINSON COUNTY SOUTHWEST OF LAKE PARK AT 745 PM CST...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

LAT...LON 4326 9540 4326 9551 4344 9544 4342 9531
      4341 9531
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 198DEG 33KT 4331 9545

$$

CHAPMAN







Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
728 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAZ004-005-015-023-024-033>035-044>047-057>059-070>072-081>083-
092>094-061200-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-PALO ALTO-POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-SAC-CALHOUN-WEBSTER-
CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-CASS-ADAIR-
MADISON-ADAMS-UNION-CLARKE-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-
728 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
WESTERN IOWA...WEST OF INTERSTATE 35.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH A FEW
SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL TO QUARTER SIZE AND
DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS...ESPECIALLY
THROUGH MIDNIGHT.  HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED
OUT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF AN INCH OR SO IN A SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT...MAINLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

$$


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
728 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAZ006-007-016-017-025>028-036>039-048>050-060>062-073>075-
084>086-095>097-061200-
WINNEBAGO-WORTH-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-
HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-POLK-JASPER-
POWESHIEK-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-WAYNE-
APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
728 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN IOWA...EAST OF INTERSTATE 35.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL PUSH EAST NEAR THE
INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR BY MID TO LATE EVENING...THEN CONTINUE
SLOWLY EASTWARD OVERNIGHT. AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM WITH LARGE
HAIL TO NICKEL SIZE IS POSSIBLE.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO
2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS APPROACHING 3 INCHES
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING
IN URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS...AS WELL AS ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE...BUT NOT LIKELY...OVERNIGHT.

$$

KINNEY/FAB









HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
500 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-061300-
MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-
PAGE-KNOX-CEDAR-THURSTON-ANTELOPE-PIERCE-WAYNE-BOONE-MADISON-
STANTON-CUMING-BURT-PLATTE-COLFAX-DODGE-WASHINGTON-BUTLER-
SAUNDERS-DOUGLAS-SARPY-SEWARD-LANCASTER-CASS-OTOE-SALINE-
JEFFERSON-GAGE-JOHNSON-NEMAHA-PAWNEE-RICHARDSON-
500 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MUCH OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND
SOUTHWEST IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW POSSIBLY SEVERE...ARE EXPECTED
THIS EVENING GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM BEATRICE TO PENDER
NEBRASKA. ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS...AN ISOLATED TORNADO PRODUCING SUPERCELL IS POSSIBLE.

A LARGE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM OVER THE ROCKIES WILL DEEPEN AS IT
CROSSES NEBRASKA TONIGHT. THE SYSTEM WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT
INTO WESTERN IOWA THIS EVENING. UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AIR
AHEAD OF THE FRONT SYSTEM COMBINED WITH STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL
PRODUCE THE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...MAINLY IN FAR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS EVENING.

$$

CHERMOK




HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
336 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-032>034-
041>044-053>055-061-061200-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE-
FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-
MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON-
WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
336 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT. WHILE SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS...SOME OF THE
STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE SOME PEA SIZED HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY.
HOWEVER...WITH VERY LIMITED INSTABILITY...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED TO OCCUR.

AS COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA...THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND THEN
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. LIGHT
SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO BE THE ONLY PRECIPITATION TYPE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ON GRASSY AREAS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AND TRAVEL IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AFFECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.
HOWEVER...LOCALIZED ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IF THE STORMS WOULD
BECOME A LITTLE STRONGER THAN EXPECTED.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO CALL IS SCHEDULED.

$$

04




HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1255 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-061900-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1255 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

AHEAD OF A STRONG STORM SYSTEM...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED AT
20 TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A FEW GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH
ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW ELEVATED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI THIS
AFTERNOON...THOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED WITH THIS
ACTIVITY.

STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM CENTRAL KANSAS
THROUGH NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND QUICKLY MERGE
INTO A LINE AS THEY MOVE TOWARDS THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE EVENING
HOURS. STORMS SHOULD MOVE INTO EASTERN KANSAS BY THE MID EVENING
HOURS...AND THROUGH WESTERN MISSOURI BY MIDNIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS
ALONG THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...WITH
SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL ALSO POSSIBLE. THOUGH NOT A PARTICULARLY
WIDESPREAD THREAT...BRIEF ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE LINE OF STORMS FOR A SHORT PERIOD THIS
EVENING FROM EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH FAR WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.
THE SEVERE THREAT WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AS THE LINE OF STORMS LOSES THE INSTABILITY
SOURCE.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL LINGER ACROSS IOWA THROUGH
FRIDAY...AND COULD BRING ENOUGH ENERGY AND COOL AIR SOUTH INTO FAR
NORTHERN MISSOURI FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO ALLOW FOR A RAIN/SNOW MIX...OR
CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW. VERY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW MAY BE
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY ON GRASSY SURFACES TOWARDS THE MISSOURI AND
IOWA BORDER.

ANOTHER POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE OUTLOOK AREA
FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY...AND COULD PROVIDE ENOUGH ENERGY AND
COLD AIR TO PRODUCE SNOW OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX OVER PORTIONS OF THE
REGION. THERE REMAINS A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TRACK
AND TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM...SO THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL ALSO REMAINS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND FAR
WESTERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING.

$$

21





HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1211 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
061200-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
1211 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA...GENERALLY SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM BENSON...TO
REDWOOD FALLS...AND TO FAIRMONT DURING LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY OVERNIGHT. PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS THE PRIMARY
THREAT FROM ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP...THOUGH
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA INTO TONIGHT...SOME OF WHICH
MAY BRIEFLY BE STRONG TO SEVERE.

A DEEP AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA...ALONG WITH THE UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AIR
MASS...ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WEST
CENTRAL WISCONSIN DURING THURSDAY...PRIMARILY IN THE MORNING.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH...WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG
WITH RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
AREA WILL BE LIKELY FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. ACCUMULATING
SNOW...FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES...ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW GREATLY
REDUCING VISIBILITIES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA.

$$





HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1157 AM CST WED NOV 05 2008

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-061200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
1157 AM CST WED NOV 05 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ALONG AND EAST OF A YANKTON SOUTH DAKOTA
TO DE SMET SOUTH DAKOTA LINE. A WIND SHIFT LINE WILL BE MOVING
RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...PROGRESSING INTO NORTHWEST IOWA AND
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA IN THE MID AND LATE EVENING HOURS. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP VERY NEAR THIS WIND SHIFT LINE...WITH
A FEW REACHING SEVERE LIMITS WITH WIND GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH...AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS OR HALF DOLLARS. WITH THE AMOUNT OF
SHEAR AVAILABLE...THERE COULD BE AN ISOLATED...BRIEF TORNADO
RIGHT NEAR THE WIND SHIFT LINE.

WIND AND FOG...
GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON FROM MARSHALL
MINNESOTA TO STORM LAKE IOWA. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL DEVELOP BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG AND WEST OF THE JAMES RIVER. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY SHOULD BE 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THIS AREA
WITH NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH AT TIMES. THIS
WILL LIKELY REDUCE THE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. FARTHER
EAST AROUND THE INTERSTATE 29 CORRIDOR...LIGHTER SNOW AMOUNTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT THE WINDS WILL ALSO BE STRONG.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM ABOUT 4 PM TO 9 PM TODAY.
ALSO SPOTTER INFORMATION MAY BE NEEDED ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOR
SNOWFALL REPORTS.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SIOUXFALLS. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

$$




HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
500 AM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-061100-
BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-CEDAR IA-CLARK MO-
CLINTON IA-DELAWARE IA-DES MOINES IA-DUBUQUE IA-HANCOCK IL-
HENDERSON IL-HENRY IA-HENRY IL-IOWA IA-JACKSON IA-JEFFERSON IA-
JO DAVIESS IL-JOHNSON IA-JONES IA-KEOKUK IA-LEE IA-LINN IA-LOUISA IA-
MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-MUSCATINE IA-PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-
SCOTLAND MO-SCOTT IA-STEPHENSON IL-VAN BUREN IA-WARREN IL-
WASHINGTON IA-WHITESIDE IL-
500 AM CST WED NOV 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS TODAY AND MOVE
ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TODAY AND THIS EVENING. MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA FROM WEST TO EAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST THAT THERE IS
ONLY A LOW CHANCE FOR SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS TO PRODUCE SEVERE
WEATHER IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM
MAY PRODUCE GUSTY NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS UP TO 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A BAND OF SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING...BEFORE THEY EXIT THE AREA TO THE EAST
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN...THERE IS ONLY A LOW CHANCE THAT A FEW OF
THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. THE RAIN MAY BE
LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES...WITH SOME LOCATIONS RECEIVING FROM A HALF
INCH...UP TO AROUND 1 INCH OF RAINFALL BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A
DRY SLOT SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND THE STORMS...STRONG SOUTHWEST
GRADIENT WINDS MAY GUST FROM 30 TO 40 MPH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

AS THE LOW PRESSURE STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY...IT MAY EVENTUALLY DRAW IN ENOUGH COLD AIR TO PRODUCE
SNOW SHOWERS IN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA FROM LATE FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. SOME MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY EVEN BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECASTS AND
UPDATES CONCERNING THIS SIGNIFICANT MID TO LATE WEEK STORM SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE THAT SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED LATE
TODAY AND TONIGHT MAINLY WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

$$

WOLF/12






Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
718 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-060315-
ANOKA-BENTON-BLUE EARTH-BROWN-CARVER-CHIPPEWA-CHISAGO-DAKOTA-DOUGLAS-
FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-GOODHUE-HENNEPIN-ISANTI-KANABEC-KANDIYOHI-
LAC QUI PARLE-LE SUEUR-MARTIN-MCLEOD-MEEKER-MILLE LACS-MORRISON-
NICOLLET-POPE-RAMSEY-REDWOOD-RENVILLE-RICE-SCOTT-SHERBURNE-SIBLEY-
STEARNS-STEELE-STEVENS-SWIFT-TODD-WASECA-WASHINGTON-WATONWAN-WRIGHT-
YELLOW MEDICINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBERT LEA...ALEXANDRIA...BENSON...
CAMBRIDGE...FAIRMONT...HUTCHINSON...MANKATO...MILACA...MINNEAPOLIS...
MONTEVIDEO...NEW ULM...OWATONNA...RED WING...REDWOOD FALLS...
ST CLOUD...ST PAUL...ST PETER...STILLWATER...WILLMAR
718 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

.NOW...
MULTIPLE BANDS OF WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
MOVING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OUT OF IOWA...ACROSS MINNESOTA AND WESTERN
WISCONSIN. A NEW SURGE OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETELY SPREAD
OUT OF IOWA...ACROSS MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS...AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT.

A TOTAL OF A QUARTER INCH TO A HALF AN INCH OF RAIN FALL IS POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING FROM THIS NEW ROUND OF MOISTURE THAT IS JUST BEGINNING
TO SPREAD INTO THE REGION.

$$





SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
706 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAZ004-015-023-033-034-060200-
ESTHERVILLE-
706 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

.NOW...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO AN AREA FROM
ESTHERVILLE TO SAC CITY BY 745 PM.  STRONG WIND GUSTS AND BRIEF
HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

$$


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
706 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAZ044>046-057-058-070-071-081-092-060200-
ATLANTIC-CARROLL-DENISON-
706 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

.NOW...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 925 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM SPENCER TO SHENANDOAH IS
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.  THESE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE
WATCH AREA BY 715 PM.  SOME STORMS IN THIS LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.  BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL IS
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STORMS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO A
QUARTER INCH IN 15 MINUTES IS POSSIBLE.

$$


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
706 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAZ059-072-082-093-060200-
CRESTON-MOUNT AYR-
706 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

.NOW...

A LINE OF STORMS FROM GUTHRIE CENTER TO CLEARFIELD HAS DEVELOPED
AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE THAT EXTENDS FROM SPENCER TO SHENANDOAH.
THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT.  DAMAGING
WIND IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS ALONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.
RAINFALL RATES WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE AROUND A QUARTER INCH IN 15
MINUTES.

$$

FAB




SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
618 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ067-068-090>093-060330-
MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-
PAGE-CASS-OTOE-JOHNSON-NEMAHA-PAWNEE-RICHARDSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONAWA...MISSOURI VALLEY...HARLAN...
COUNCIL BLUFFS...GLENWOOD...RED OAK...SIDNEY...CLARINDA...
PLATTSMOUTH...NEBRASKA CITY...TECUMSEH...AUBURN...PAWNEE CITY...
FALLS CITY
617 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

.NOW...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM MAPLETON TO PAWNEE CITY
WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. HE LINE OF STORMS SHOULD EXTEND FROM AN AUDUBON...IOWA TO
NEAR RED OAK BY 730 PM.MANY OF THE STORMS WILL HAVE BRIEF DOWNPOURS
OF RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH.T
$$

SMITH




SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
541 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-032>034-
041>044-053>055-061-060200-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE-
FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-
MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON-
WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AUSTIN...BLACK RIVER FALLS...
CHARLES CITY...DECORAH...LA CROSSE...MAUSTON...MEDFORD...
NEILLSVILLE...OELWEIN...PLATTEVILLE...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...
RICHLAND CENTER...ROCHESTER...SPARTA/TOMAH...VIROQUA...WAUKON...
WINONA
541 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

.NOW...
THROUGH 8 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. MUCH OF THE
RAIN THROUGH 8 PM SHOULD OCCUR IN A CORRIDOR FROM MEDFORD TO LA
CROSSE WISCONSIN...TO OELWEIN IOWA. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS
ALSO POSSIBLE.

$$

THOMPSON




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