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GLERL Updates 2004 Archive

  

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December 15, 2004

Contents
1) The Future of Open-Water Observation Technology for Great Lakes Research
2) Web Content Design and Evaluation
3) NOAA Great Lakes Seminar Series at GLERL
4) GLERL in the News - Lake Michigan Salmon
5) Sediment resuspension may be underestimated by current models
6) Magnitude and origin of PCB and DDT compounds resuspended in southern Lake Michigan
7) Histological Characteristics of Abnormal Protrusions ('tumors') on copepods from Lake Michigan
8) Great Lakes Bathymetry Project Status
9) New Reprints - climate, groundwater, episodic events, ice, waves, PCBs, copepods, food web, alewives
10) NCRAIS News
11) NOAA Center of Excellence for Great Lakes and Human Health (CEGLHH) News
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1) The Future of Open-Water Observation Technology for Great Lakes Research
from GLERL Notes

A Nov 30-Dec 3 workshop was held in Ann Arbor as a first major step toward forming an integrated, open-lake, research-based observing system in the Great Lakes. The workshop was co-sponsored by NOAA and the IJC's Council of Great Lakes Research Managers. The Council has a specific charge to coordinate research in the Great Lakes.

The purpose of the workshop was to 1) examine the state of the art in open water sensor technology and techniques for collecting and transmitting data, 2) assess the research needs in the Great Lakes that require such spatial and temporal sampling technologies and 3) discuss how such a system can be developed and operated amongst key research managers in the Great Lakes.

Some of the key questions being addressed are:

* What are the fundamental scientific questions that require such an integrated observing system to answer?
* What physical, chemical, and biological sensor data should be collected on a standard and comparable basis throughout the Great Lakes basin?
* What gaps exist in current open water systems and how should they be filled?
* What additional research data should be collected for particular lakes?
* Can current sensor technology satisfy these needs?

2) Web Content Design and Evaluation
On February 22, GLERL will be hosting a NOAA Coastal Services Center workshop on Web Content Design and Evaluation. This one-day course is focuses on how to plan, organize, and evaluate your Web site to ensure you are meeting your communication objectives. It is intended for any natural resource professional working with web content - not just webmasters. Workshop participation is free but class size is limited so register early. Workshop flyer -- http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/seagrant/GLERLUpdates/webcourseflyer.pdf

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NOAA Great Lakes Seminar Series at GLERL

Speaker suggestions for the 2005 seminar series welcome. We would particularly like to focus on issues relating to Great Lakes and Human Health and issues relating to Lake Erie.

Recent seminar videos in the archive - http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/news/seminars/pastseminars.html

* "An Examination of Winds and Waves on Lake Superior Associated with the Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald on November 10, 1975" Speaker:Dr. David Schwab, Physical Limnologist, GLERL

Coming soon -

* December 16 - Dr. David Reid, GLERL "Modelling of Ballast Water Flow Dynamics in Ballast Tanks During BAllast Water Exchange" This seminar will be taped.
* January 20 - Dr. Doran MAson, GLERL "Numerical and PhysiologicalResponse of Fish to Reef Habitat in Marine Coastal Ecosystems" Thisseminar will be taped.

3) GLERL in the News - Lake Michigan Salmon
Excerpt from :Paradise in peril:Lake Michigan is showing signs of vulnerability - or even ecological breakdown. By DAN EGAN Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, December 11, 2004. Full article:
globe icon indicates a link to a non-NOAA sitehttp://www.jsonline.com/news/state/dec04/283365.asp

On the surface, Lake Michigan remains one of the world's biggest and wildest bodies of freshwater and one of its most popular fishing destinations. But under water, it is largely a man-made production. Lake Michigan has been engineered into a system focused on producing a maximum amount of sport fish, most of which are not native to its waters. About 13 million exotic salmon and trout are planted yearly, creating what retired Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources fishery chief Lee Kernen calls a "sportsman's paradise." But today, it is a paradise imperiled.

This year the salmon were biting on just about anything, and commercial fisherman Dennis Hickey says he knows why: They are starving. Salmon stomachs are normally packed with alewives. This year, Hickey says, the lake's biggest fish are swimming on empty. Preliminary numbers from an alewife survey this fall back up what Hickey has been seeing on his cutting board. The lake's population has dropped from 25% to 50% in just the past year.

Theories for the decline include overstocking of salmon and trout, and natural alewife population fluctuations. Most ominous, there is mounting evidence that the lake could be on the brink of "ecosystem shock," a food chain collapse caused by a non-stop invasion of foreign species. Salmon might be something of a sentinel for the lake; if the king of the food chain is in trouble, the rest of the kingdom probably is, too. "If something is happening to salmon, it has probably gone way past the point that you ever wanted it to get to," says Steve Pothoven, a biologist with the University of Michigan. "But that's where people begin to notice it."

Excerpt from "Hungry salmon downsizing as food disappears" by Jeff Alexander in Muskegon Chronicle - Tuesday, December 14, 2004
Full text at: globe icon indicates a link to a non-NOAA sitehttp://www.mlive.com/news/muchronicle/index.ssf?/base/news-5/1103042736134270.xml

Lake Michigan salmon are shrinking and the phenomenon may be linked to zebra mussels. Call it the Caspian Sea diet. Imported to the Great Lakes from Eastern Europe's Caspian Sea in the ballast water of freighters, zebra mussels have spent the past two decades wreaking havoc on tiny creatures at the base of the lakes' food chain. The results of those changes are now becoming evident in Lake Michigan alewife and chinook salmon, which are smaller and weigh less than in the past.

The alewife population in Lake Huron has crashed and is dropping like a rock in Lake Michigan, scientists say. That's bad news for salmon, which feast almost exclusively on alewives. "I wouldn't sell my salmon boat yet, but I'd be concerned," said Steve Pothoven, a research associate at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Lake Michigan Field Station in Muskegon. Pothoven said salmon are not growing as large as in years past because there are fewer alewife in Lake Michigan and the alewife are skinnier. Zebra mussels are at least partially responsible for the changes; the fingernail-sized mollusks have been linked to the decline of diporeia in Lake Michigan, tiny shrimp-like creatures that alewife eat.
The Lake Michigan alewife population has decreased by at least half over the past two years, researchers said. "I'd guess the alewife population in Lake Michigan was down 25-50 percent this year -- it was a pretty big drop," said Chuck Madenjian, a research fishery biologist at the U.S. Geological Survey's Great Lakes Science Center in Ann Arbor. This year's decrease came on the heels of a 30 percent drop in the lake's alewife population in 2003. Pothoven and Madenjian said the shrinking alewife population is not a crisis ... yet. It could reach crisis proportions if Lake Michigan follows the pattern of changes in Lake Huron, where alewife have all but disappeared. The two lakes are essentially one body of water and have many ecological similarities."If alewife weren't an exotic species in Lake Huron, they'd be an endangered species," Pothoven said. Earlier this year, scientists said chinook salmon stocked in Lake Huron were migrating to Lake Michigan in search of food.

It's possible that alewife could stage a comeback in Lake Michigan, but changes caused by zebra mussels will make that more difficult than in the past. Pothoven said the scarcity of diporeia has resulted in Lake Michigan alewife losing 10 percent of their body fat. The amount of body fat is an indicator of fish health; fat fish are healthier than skinny ones. "Ultimately, the lake will be less productive over the long haul. I think we'll see fewer top predators, salmon and lake trout," Pothoven said.

Chuck Pistis, a Michigan Sea Grant agent based in Grand Haven, said anglers are concerned about the shrinking size of Lake Michigan salmon. But he said the alewife population has rebounded in the past from steep population declines. Charter boat captains reported catching large numbers of salmon this year, but they were smaller than in the past, Pistis said. "I worked three tournaments this year and we hardly saw any fish over 20 pounds," he said. "But the catch rates were fantastic."

4) Sediment resuspension may be underestimated by current models
from GLERL Notes

One of the impoortant issues for tracing the fate of particle-associated materials such as contaminants is the ability to follow and trace particles in the lakes. These particle-associated materials play an important role in ecosystem functioning and status. This work by Nathan Hawley, Barry Lescht, and David Schwab examined the ability of the current wave model to predict the resuspension of sediments. In over 80% of the cases the bottom stresses calculated from both observations and the wave model agree as to whether resuspension occurs. However, 70% of this agreement was for cases where resuspension would not occur and 6% of the cases are where both the model and observations predict resuspension. The bottom stresses calculated from the model were usually lower than those calculated from observations. Thus resuspension estimates based on the wave model parameters will under-predict that expected based on observed waves.

5) Magnitude and origin of PCB and DDT compounds resuspended in southern Lake Michigan
from GLERL Notes

Some of the most important particle-associated contaminants in the Great Lakes are the persistent organic contaminants such as polyclorinated biphenyls (PCBs) and other chlorinated hydrocarbons. These particle-associated contaminants are thought to contribute significantly to the overall load to the lakes during resuspension events. The work of Keri Hornbuckle, Gretchen Smith, Sondra Miller, Brian Eadie, and Margaret Lansing shows during intense resuspension events, as often occur in the spring in the Great Lakes, the sediments on the bottom of Lake Michigan share the same chemical signal as the suspended and settling sediments in the water column above or nearby. The sediments in shallow waters show a signature that is enriched in lower molecular weight PCB cogeners while the deeper lake sediments are more enriched in the heavier PCB cogeners and DDT. The reason for the difference was thought to be due in part to particle sorting that occurs as sediment particles are moved due to the circulation of the waters in the lake. The heavier particles should not be transported as far as those that are smaller and lighter in weight. Thus, differential distribution of the compounds because of differences in the composition of the particles may accoun for the different distribution between shallow and deep bay sediments. Thus the resuspension process will contribute to the redistribution of contaminants within the lake and becomes an important process for predicting the fate of contaminants within the lakes.

6) Histological Characteristics of Abnormal Protrusions ('tumors') on copepods from Lake Michigan
from GLERL Notes

Some time back, a phenomenon was observed that excited the public with the finding of growths (maybe neoplasia) on zooplankton. Subsequently, the problem was thought to be fully the result of parasites. This study by Gretchen Mssick, Hank Vanderploeg, Joann Cavaletto, and Suzanne Tyler expanded the work and was able to identify ellobiopsid parasites caused the protrusions observed on zooplankton in about 3% of the cases. Necrotic tissue was present in 58% of the protrusions and 40% contained what appeared to be herniated host tissue. This histology is not consistent with parasites as the causative agent. Fixation and collection of artifacts have been ruled out. Thus the source of the problem remains unidentified and efforts to determine the cause continue.

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7) Great Lakes Bathymetry Project Status
The data rescue bathymetry project is continuing to make progress. Digitization of the final portions of the Lake Huron map is expected to be complete by June 2005 - with the full color maps to available shortly thereafter. The far western and eastern portions of the US side of Lake Superior have been digitized and contouring of the data sheets for the US side of Lake Superior is expected to be complete in March 2005 (see chart). Progress on digitization of these contour datasets will continue this summer pending availability of funding. Contouring of data for the Canadian side of Lake Superior has not yet been started - best case puts completion of the Lake Superior map (the last in the series) sometime in 2007. Maps can be ordered through NOAA-NGDC at
bird icon indicates a link to a NOAA sitehttp://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/greatlakes/greatlakes.html

8) New Reprints - climate, groundwater, episodic events, ice, waves, PCBs, copepods, food web, alewives
Assel, RA, FH Quinn, and CE Sellinger. Hydroclimatic factors of the recent record drop in Laurentian Great Lakes water levels. Bulletin of the American Meteorlogical Society 85(8)1143-1151 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040017.pdf

Croley, TE II. Spatially distributed model of interacting surface and groundwater storages. Proceedings, World Water amd Environmental Resources Congress, Salt Lake City, UT, June 27-July 1, 2004. Environmental Water REsources Institute, American Society of Civil Engineers, Washington, DC, 10pp. 2004. /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040020.pdf

Kerfoot, WC, JW Budd, BJ Eadie, HA Vanderploeg, and M Agy. Winter storms: sequential sediment traps record Daphnia ephippial production, resuspension, and sediment interactions. Limnology and Oceanography 49 (4, part 3): 1365-1481 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040018.pdf

Leshkevich, GA and SV Ngheim. Recent anomalies in Great Lakes ice cover based on statistical analysis and observation. Proceedings, 2004 IEEE Intrernational Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (IGARSS), Anchorage, AK, September 20-24, 2004, 1pp. (2004) http://ww.glerl.noaa.gov/pubs/fulltext/2004/20040022.pdf.

Liu, P.C., and A.V. Babanin. Using wavelet spectrum analysis to resolve breaking events in the wind wave time series. Annales Geophysicae 22:3335-3345 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040024.pdf

Lofgren, B.M. A model for simulation of the climate and hydrology of the Great Lakes basin. Journal of Geophysical Research 109:D18108, 20 pp. (2004).

McCarty, HB, J Schofield, K Miller, RN Brent, PL VanHoof, and BJ Eadie. Results of the Lake Michigan Mass Balance Study: Polychlorinated biphenyls and trans-nonachlor data report. EPA 905 R-01-011, US EPA GLNPO, Chicago, IL, 300pp. (2004) /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040021.pdf.

Messick, GA, HA Vanderploeg, JF Cavaletto, and SS Tyler. Histological characteristics of abnormal protrusions on copepods from lake Michigan, USA. Zoological Studies 43(2)314-322 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040019.pdf.

Peacor, SD, and EE Werner. How dependent are species-pair interaction strengths on other species in the food web? Ecology 85(10) 2754-2763 (2004).
/pubs/fulltext/2004/20040023.pdf.

Pothoven, SA and HA Vanderploeg. Diet and prey selection of alewives in Lake Michigan: Seasonal, depth, and interannual patterns. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 133:1068-1077 (2004).

9) NCRAIS News

NCRAIS is staffing up! Dr. Doran Mason has been appointed as NCRAIS' Southeast/Gulf of Mexico Regional Coordinator and Dr. Rochelle Sturtevant has been appointed as the Great Lakes Regional Coordinator and (national) Outreach Coordinator. We are both looking forward to these new roles. Partnership opportunities are also on the rise. Center Director Dr. Dave Reid has been invited to join the new National Sea Grant AIS Theme Team. In the short term, we hope this new association will help to strengthen Sea Grant's role in NOAA AIS research and in development of an outreach strategy for NCRAIS. The NCRAIS staff has also been invited to join regular conference calls of the SGNIS (Sea Grant Nonindigenous Invasive Species web site) management team.

NCRAIS hosted a NOAA Aquatic Invasive Species Research Strategic Planning Workshop in Charleston September 7-10. The workshop was attended by 21 NOAA staff representing most line offices with significant AIS research responsibilities including NMFS, NOS, OAR, Sea Grant, the National Estuarine Research Reserves and Marine Sanctuaries. Workshop discussions are being synthesized by breakout session chairs into a draft strategic AIS research plan that should be ready for circulation to NOAA staff late this winter.

NCRAIS researcher David Raikow presented a paper on Resting Eggs and Biocides at the 13th International Conference on AIS in Ennis, Ireland. Treatment of ballast residuals with biocides has been proposed as a possible control method but the potential effectiveness of this method for treating resting eggs is not understood. Dave reported that SeaKleen, a commercial product consisting of Menadione, was toxic to resting eggs (at concentrations higher than that for adult invertebrates) though restings eggs with protective structures were more resistant. SeaKleen retained its toxicity over short time periods in the dark but degraded quickly in sunlight. Dave is also attending the Data Exchange Conference in Detroit presenting an overview of the Great Lakes ANS Database project.

10) NOAA Center of Excellence for Great Lakes and Human Health (CEGLHH) News
from GLERL Notes

The NOAA CEGLHH is directed by Dr. Stephen Brandt and has 24 principal investigators and 11 federal and university partners. The primary role of the new center is to use multidisciplinary research to develop technology for predicting the formation of toxic algal blooms, beach closings, and water quality in the Great Lakes basin. The goal of the Center is to use GLERL's broad scientific expertise to significantly reduce threats to human health through ecological forecasting, which uses scientific understanding and models of climate, weather, circulation patterns, hydrology, land use, and biology to predict the location and severity of toxins in the water, beach closures, and water quality conditions. Such information will allow Great Lakes managers and users to rapidly respond to changes in lake condition and
warn the public of potential health risks in a timely manner. The information will ultimately aid coastal decision-makers in long-term planning to minimize human health hazards.

The center is partnering with other research institutions, universities and federal agencies and will include training programs for Great Lakes managers, publications, and public-access websites drawing from the research activities. The work of the new center will also link to research and coastal uses through the Great Lakes Sea Grant Network (extension and education).

On September 7th and 8th, the principal investigators gathered at GLERL for the first all-PI meeting to discuss the research and outreach activities of the center. Center scientists presented detailed backgrounds of their expertise and recent research covering topics such as "Assessing Human Health Risks from Microbials" (Dr. Joan Rose), "Transport of Pathogens in Surface Water and Ground Water: Integrating Modeling and Observations" (Dr. Phanikumar Mantha), and "The USe of Satellite Imagery in the Detection and Monitoring of Microcystis Blooms (Shelly Tomlinson). The PIs discussed how best to address user needs and focus outreach activities. Plans were made for bi-annual meetings and new research directions and partnerships. For more information, see the Center's new website at
http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/Centers/HumanHealth.

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November 15, 2004

Contents
1. GLERL Annual Proposal Review
2. New Reprints - food webs
3. NOAA Great Lakes Seminar Series at GLERL
4. Staff News From CILER...
5. And from Thunder Bay...

1. GLERL Annual Proposal Review

GLERL is gearing up for the annual proposal review. Sea Grant staff are welcome to attend the 2-day proposal review presentations on December 6&7 at GLERL. Contact Rochelle Sturtevant <rochelle.sturtevant@noaa.gov> if you are interested in attending all or a portion of the review. Draft proposals are due Wednesday and will be posted on-line asap... (along with progress reports on 2004 and continuing projects).

Web address: http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/biz/mgt/prop/cy05/
Username: propeval
PWd: cy05eval

Sea Grant staff are welcome to provide comments directly to the GLERL PI's between now and November 30 (or go through Rochelle for contact info). Please also let me know if there are particular projects in which you are interested from an outreach/extension/education perspective (i.e., send you updates on progress, explore outreach opportunities, arrange for a presentation by a PI at a local event, etc.).

2. New Reprints - food webs

Peacor, S.D., and E.E. Werner. How dependent are species-pair interaction strengths on other species in the food web? Ecology 85(10):2754-2763 (2004).
/pubs/fulltext/2004/20040023.pdf

Pothoven, S.A., and H.A. Vanderploeg. Diet and prey selection of alewives in Lake Michigan: Seasonal, depth, and interannual patterns. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 133:1068-1077 (2004).

3. NOAA Great Lakes Seminar Series at GLERL

New video's available in the archive <http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/news/seminars/pastseminars.html>...

* "The Northwest Fisheries Science Center and NOAA's West Coast Center for Oceans and Human Health" Dr. Usha Varanasi, Director, NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Seattle, WA.
* "Habitat-mediated production and recruitment of young alewives in Lake Michigan"; Tomas Höök, Doctoral Candidate, University of Michigan
* "Spatial Modeling of Fish Growth Rate and Predator-Prey Interactions" Dr. Stephen Brandt, Director, GLERL

Upcoming seminars... http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/news/seminars/

* November 18 (10:30am) "An Examination of Winds and Waves on Lake Superior Associated with the Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald on November 10, 1975" Dr. David Schwab, Physical Limnologist, GLERL
* December 16 (10:30am) "Modeling of Ballast Water Flow Dynamics in Ballast Tanks During Ballast Water Exchange" Dr. David Reid, Research Physical Scientist, Aquatic Invasive Species Task Leader, GLERL

4. Staff News From CILER...

Tom Johengen will be stepping down as CILER Director (effective Jan 1) in order to concentrate more fully on research in the School of Natural Resources and Environment. SNRE has named Don Scavia (MI Sea Grant Director) as the Interim CILER Director until a search can be launched for a new permanent Director. Don will immediately begin working with CILER, and he and Tom will work together closely on transitional issues and in preparing for CILER's upcoming formal review in March.

5. And from Thunder Bay...
Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary and Underwater Preserve to Build a Great Lakes Maritime Heritage Center
See more at Detroit News - http://www.detnews.com/2004/metro/0410/31/d06-320407.htm

The Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary and Underwater Preserve has signed a 20 year lease with Alpena Marc L.L.C., for the development of a new Great Lakes Maritime Heritage Center. This center will be housed at the former Fletcher Paper Mill facility in Alpena, Michigan. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has committed an initial $2.5 million investment to renovate the historic 20,000 square foot building. When completed, the facility will include exhibits specific to the maritime history of Thunder Bay, as well as the historic resources found within and around the sanctuary. Other areas of the center will include: an auditorium to view films and live footage from shipwrecks, an archaeological conservation laboratory, education resource room, research facilities, and administrative space. The sanctuary offices will reside in the new facility by Summer 2005. Contact: matt.stout@noaa.gov

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October 18, 2004

Contents
1. GLERL Annual Proposal Review
2. Workshop - The Future of Open Water Observation Technology for Great Lakes Research
3. Great Lakes Beach Conference 2004
4. GLERL in the News -Toxic algae blooming in area lakes; scientists blame zebra mussels
5. NOAA 2004 Distinguished Career Award Recipients
6. Science Branch Chief
7. New Reprints - water levels, groundwater, storms, ice, mass balance, copepod 'tumors'
8. Job Posting - Information Technology Specialist

1. GLERL Annual Proposal Review
GLERL will hold it's annual internal proposal review on December 6th and 7th. GLERL PI's are required to submit proposals for all internally and externally funded research which they plan to conduct over the next year. The proposal review process provides opportunity for strengthening GLERL research plans, increasing collaboration, and forms the basis for allotment of staff and support resources. PI's are currently working on their proposals which are due November 17 - so now would be a good time for University researchers interested in collaborating with GLERL scientists to explore opportunities and ideas. Proposals will be available for review by Sea Grant staff (expect a note from me shortly after November 17th with a URL and password for access). Let me know if you would be interested in attending the review (2 days of presentations by GLERL PIs) in person (rochelle.sturtevant@noaa.gov).

2. Workshop - The Future of Open Water Observation Technology for Great Lakes Research
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab and the International Joint Commission, Council of Great Lakes Research Managers are sponsoring a workshop on the Future of Open Water Observation Technology for Great Lakes Research. The workshop will be held in Ann Arbor, Michigan on November 30 to December 3rd, 2004. See website for more information.
Globe icon indicates a link to a non-NOAA sitehttp://www.canamglass.org/workshop/index.html Folks interested in GLOS should particularly consider attending.

3. Great Lakes Beach Conference 2004
Speakers from GLERL's new Center of Excellence for Great Lakes and Human Health are included in the program for the 4th Annual Great Lakes Beach Association Conference on Recreational Water Quality on December 1 in Parma, Ohio. Local, state and national program status, latest Great Lakes research and current water quality trends will be highlighted

The Great Lakes Beach Association was founded in 2001 to bring together beach managers, scientists, agencies, officials and private groups to exchange information and improve recreational water quality. The annual meeting is an important means of achieving this goal. This year's conference is hosted by Cuyahoga County Board of Health.

4. GLERL in the News -Toxic algae blooming in area lakes; scientists blame zebra mussels
Excerpt from the Muskegon Chronicle, Sunday, October 17, 2004. J Alexander.

Scientists who recently tested algae scum on Muskegon Lake found elevated concentrations of microcystins. When ingested via drinking tainted water, the naturally occurring poisons can cause vomiting, diarrhea, fever, rashes, throat irritation and, in extreme cases, liver damage and cancer. "I don't want to scare people, but the levels of microcystins we found are significant. These are very high concentrations and are on the same order of magnitude as the highest concentrations of microcystins ever reported," said Gary Fahnenstiel, director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Lake Michigan Field Station NOAA's in Muskegon. The concentration of microcystins in algae scum floating in the middle of Muskegon Lake was four times higher than the highest levels found in Lake Erie in 2000. The Muskegon Lake samples represented the "worst-case scenario," Fahnenstiel said, because they were taken from algae scum floating on the lake. But the Bear Lake sample was taken in an area with no scum on the water -- the blue-green algae looked more like pollen in the water.

The 238 parts per billion of microcystins found in the Muskegon Lake algae bloom "does represent a health risk -- mostly to accidental ingestion by pets or swimmers," said Wayne Carmichael, a professor of biological sciences at Wright State University. Carmichael is one of the world's leading experts on microcystins. The World Health Organization's maximum exposure guideline for microcystins in recreational waters is 20 parts per billion, Carmichael said. The other samples taken here found: 96 parts per billion of microcystins in a boat basin at the Lake Michigan Field Station, near the Muskegon Lake channel; 41 ppb near the Harbour Towne beach; and 20 ppb in the middle of Bear Lake.

Fahnenstiel, one of the world's leading experts on algae, said people should avoid swimming, wading, windsurfing, canoeing or water-skiing in areas of lakes with blue-green algal blooms. Dogs also should avoid those waters. Although few people are out on area lakes now, Fahnenstiel said it would be wise in the future to avoid going in water where blue-green algae is present. Wind and waves will disperse the surface scum, but the algae usually slips below the surface and returns when the water is calm. "As a scientist and boater who spends time on Muskegon Lake -- my kids swim and tube in the lake -- I would not go in the water when these blooms are present," Fahnenstiel said. Rick Rediske, a professor of water resources at Grand Valley State University and chairman of the Muskegon Lake Public Advisory Council, said he would limit activities in any lake with a blue-green algal bloom: "I would boat in it but I wouldn't swim in it," he said. There is no evidence that microcystins have affected fish or humans here, but no studies have been conducted.

Although blue-green algae has poisoned drinking water supplies in other countries, Fahnenstiel said it is unlikely microcystins will foul Lake Michigan, a source of drinking water for much of Muskegon, Ottawa and Kent counties. Wave action in the lake is usually too intense to allow blue-green algal blooms to form, and the local drinking water intakes are deep enough to avoid the harmful algae, which floats to the water's surface. A 2000 study performed by NOAA scientists in Saginaw Bay and Lake Erie warned that microcystins, which don't break down quickly in the environment, could move up the food chain, from invertebrates to fish and, ultimately, to people who eat the tainted fish.

Blue-green algal blooms have long been common in lakes with high levels of phosphorous, such as Spring Lake. Zebra mussels are now causing the blooms in lakes with low phosphorous levels, according to scientific studies. A Michigan State University study published earlier this year concluded that blue-green algal blooms could occur in any lake where zebra mussels are present. More than 100 Michigan lakes are infested with zebra mussels, according to state data. "These algae blooms are not likely to go away," Fahnenstiel said. "Our experience in the Great Lakes has been that once these blooms appear, they occur every year. If you have zebra mussels in your lake, you'd better be looking out for these algal blooms."

Sarah Holden, a Michigan Department of Environmental Quality aquatic biologist, said the state has not been monitoring for microcystins in lakes. "I think it is a relatively uncommon thing that is starting to become more frequent," Holden said. "We're trying to get a handle on it, figure out the best way to find lakes with problems, figure out what the health concerns are for people and how to get the word out." Microcystin contamination has never been documented in area lakes until now because no one ever tested for the toxins. Although blue-green algae has been a problem in other parts of the world for more than a century, it has only emerged as an issue in the United States in recent years, according to several scientists. "There could be lakes out there, such as Spring Lake, that could be very high (for microcystins). We just haven't sampled them," Fahnenstiel said. Spring Lake, one of West Michigan's most popular and intensely studied lakes, is notorious for massive blue-green algal blooms. Scientists from Grand Valley State University have thoroughly studied those blooms and phosphorous pollution in Spring Lake, but did not test for toxic microcystins in the algae, said Alan Steinman, director of GVSU's Annis Water Resources Institute. He said the test is difficult and costly to perform.

Microcystin contamination has been a problem for more than 100 years in other countries. There have been numerous cases of people, dogs and livestock becoming ill after drinking or wading in water laced with microcystins. In Brazil, more than 60 kidney patients died after drinking water laced with microcystins passed through their dialysis machines. People have become ill and some dogs have died recently in Vermont after falling into blue-green algae on picturesque Lake Champlain. Soldiers in Great Britain were sickened after canoeing through a blue-green algal bloom, and a Wisconsin boy died last year after falling into an agricultural pond contaminated with microcystins, Fahnenstiel said.

5. NOAA 2004 Distinguished Career Award Recipients
GLERL's Ray Assel is among the recipients of the 2004 Distinguished Career Award. The award cites Ray's career of research leading to improved understanding and prediction of Great Lakes ice cover. The Distinguished Career Award reflects cumulative career achievement and sustained excellence in advancing NOAA's goals and mission. This award honors contributions on a sustained basis--a body of work--rather than a single, defined accomplishment. In addition, the Distinguished Career Award recognizes significant accomplishments across all NOAA program areas and functions which have resulted in long-term benefits to NOAA's mission and strategic goals.

6. Science Branch Chief
Dr. Peter Landrum is now Science Branch Chief for GLERL. The position of Science Branch Chief is rotated among GLERL PI's on an annual basis.

7. New Reprints - water levels, groundwater, storms, ice, mass balance, copepod 'tumors'
Assel, R.A., F.H. Quinn, and C.E. Sellinger. Hydroclimatic factors of the recent record drop in Laurentian Great Lakes water levels. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 85(8):1143-1151 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040017.pdf

Croley, T.E. II. Spatially distributed model of interacting surface and groundwater storages. Proceedings, World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, Salt Lake City, UT, June 27-July 1, 2004. Environmental Water Resources Institute, American Society of Civil Engineers, Washington, DC, 10 pp. (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040020.pdf

Kerfoot, W.C., J.W. Budd, B.J. Eadie, H.A. Vanderploeg, and M. Agy. Winter storms: sequential sediment traps record Daphnia ephippial production, resuspension, and sediment interactions. Limnology and Oceanography 49(4, part 2): 1365-1481 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040018.pdf

Leshkevich, G.A., and S.V.Nghiem. Recent anomalies in Great Lakes ice cover based on statistical analysis and observation. Proceedings, 2004 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (IGARSS), Anchorage, AK, September 20-24, 2004, 1 pp. (2004).
/pubs/fulltext/2004/20040022.pdf

McCarty, H.B., J. Schofield, K. Miller, R.N. Brent, P.L. VanHoof, and B.J. Eadie. Results of the Lake Michigan Mass Balance Study: Polychloroinated Biphenyls and trans-nonachlor data report. EPA 905 R-01-011, U.S. EPA Great Lakes National Program Office, Chicago, IL, 300 pp. (2004).
/pubs/fulltext/2004/20040021.pdf

Messick, G.A., H.A. Vanderploeg, J.F. Cavaletto, and S.S. Tyler. Histological characteristics of abnormal protrusions on copepods from Lake Michigan, USA. Zoological Studies 43(2):314-322 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040019.pdf

8. Job Posting - Information Technology Specialist
Announcement Number: C-ERL-05001.slw
PP/Series/Grade: GS/2210/05 (2 year term)
Location: Ann Arbor, MI
Closing Date: 10/21
You can view the full vacancy announcement on the COOL website at bird icon indicates a link to a non-GLERL NOAA sitehttp://www.jobs.doc.gov

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September 20, 2004

Contents:
1. GLERL in the News: NOAA Magazine, "NOAA's Ocean and Human Health Initiative!"
2. GLERL in the News: Lab aims to forecast Great Lakes water woes
3. New Reprints: Sediments, Benthos, Climate, Ice, Remote Sensing
4. New Fact Sheet: Climate Change and Lake Levels

_________________________________________________________________________
1. GLERL in the News: NOAA Magazine, "NOAA's Ocean and Human Health Initiative!"
Excerpt from: Bird icon indicates a NOAA sitehttp://www.magazine.noaa.gov/

The oceans and Great Lakes are inextricably linked to human health in both coastal and inland areas. Despite this critical bond, very little is known about the relationships between the oceans and human health. The new NOAA Oceans and Human Health Initiative is designed to address this issue by bringing together expertise within NOAA and building external partnerships with ocean and human health experts from both the public and private sectors, including academia. Although the OHHI will look at all aspects of this issue - from human impacts on the health of the oceans and Great Lakes to how, in turn, these bodies of water affect human health - the primary focus will be on the latter and on the development of information useful for decision makers.

The initiative is comprised of a suite of complementary internal and external competitive programs. As part of the OHHI, NOAA established a trio of research centers in Seattle, Wash.; Charleston, S.C.; and Ann Arbor, Mich.

Building on NOAA's broad strengths, the goal of the NOAA OHHI is to support an ecosystem approach to better understand and predict ocean-related human health impacts. This research, and related activities, will help NOAA and its partners better address many of the challenges decision-makers face in the areas of public health and natural resource management. The initiative will also evaluate the health benefits and risks of seafood and promote the discovery of pharmaceuticals and bioactive agents from the sea to benefit human health.

A broad array of interrelated research topics will be addressed through this initiative, including marine toxins and pathogens, chemical pollutants, water quality, beach safety, seafood quality, sentinel species (and other indicators of environmental health) and the discovery of pharmaceuticals and bioagents. Not only will the program enhance NOAA's knowledge in these areas, but it will also strengthen existing (as well as foster new) partnerships both within NOAA and related academic, public and private sector entities.

"By increasing our understanding of the linkages between oceans and human health, the NOAA OHHI supports two of NOAA's primary mission goals - to protect, restore and manage the use of coastal and ocean resources through ecosystem-based management and to understand climate variability and change to enhance society's ability to plan and respond," said retired Navy Vice Adm. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Ph.D., undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator.
Need for Greater Understanding of Oceans and Human Health

The oceans are a life-sustaining resource that demands proper stewardship to take full advantage of the benefits and guard against the human health threats they pose. The NOAA OHHI is prepared to take on this challenge. As the U.S. Commission on Ocean Policy (2004) stated in its preliminary report, "significant investment must be put into developing a coordinated national research effort to better understand the links between the oceans and human health."


Established by Congress in 2003, the NOAA OHHI has allowed NOAA to build on its expertise by coordinating all its ocean and human health related activities and implementing critical interdisciplinary research. The initiative includes internal and external peer-reviewed research, a distinguished scholars and traineeship program and three competitively awarded NOAA Oceans and Human Health Research centers (in Seattle, Wash.; Charleston, S.C., and Ann Arbor, Mich.). Each of the NOAA centers will receive just over $2 million for the first year, with much of that going to external partners. Total combined funding for the initiative in FY03 and FY04 is $18 million. The Oceans and Human Health Act, S.1218, introduced in June 2003 and now passed by the Senate, provides a blueprint for the OHHI.

The NOAA OHHI and its trio of centers will work closely with the four recently established National Science Foundation/National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Centers of Excellence in Oceans and Human Health, to ensure a comprehensive and compatible federal approach to oceans and human health research.

NOAA Ocean and Human Health Centers
Designed as the cornerstone of the initiative, the three NOAA OHHI centers are built on partnerships with the federal, state, academic and nonprofit communities and will address a suite of scientific issues. To address these issues, each center will use state-of-the-art laboratory, field and computer modeling techniques. Each center will also develop a strong outreach and education program to share data and research results with the public and other science institutions, foster the exchange of information between diverse communities and provide valuable education resources and opportunities. The NOAA OHHI centers are located at the:

* NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center in Seattle, Wash.: This center uses a broad-based ecosystem approach and state-of-the-art biotechnology, models and environmental assessments to investigate the sources, transport and fate (e.g., distribution and persistence) of harmful pathogens, biotoxins and toxic chemicals in seafood (fish and shellfish) under changing ocean conditions (e.g., El Niño) and human/land use activities. By examining these aspects, NOAA will be able to develop early warning systems to better predict where outbreaks may occur (for example) and methods to reduce or eliminate these harmful agents from seafood (such as through molecular or specific seafood preparation techniques). The center will also use marine mammals and fish as sentinel species to understand and evaluate potential risks to humans who are exposed to a similar suite of pathogens, biotoxins and toxic chemicals. The research at this center will provide the information needed to make sound decisions about the risks and benefits of seafood consumption and to support natural resource and human health managers in forecasting and reducing threats to human health. Key partners include the University of Washington, the Marine Mammal Center, Oregon State University, Institute for Systems Biology, Washington State University, University of California, Davis and the NOAA Alaska Fisheries Science Center. Usha Varanasi, Ph.D., director of the NWFSC, is the center's director.

* NOAA Hollings Marine Laboratory in Charleston, S.C.: This center addresses fundamental questions about the quality and safety of coastal waters and the seafood they produce. To accomplish its objectives, center scientists will develop new methods, approaches and tools to: evaluate the health responses of marine organisms to multiple stressors, and identify and characterize chemical and microbial threats to marine ecosystems and human health. The center will also establish three core research areas: applied marine genomics, chemical contaminants and source tracking of marine pathogens. HML will conduct a field program in shallow tidal creeks and estuaries to determine the reliability of the new methods and tools for application by national and regional monitoring and assessment programs. The HML will complement its research activities with education and outreach activities that train the next generation of scientists and teachers. HML is operated in partnership with NOAA, the National Institute of Standards and Technology, South Carolina Department of Natural Resources, College of Charleston and the Medical University of South Carolina. Each partner brings unique expertise to the HML and all of the partners have critical roles in the center. Fred Holland, Ph.D., director of HML, is be the center's director.

* Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory in Ann Arbor, Mich.: This center uses multidisciplinary research to develop technology for predicting the formation, location and severity of toxic algal blooms, beach closings and water quality in the Great Lakes basin. The goal of the center is to use GLERL's broad scientific expertise to significantly reduce threats to human health through ecological forecasting. This effort will utilize the lab's high tech modeling capabilities, as well as advanced scientific understanding of climate, weather, hydrologic, land use and biological processes. In addition to modeling, the center's research includes laboratory work and field experimentation. The center will also develop a strong outreach and education program for public and user communities to raise awareness of Great Lakes human health issues. Key partners include Michigan State University, University of Michigan, Florida Institute of Oceanography, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, the U.S. Geologic Survey and the NOAA Beaufort Laboratory. Stephen Brandt, Ph.D., director of GLERL, will be the center's director.

"The unique combination of these three centers allows NOAA to focus an unparalleled combination of basic, applied and biomedical research expertise - including risk assessment and forecasting - on questions of paramount importance to maintaining the health of our coasts and the humans that live there," said Juli Trtanj, NOAA OHHI program director.

Human interaction with the oceans is central to NOAA's ecosystem-based approach to management of the nation's living marine resources and the habitats on which they depend. The NOAA OHHI will bring NOAA's understanding and assessment full circle since it will both evaluate human impact on the oceans, as well as the the impact of the oceans on human health.

Understanding the relationship between the oceans and human health is a challenging interdisciplinary field of study, but it is increasingly clear that it is in the nation's best interest to provide federal support and coordination of this research effort. As a result, NOAA will continue to advance its research and collaborative partnerships in this area to shed light on some of the complex relationships between oceans and human health and to provide useful information to policy and decision makers addressing this issue.

2. GLERL in the News: Lab aims to forecast Great Lakes water woes
Excerpt from Ann Arbor News - August 25
Globe icon indicates a link to a non-NOAA sitehttp://www.mlive.com/news/aanews/index.ssf?/base/news-10/1093444869300281.xml

A new federal center based at Ann Arbor's Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory will someday forecast Great Lakes beach closings, potentially hazardous algae blooms and unsafe drinking water quality, much like meteorologists can forecast rain.

3. New Reprints: Sediments, Benthos, Climate, Ice, Remote Sensing

Hawley, N. A comparison of suspended sediment concentrations measured by acoustic and optical sensors. Journal of Great Lakes Research 30(2):301-309 (2004).

Lozano, S.J., and T.F. Nalepa. Disruption of the benthic community in Lake Ontario. In: State of Lake Ontario (SOLO) - Past, Present, and Future. M. Munawar (Ed.). Aquatic Ecosystem Health and Management Society, pp. 305-322 (2003).

Rohli, R.V., S.A. Hsu, B.M. Lofgren, and M.R. Binkley. Bowen ratio estimates over Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research 30(2):241-251 (2004).

ASSEL, R.A., S. Drobot, and T.E. Croley II. Improving 30-day Great Lakes ice cover outlooks. Journal of Hydrometeorology 5(4):713-717 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040016.pdf

Bergmann, T., G.L. Fahnenstiel, S. Lohrenz, D. Millie, and O. Schofield. Impacts of a recurrent resuspension event and variable phytoplankton community composition on remote sensing reflectance. Journal of Geophysical Research 109:C10S15, 12 pp. (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040014.pdf

Chen, C., L. Wang, R. Ji, J.W. Budd, D.J. Schwab, D.Beletsky, G.L. Fahnenstiel, H. Vanderploeg, B.J. Eadie, and J. Cotner. Impacts of suspended sediment on the ecosystem in Lake Michigan: A comparison between the 1998 and 1999 plume events. Journal of Geophysical Research 109:C10S05 18 pp. (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040012.pdf

Chen, C., L. Wang, J. Qi, H. Liu, J.W. Budd, D.J. Schwab, D. Beletsky, H.A. Vanderploeg, B.J. Eadie, T.H. Johengen, J. Cotner, and P.J. Lavrentyev. A modeling study of benthic detritus flux's impacts on heterotrophic processes in Lake Michigan. Journal of Geophysical Research 109:C10S11, 13 pp. (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040013.pdf

Hawley, N., B.M. Lesht, and D.J. Schwab. A comparison of observer and modeled surface waves in southern Lake Michigan and the implications for models of sediment resuspension. Journal of Geophysical Research 109:C10S03, 11 pp. (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040015.pdf

4. New Fact Sheet: Climate Change and Lake Levels

Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory. Lake level modeling under climate change. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 2 pp. brochure (2004). http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/pubs/brochures/climatemodeling/climatemodeling.pdf

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August 18, 2004

NOAA Center of Excellence for Great Lakes and Human Health
Press Release Embargoed until August 23 (pending OGP announcement of the 3 national centers)

A new federal center for research on water-related human health issues in the Great Lakes has been established in Michigan. The NOAA Center of Excellence for Great Lakes and Human Health will be based at the Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory (GLERL) in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Dr. Stephen Brandt, Director of GLERL, will be the Center's director.

The primary role of the new NOAA Center will be to use multidisciplinary research to develop technology for predicting the formation of toxic algal blooms, beach closings, and water quality in the Great Lakes basin. The goal of the Center is to use GLERL's broad scientific expertise to significantly reduce threats to human health through ecological forecasting, which uses scientific understanding and models of climate, weather, circulation patterns, hydrology, land use, and biology to predict the location and severity of toxins in the water, beach closures, and water quality conditions. Such information will allow Great Lakes managers and users to rapidly respond to changes in lake conditions and warn the public of potential health risks in a timely manner. The information ultimately will aid coastal decision-makers in long-term planning to minimize human health hazards.

The Center will partner with other research institutions, universities and federal agencies, and will include training programs for Great Lakes managers, publications, and public-access websites drawing from the research activities. The work of the new Center will also link research and coastal uses through the Great Lakes Sea Grant Extension Program through education and outreach.

Dr. Brandt will provide greater detail in his remarks at the Network meeting in Put-In-Bay.
Contact Rochelle Sturtevant (rochelle.sturtevant@noaa.gov) or Cari Varner (Cari.Varner@noaa.gov) for more information.


GLERL's Lake Michigan Data in full bloom
GLERL data on physical and biological characteristics of Lake Michigan are being displayed in an unusual way this summer in the Great Garden, located at the entrance to the Lincoln Park Zoo in Chicago. The project, "Mapping the Lake in the Great Garden" arose from an annual art competition -- the large formal entrance garden is planted in a different pattern each year. The theme this year is to represent research done on various aspects of Lake Michigan such as data on physical, chemical, and biological characteristics of the lake Michigan ecosystem. The design was conceived by artist Francis Whitehead. The design scheme explores and updates Leo Marx's concept of The Machine in the Garden as a key metaphor for human activity and our relation to the natural world. The massive flower beds use 50,000 plants to form a pattern depicting maps of the ecology of Lake Michigan as well as bar graphs and pie charts of key lake data. GLERL data and scientists cited in the exhibit are: water levels - Dave Schwab and Dima Beletsky, vertical water temperature profiles - Ron Muzzi, Decline of Diporeia - Tom Nalepa.

New Reprints
Pothoven, S.A., G.L. Fahnenstiel, and H.A. Vanderploeg. Spatial distribution, biomass, and population dynamics of Mysis relicta in LakeMichigan. Hydrobiologia 522:291-299 (2004).

Kukkonen, J.V.K., P.F. Landrum, S. Mitra, D.C. Gossiaux, J. Gunnarsson, and D. Weston. The role of desorption for describing the bioavailability of select PCH and PCB congeners for seven laboratory-spiked sediments. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry 23(8):1842-1851 (2004).

July 20, 2004

New Scientific Publications

LIU, P.C., and U.F. Pinho. Freak waves - more frequent than rare! Analles Geophysicae 22:1839-1842 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040008.pdf

Millie, D.F., G.L. FAHNENSTIEL, S.E. Lohrenz, H.J. Carrick, T.H. JOHENGEN, and O.M.E. Schofield. Physical-biological coupling in southern Lake Michigan: Influence of episodic sediment resuspension on phytoplankton. Aquatic Ecology 37:393-408 (2003).

RAIKOW, D.F. Food web interactions between larval bluegill (Lepomis macrochirus) and exotic zebra mussels (Dreissena polymorpha). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 61(3):497-504 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040009.pdf

Zhulidov, A.V., D.F. Pavlov, T.F. NALEPA, G.H. Scherbina, D.A. Zhulidov, and T.Y. Gurtovaya. Relative distributions of Dreissena bugensis and Dreissena polymorpha in the lower Don River System, Russia. International Review of Hydrobiology 89(3):326-333 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040010.pdf

Brandt Receives IAGLR 2004 Anderson-Everett Award
IAGLR is pleased to announce that Stephen Brandt is the 2004 recipient of the Anderson-Everett Award, given in recognition of sustained and outstanding contributions to the association. A member since 1972, Steve served on the board from 1991-96 including as president from 1995-96. He was co-chair of the 40th conference held in Buffalo, New York, in 1997, and will co-chair for a second time in 2005 when IAGLR meets in Ann Arbor, Mich. Congratulations to Steve, as well as all the award and scholarship recipients announced at the recent annual conference. (see http://www.iaglr.org/conference/2004/summary.php for a full list of recipients).

June 23, 2004

Apologies - I missed a few items in the last GLERL Update...

1) Recent GLERL Projects receiving outside funding...
Brian Eadie, $20k from EPA for Analyses of Lake Michigan Cores for PCB congeners
Brent Lofgren, $30k from NOAA AD Climate Fund for Climate Land Interaction Project, East Africa
Hank Vanderploeg, $691k from NSF, EPA, & NOAA for ECOHAB (interactions between Harmful Alagal Blooms and Zebra mussels)
Dave Reid (et al), $104k from Great Lakes Protection Fund for NOBOB
Dave Reid (et al), $63k from NOAA for NOBOB

2) GLERL Summer Fellows
Jeanna Voss, Aquatic Biologist, U of M Mentor - Thomas F. Nalepa
Angela Dykema, Outreach Spec, Michigan State Mentor - Michael A. Quigley
Jonathan Maruska, Aquatic Biologist/Ecology, UMN-Duluth Mentor - Henry A. Vanderploeg
Sayan Bhattacharyya, Food Web Modeler, U of M Mentor - Scott Peacor
Jyoteshwar Nagol, Remote Sens. Tech, Univ. of Toledo Mentor - George A. Leskevich
Julie Reichert, Aquatic Ecologist, Wayne State Univ. Mentor - Stuart Ludsin
Erynn Maynard, Aquatic Biologist/Ecologist, SUNY Buffalo Mentor - David F. Reid
Rosemary Fanelli, Bathymetry Cartographer, SUNY Brockport Mentor - David F. Reid
Naftali Mwaniki, Data Analyst, Ferris State Mentor - Nathan Hawley
John White, Data Analyst, Carthage College Mentor - Stephen Lozano
Joel Trubilowicz, Electronic/Mech. or Environmental Engineer, Michigan Tech Mentor - Steven A. Ruberg
Ling Yao, Remote Sensing, Univ. of Toledo Mentor - George A. Leshkevich
Amy Croover, EEO Sponsored, Salish Kootenai Mentor - Peter F. Landrum
Jason Williams, Aquatic Ecologist, Augustana College (Muskegon) Mentor - Scott Peacor
Mustafa Rahim, GIS Operator, Western Michigan (Muskegon) Mentor - Thomas F. Croley II
Yingjie Wei, Computer Programmer, Western Michigan (Kalamazoo) Mentor - Thomas F. Croley II
Elizabeth Oswald, Electronics Engineer, University of Michigan (U of M) Mentor - Guy Meadows
Jacqueline Piero, Maritime Historian, East Carolina (Alpena) Mentor - Jeff Gray
Lee Heppe, Electronic Engineer, University of WI - Milwaukee (UW Milwaukee) Mentor - Harvey Bootsma

3) Position announcement: Physical-Biological Modeler
We seek an enthusiastic research scientist with experience in numerical modeling to examine physical-biological coupling in Great Lakes ecosystems. The candidate will be expected to develop coupled numerical models of Great Lakes ecology and physical dynamics, with particular emphasis on ecosystem forecasting in Lake Erie, e.g. episodes of hypolimnetic hypoxia, harmful algal blooms, and fish recruitment. The approach would involve coupling multiple state-variable ecological models with 3-d hydrodynamic, hydrologic, and sediment dynamics models. The candidate should have experience in working with the Princeton Ocean Model or similar numerical hydrodynamic codes as well as a working knowledge of aquatic food web modeling. Excellent communication skills are required to present results at scientific meetings and program reviews.

This is a federal term position at the GS-12 level with a salary of $62,590 for candidates with no prior federal service. The initial appointment will be for 2 years with the possibility of extension to 4 years. The position will remain open until 09/30/2004. Applications will be reviewed on a monthly basis starting 6/12/2004 and a selection may be made before the closing date.

This position is posted on the U.S. Department of Commerce website: www.jobs.doc.gov as vacancy number C-ERL-04006.SLW in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration bureau. U.S. citizenship is required. Candidates are required to submit applications online. Further information can be obtained from David.Schwab@noaa.gov <mailto:David.Schwab@noaa.gov>.

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June 17, 2004

NOAA Great Lakes Seminar Series at GLERL
Apologies to those who may tried to access the video of Dr. David Raikow's May 20th seminar "Biological Invasions in the Great Lakes: Science, Management, and Policy" - posting the seminar to the website was delayed by over a week. It is there (http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/news/seminars/pastseminars.html) now, if you are still interested.

Coming next...

Thursday, June 17 at 10:30am
"Sedimentary Signatures of Particle Transport and Sorting in Southern Lake Michigan" Dr. John Robbins, Physicist, GLERL
For the past several thousand years, fine grained sediments have preferentially accumulated along the eastern side of Lake Michigan, although source materials originate mainly from erosion of bluffs on the lake's western side. This highly focused, asymmetric build-up is particularly evident in the southern part of the lake, where an area of quite limited extent (< 1000 km2), located circa 20 km offshore near Benton Harbor (HiDep) has the highest rate of sediment accumulation in the entire lake. Recent studies (EEGLE program) suggest that focusing of fine particles (and associated contaminants) is accomplished by late winter wind-driven resuspension events that move huge quantities of sediment eastward around the southern margin of the lake toward the HiDep area. In this talk, I shall demonstrate the unusual character of this area, examine the horizontal and vertical properties of sediments, discuss the historical records they possess (which reflect effects of energetic currents), show maps of the focusing of fallout and cosmogenic radionuclides, follow model contaminant removal times from the HiDep area across the lake, and illustrate the evolution of nuclear fallout building up in Lake Michigan sediments during the past 50 years.

and...

Tuesday, June 29 -10:30 am
"Compartments in Food Webs: How they Help Quantify Structural Changes in the Food Web of Southeastern Lake Michigan after the Invasion of Zebra Mussels and Bythotrephes" Ann Krause, Doctoral Candidate, Michigan State University

Compartments in food webs are subgroups of taxa that have many strong interactions with other compartment members; there are few weak interactions between compartments. Compartmentalization increases stability in theoretical food webs, thus it is necessary to understand compartmentalization in empirical food webs and its role as a stabilizing feature in food-web structure. A method from social networking science was used to identify compartments in five established food webs. Three of the five were significantly compartmentalized (a = 0.05). A graphical representation of the food web provided an intuitive understanding of the compartmental structure. This approach was then applied to the food web of southeastern Lake Michigan to determine changes the food-web structure after zebra mussels and Bythotrephes invaded. Data from GLERL, EPA, GLSC, and the Cook Power Plant study were the primary sources of information for constructing the food web. Additional changes in the structure were estimated by calculating the effectiveness of the interactions between taxa and the effectiveness of taxa within the food web and its compartments. These indices help to determine if a few taxa dominate the food web structure.
I currently plan to videotape both of these seminars and post to the web archive within 24 hours of the presentation.

New Journal Reprints

ASSEL, R.A., S. Drobot, and T.E. CROLEY II. Improving monthly Great Lakes ice cover outlooks. NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-129. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, 22 pp. (2004). ftp://ftp.glerl.noaa.gov/publications/tech_reports/glerl-129.

HAWLEY, N. Response of the benthic nepheloid layer to near-inertial internal waves in southern Lake Michigan. Journal of Geophysical Research 109:C04007 14 pp. (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040007.pdf

Hornbuckle, K.C., G.L. Smith, S.M. Miller, B.J. EADIE, and M.B. LANSING. Magnitude and origin of polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) and dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane (DDT) compounds resuspended in southern Lake Michigan. Journal of Geophysical Research 109:C05017 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040006.pdf

LANDRUM, P.F., J.A. Steevens, D.C. GOSSIAUX, M. McELROY, S. ROBINSON, L. Begnoche, S. Chernyak, and J. Hickey. Time-dependent lethal body residues for the toxicity of pentachlorobenzene to Hyalella azteca. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry 23(5):1335-1343 (2004).

Raikow, D.F., O. Sarnelle, A.E. Wilson, and S.K. Hamilton. 2004. Dominance of the noxious cyanobacterium Microcystis aeruginosa in low-nutrient lakes is associated with exotic zebra mussels. Limnology and Oceanography 49: 482-487.

Raikow, D.F. 2004. Food web interactions between larval bluegill sunfish (Lepomis macrochirus) and exotic zebra mussels (Dreissena polymorpha). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 61: 497-504..

Roy, D., G.D. Hafner, and S.B. BRANDT. Estimating fish production potentials using a temporally explicit model. Ecological Modeling 173:241-257 (2004).

May 14, 2004

NOAA Great Lakes Seminar Series at GLERL
Seminars by Doran Mason (GLERL) and Ann Krause (MSU) originally scheduled for next week are being rescheduled for later in the year.

Next Up...

May 20, 10:30 am
"Biological Invasions in the Great Lakes: Science, Management, and Policy"
Dr. David Raikow, Biologist, NOAA National Center for Research on Aquatic Invasive Species/GLERL

Although the history of biological invasions in the Great Lakes extends back nearly 200 years, the study and management of invasions is much younger. Biological invasions were first truly recognized and studied in the 1950's when the impact of the Sea Lamprey became too large to ignore and the search for an effective lampricide began. Decimation of the top food web trophic levels by Sea Lamprey released another invader, the Alewife, from predation pressure. Large die-offs of Alewife prompted the creation of a sport fishery using other nonindigenous species. But it took the discovery of the zebra mussel in the 1980's to push biological invasions in the Great Lakes, and indeed invasion biology as a whole, into the spotlight. Scientific efforts concerning invasions accelerated. The first real legislation concerning aquatic biological invasions passed. The public finally realized the importance of biological invasion as an environmental issue. Today invasion biology and management in the Great Lakes is a thriving concern with many new avenues of research including prediction, prevention, early detection, rapid response, parameter quantification, and international cooperation. New scientific methods and discoveries, however, are only just barely keeping up with new invasions, showing that biological invasion in the Great Lakes is a juggernaut with no end in sight.

New Reprints

ASSEL, R.A. Lake Erie ice cover climatology - basin averaged ice cover: winters 1898-2002. NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-128. NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 15 pp. (2004). ftp://ftp.glerl.noaa.gov/publications/tech_reports/glerl-128

Messick, G.A., R.M. Overstreet, T.F. NALEPA, and S. Tyler. Prevalence of parasites in amphipods, Diporeia spp. From Lakes Michigan and Huron, USA. Diseases of Aquatic Organisms 59:159-170 (2004).

Gardner, W.S., P.J. Lavrentyev, J.F. CAVALETTO, M.J. McCarthy, B.J. EADIE, T.H. JOHENGEN, and J.B. Cotner. Distribution and dynamics of nitrogen and microbial plankton in southern Lake Michigan during spring transition 1999-2000. Journal of Geophysical Research 109:C03007 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040005.pdf

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April 16, 2004

Contents:
1) New Publications
2) Post-Doc Opportunity
3) NOAA Great Lakes Seminar Series at GLERL
_____________________________________________________________________

1) New Publications
Assel, RA. Great Lakes monthly and seasonal accumulations of freezing degree days - winters 1898-2002. NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-127. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann ARbor, MI. 36pp. (2003). ftp://ftp.glerl.noaa.gov/publications/tech_reports/glerl-127/

Krause, AE, KA Frank, DM Mason, RE Ulanowicz, and WW Taylor. Compartments revealed in food-web structure. Nature 426:282-285 (2003). /pubs/fulltext/2003/20030014.pdf

Thayer, GW, TA McTigue, RJ Bellmer, FM Burrows, DH Merkey, AD Nickens, SJ Lozano, PF Gayaldo, PJ, Palmateer, and PT Pint. Science-based restoration monitoring of coastal habitats. Volume One: A framework for monitoring plans under the Estuaries and Clean Water Act of 2000 (Public Law 160-457). NOAA Coastal Ocean Program, Decision Analysis Series No. 23, Volume 1. NOAA Coastal Ocean Program, Silver Spring, MD. 116 pp. (2003) /pubs/fulltext/2003/20030013.pdf

Reid, DF. NOAA Center for Research on Aquatic Invasive Species. NOAA. Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 2pp. (2003) http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/pubs/brochures

Vanderploeg, HA. Ecological forecasting of impacts of ponto-caspian species in the Great Lakes: Describing, understanding, and predicting a system in transition. In Ecological Forecasting: New Tools for Coastal and Marine Ecosystem Management. NOAA Technical Mmorandum NOS NCCOS 1. N. Valette-Silver and D. Scavia (eds.) pp. 81-84 (2003) /pubs/fulltext/2003/20030015.pdf

As-Salek, JA, DJ Schwab. High-frequency water level fluctuations in Lake Michigan. Journal of Waterway, Port, and Ocean Engineering 45-53 (2004).

Holcombe, TL, LA Taylor, DF Reid, JS Warren, PA Vincent, and CE Herdendorf. Revised Lake Erie postglacial lake level history based on new detailed bathymetry. Journal of Great Lakes Research 29(4)681-704 (2003).

Bailey, SA, IC Duggan, CDA VanOverdijk, TH Johengen, DF Reid, and HJ MacIsaac. Salinity tolerance of diapausing eggs of freshwater zooplankton. Freshwater Biology 49:286-295 (2004) /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040003.pdf

Hwang, H, SW Fisher, K Kim, and PF Landrum. Comparison of the toxicity using body residues of DDE and select PCB congeners to the midge, Chironomus riparius, in partial life-cycle tests. Archives of Environmental Contamination and Toxicology 46:32-42 (2004).

Lofgren, BM. Global warming effects on Great Lakes water: more precipitation but less water? Proceedings, 18th Conference on Hydrology, 8th Annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society, Seattle, WA, January 11-15, 2004, 3pp. (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040002.pdf

Rao, YR, MJ McCormick, and CR Murthy. Circulation during winter and northerly storm events in southern Lake Michigan. Journal of Geophysical Research 109: C01010 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040001.pdf

2) Post-Doc Opportunity - Please pass along to any interested students you may know.

NOAA's Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory in Ann Arbor, MI has an opening for a National Research Council (NRC) postdoctoral scientist in aquatic ecology, geochemistry, or physical limnology. Emphasis is on integrated and interdisciplinary science in Lake Erie with potential focus areas on fisheries and food webs, invasive species, physical-biological coupling, hydrology, and biogeochemical cycling and fluxes. Candidates will develop a research proposal in collaboration with a GLERL scientist (Research Advisor). Proposals involving integrated and interdisciplinary science on Lake Erie are encouraged. It is expected that the candidate will work as part of a larger research team coordinated through the GLERL Research Advisor. Applicants for the postdoctoral research associate position should have a recent Ph.D. in Biology, Ecology, Fisheries, Physical Sciences or related fields. The NRC appointment is for 1 year with a second year extension funded by GLERL, assuming satisfactory performance. Proposals are due to the NRC on or before May 1, 2004. Information on the application procedure and deadline can be obtained from the NRC web site: http://www4.nationalacademies.org/pga/rap.nsf or by email at rap@nas.edu. Specific details on the research should be directed to Dr.Doran Mason (Doran.Mason@noaa.gov, 734-741-2148). Additional detail on GLERL research can be found at www.glerl.noaa.gov/.

3) NOAA Great Lakes Seminar Series at GLERL
In honor of GLERL's 30th Anniversary, this year's seminar series will include presentations by all GLERL Principal Investigators - all of which will be posted to the web archive at http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/news/seminars/pastseminars.html
in addition to the usual range of outside speakers (which will be recorded only on request).

Just posted:

"Great Lakes Coastal Observation Systems and Microsensor Development"
Speaker: Steven Ruberg, Research Engineer, GLERL

Abstract: Portable wireless observation buoys based on the IEEE 802.11b standard are being developed to provide real-time chemical, biological, and physical measurements. Integrated circuit based micro-sensors are being developed in collaboration with Sensicore, Inc. that are capable measuring pH, conductivity, chloride, ammonium, and dissolved oxygen in a single low-cost package.

Video archive available:
ftp://ftp.glerl.noaa.gov/webcast/2004/ruberg/20040318.wmv

PowerPoint:
ftp://ftp.glerl.noaa.gov/webcast/2004/ruberg/20040318.pdf
and

"Recent Investigations into the use of Body Residues as a Dose Metric"

Speaker: Dr. Peter Landrum, Aquatic Toxicologist, GLERL

Abstract: Traditional aquatic toxicology uses the concentration of contaminants in the external media as the dose in toxicity studies. However, factors that limit the bioavailability of contaminants or the presence of multiple sources for exposure complicate the interpretation of the exposure-response relationship. Because the toxicity of contaminants actually takes place because of contaminant concentrations at a receptor, substituting the body residue as the dose metric should allow clearer interpretation of toxicity with out interferences. This presentation will focus on the factors that influence the use of body residues and the utility of using body residues to for toxicity assessment. Specifically the role of damage repair that drives the temporal nature of the body residue dose response relationship, the impact of biotransformation and implications for the use of body residues as a dose metric and interpretation of mixture toxicity with body residues will be presented.
Video archive available:
ftp://ftp.glerl.noaa.gov/webcast/2004/landrum/20040415.pdf
PowerPoint:
ftp://ftp.glerl.noaa.gov/webcast/2004/landrum/20040415.wmv

Coming up next:

May 6, 10:30 am
"Climate-driven Lake Level Changes in Northeastern Brazil during the Transition from Glacial to Post-Glacial Times"
Speaker: Dr. Abdel Sifeddine, French Institute for Research and Development

May 18, 10:30 am
"Compartments in Food Webs: How they Help Quantify Structural Changes in the Food Web of Southeastern Lake Michigan after the Invasion of Zebra Mussels and Bythotrephes"
Speaker: Ann Krause, Doctoral Candidate, Michigan State University

Watch http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/news/seminars/ for abstracts and the full seminar schedule.

May 20, 10:30 am
"Numerical and Physiological Response of Fish to Reef Habitat in Marine Coastal Ecosystems"

Speaker: Dr. Doran Mason, Fish Ecologist, GLERL

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March 12, 2004

GLERL in the News - Scientists study Great Lakes ice cover: Show link between El Niño and the lake region
Excerpt from The Daily Press, Ashland, WI article by Claudia Curran

If Great Lakes ice cover and mild winter trends continue, future scientists may look back to the 1990s as having predicted lower ice levels in the 21st Century. A recent Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory (GLERL) study, published in Climatic Change, uses historical ice charts from the U.S. and Canada to see how much of the Great Lakes' surface area is covered by ice each winter. "At this point, we certainly have had a trend of below average ice covers," said Raymond Assel, one of the study's authors and a physical scientist at GLERL.

A continuing pattern of lower ice cover could have impacts on the region's economy and aquatic system, the study suggests. According to GLERL, reduced Great Lakes ice cover could result in greater winter mortality of whitefish eggs. Other effects listed in the study include longer shipping seasons, decreased cargo capacity, reduced winter recreation and transportation activities, reduced wetland habitat, and increased evaporation and phosphorus content.

On average, Lake Superior's annual maximum ice cover is between 46 and 89 percent. Highest annual maximum ice covers were in 1963, 1994, 1979 and 1996. The lowest were in 1998, 1987, 1999 and 1983. "The average annual maximum ice cover (27 percent) for the four winters 1998, 1999, 2000 and 2001 is the lowest four-year average on record," according to the study. During that same period of time all the other Great Lakes, except Lake Ontario, also had record low ice cover averages. "These results are noteworthy as they may be a harbinger of global warming in the Great Lakes," according to information from the GLERL Web site.

However, last year's winter showed above average ice cover on the Great Lakes - lakes Superior, Huron and Erie all had ice covers greater than 90 percent in March 2003. This year may be similar to last year, though Assel says it's still too early to tell. It's also too early to know whether scientists are dealing with cycles of Great Lakes ice cover, or if ice cover patterns are indicative of global warming, Assel said. "I don't think we have enough data to tell, yet," Assel said. "Because you have so much variability you really have to look at a long-term average."

Assel and his colleagues have found a relationship between extremely strong El Nino years and below average ice cover. During El Nino years, the polar jet stream is north of the continental U.S., making it easier for warm air to stick around during the winter months. Around six or seven El Nino weather cycles have occurred in the past 50 years, Assel said. In 1983 and 1998 the cycles were extreme and warm, corresponding with warmer winter temperatures and below average ice cover on the Great Lakes. "They tend to go hand in hand," Assel said. Little or no effect on Great Lakes ice is seen in those El Nino years where the cycle is average or milder than average.

Last year a satellite photo of Lake Superior showed the lake about 90 percent frozen over at the beginning of March. Assel doubts that the surface area of the Great Lakes as a whole is ever 100 percent covered with ice. Even ice covered, the lakes are changing with ice ridges, pressure cracks and rifts that often cause open water to form, Assel said. "I really hesitate to say whether it ever freezes over completely," he said.

NOAA Great Lakes Seminar Series at GLERL
Seminars can be videotaped for web-viewing on request (and with permission of presentor). Please give me as much advance notice of a request as possible.

Upcoming seminars:

Tuesday, March 16 at 10:30 am
"A Physical-Biological Coupling for the West Florida Shelf and a New Development of Turbulence-Wave Interaction and Its Applications"
Dr. Le Ly, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA

Thursday, March 18 at10:30 am
"Great Lakes Coastal Observation Systems and Microsensor Development"
Steven Ruberg, Research Engineer, GLERL

Thursday, April 8 at10:30 am
"A Carbon Budget for Lake Malawi, Africa"
Dr. Harvey Bootsma, Assistant Research Scientist, Great Lakes Water Institute, University of Wisconsin-Madison

Tuesday, April 13 at 10:30 am
"Climate-driven Lake Level Changes in Northeastern Brazil during the Transition from Glacial to Post-Glacial Times"
Dr. Abdel Sifeddine, French Institute for Research and Development

Thursday, April 15 at 10:30 am
"Recent Investigations into the use of Body Residues as a Dose Metric"
Dr. Peter Landrum, Aquatic Toxicologist, GLERL

Abstracts and more advance schedule available at: http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/news/seminars/

New Reprints

Bailey, S.A., I.C. Duggan, C.D.A. VanOverdijk, T.H. Johengen, D.F. Reid, and H.J. MacIsaac. Salinity tolerance of diapausing eggs of freshwater zooplankton. Freshwater Biology 49:286-295 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040003.pdf

Hwang, H., S.W. Fisher, K. Kim, and P.F. LANDRUM. Comparison of the toxicity using body residues of DDE and select PCB congeners to the midge, Chironomus riparius, in partial-life cycle tests. Archives of Environmental Contamination and Toxicology 46:32-42 (2004).

LOFGREN, B.M. Global warming effects on Great Lakes water: more precipitation but less water? Proceedings, 18th Conference on Hydrology, 8th Annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society, Seattle, WA, January 11-15, 2004, 3 pp. (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040002.pdf

Rao, Y.R., M.J. McCORMICK, and C.R. Murthy. Circulation during winter and northerly storm events in southern Lake Michigan. Journal of Geophysical Research 109:C01010 (2004). /pubs/fulltext/2004/20040001.pdf

Climate Change: A special forward from Phil Keillor based on discussions with Brent Lofgren.

Some of us have been hearing about lake levels forecast to rise 6 inches and about new climate models that indicate possibly higher future lake levels rather than the much lower lake levels predicted from previous models.

The basis for statements about a 6 inches rise in lake levels is most likely the Corps of Engineers February 2004 Monthly Bulletin of Lake Levels for the Great Lakes in which the most likely mid-July 2004 level on lakes Michigan and Huron is forecast to reach 8 inches above chart datum (plus or minus 8-9 inches). That "most likely" water level elevation is six inches higher than last year's lake level in mid-July. Typically, the water level on these lakes peaks in mid-July.

For Lake Superior, the Corps of Engineers forecasts a most-likely mid-July water level of 4 inches above chart datum: 2 inches above last year's water level at the same time. Typically, the water level on Superior peaks between mid-August and mid-September.

These rolling six month forecasts of lake levels do not yet provide an indication that the current period of low lake levels is over.

Be wary of helping journalists link information about forecasts of higher water level with statements that experts' opinions about the effects of climate change on Great Lakes water levels have changed. There are separate time scales involved.

Here's an example of how mistaken impressions can be drawn from scientists who are researching climate change and lake levels. Business North published an article by Don Jacobson in their February 2004 issue titled: "Research on Great Lakes levels does about-face". Jacobson interviewed Brent Lofgren and Raymond Assel of NOAA-GLERL and others. A sub-heading is titled "The now discredited scenario" (referring to a Great Lakes study in 2000 at NOAA-GLERL that was part of the U.S. Global Change Research Program and published in the Journal of Great Lakes Research, Volume 28, No. 4, 2002). I don't think that the eye-catching title and sub-heading are supported by the text of the article.

It's premature to speak about "discredited scenarios" and an "about-face" in climate change research here in the Great Lakes Basin. I suggest that we advise people that the latest research suggests that interactions between the atmosphere and the Great Lakes in a global warming scenario seem likely to lead to future lake levels that are not
as different from the historic range of lake levels as some of the extreme changes indicated by earlier modeling.

If you want to know why I offer this advice, or are interested in more information on this subject, following is my update on Brent Lofgren's present climate change research at NOAA-GLERL; based on his response by email on 2/18/04 to my earlier query.

Brent is presently pursuing a two-pronged approach to the climate change/lake level modeling because the global atmospheric circulation models and NOAA-GLERL's new CHARM model of regional climate change have shortcomings.

One prong of Lofgren's research is off-line hydrologic modeling of Great Lakes Basin runoff and lake evaporation based on results from general atmospheric circulation models from other institutions. The hydrologic modeling uses results from the general global atmospheric circulation models to generate prospective, future lake levels. The results from these efforts generally show future drops in lake levels, except when the British HadCM2 model is used. The HadCM2 model results show future lake levels like those of the historic past, or somewhat higher. Lofgren is trying to incorporate an expectation (somewhat controversial) that a larger share of precipitation will come in the form of very heavy precipitation events that are expected to increase runoff into the lakes.

The second prong of Lofgren's research is his use of a regional-scale climate model(CHARM). CHARM uses input from the general, global, atmospheric circulation models of other institutions and provides a "full coupling between the atmosphere and the lakes and land within the basin". Output from CHARM is in terms of net basin supplies of water - not in terms of lake levels. The CHARM output generally shows increases in net basin supplies. (Net basin supplies are the surplus or deficit amounts of water in a lake when all the inputs and outputs have been accounted for.) Modeling with CHARM is for a minimum time horizon beginning with the year 2030. Lofgren plans to submit a paper on CHARM (version 1) for peer-review within a couple of months. I wouldn't expect to see publication until 2005.

One reason for the present apparent disparity in modeling results is that among the global models, only the HadCM2 model recognizes the Great Lakes as part of the global scene, albeit a very crude representation of the lakes with no feedback to the atmosphere. The other global models don't have the lakes represented.

Another reason for this present difference in results between the two prongs of Lofgren's research is that CHARM modeling suggests that the surface-atmospheric interaction inhibits lake water evaporation by moistening the atmospheric boundary layer in response to warmer surface water. CHARM modeling also recycles some of the water evaporated from the lakes back into precipitation within the basin. These model capabilities are intended to modestly mimic nature in the Basin and lead to higher net basin supplies than do the global models that exclude such
important mechanisms.

Brent is attempting to improve CHARM modeling to overcome a pair of problems: excessive cloudiness in the model and warm biases during the winter that lead to simulating almost no ice in the base case of the recent past: 1984-1993 (different than the historic situation). Obviously, modeling of global warming effects on the Great Lakes can't lead to predictions of less than no ice cover! Results from an improved CHARM model are expected to be available in a little more than two years. Brent expects that the improvements will moderate some of the predicted changes resulting from use of the present CHARM model.

The current thinking of climate change researchers is that global warming will bring an increase in storm frequency. Brent has not carefully looked over changes in storm frequency in CHARM modeling results and therefore such changes (along with changes in storm intensity) remain uninvestigated at this time. -- Phil Keillor

February 11, 2004

Contents
1. Summer Field Course - Great Lakes Oceanography
2. 2004 Great Lakes Summer Student Fellowships
3. Graduate Research Assistantship
4. New Reprints
5. NOAA Great Lakes Seminar Series at GLERL

Please pass along information on the available fellowships, assistantship, and field course to interested students!
________________________________________________________________________________________

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1. Summer Field Course - Great Lakes Oceanography
Please help us to advertise GLERL's summer field course "Great Lakes Oceanography". The course will be an intensive 1-week course (May 9-16) taking place at GLERL's field station in Muskegon, Michigan and aboard the R/V Laurentian. Instructors include GLERL research scientists Drs. Gary Fahnenstiel, Mike McCormick and Steven Pothoven. Students should register for two credit hours at their home institution. Accommodations will be provided free of cost on the R/V Laurentian. All additional fees (lab, meals, etc.) will be limited to $150, which the students will pay upon their arrival at the Lake Michigan Field Station. A course flyer for use in advertising is available at http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/seagrant/MuskegonClassFlyer2004.pdf

2. 2004 Great Lakes Summer Student Fellowships
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA), Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory (GLERL), and the Cooperative Institute for Limnology and Ecosystems Research (CILER) administered by the University of Michigan, announce a Great Lakes Summer Student Fellowship Program.

We seek to fill seventeen (17), full time, three-month positions. To be eligible, students must have been enrolled in the 2003-2004 academic year. Preference will be given to current undergraduate students or undergraduate students who received their degree during the 2003-04 academic year, although applications from graduate students will receive consideration. The starting date will be between May 15 and June 15, 2004. Successful applicants will receive a stipend of $5,000 for the three-month fellowship. The fellow will be expected to provide a written project report at the completion of the work. University credit for the experience may be arranged either through the University of Michigan or through your home institution. Details for obtaining university credit will be provided with acceptance letters.

All fellows will be guest students of the University of Michigan. Each fellow will gain experience by working at an environmental research laboratory under the mentorship of a scientist or professional. Most fellows will be located at the Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory in Ann Arbor, Michigan but there are several opportunities located elsewhere. The location of each position is noted in the individual job description.

Summer fellowships are available in a broad range of fields, GIS operator, data analyst, computer programmer, biochemist, benthic invertebrate biologist, aquatic ecologist, aquatic biologist, food web modeler, remote sensing technician, bathymetry cartographer, electronics engineer, maritime historian and communications and outreach specialist. A description of each of the available fellowships and information about GLERL may be found on the GLERL web site at http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/pr/ssfp/. Information about CILER may be found on the CILER web site at http://www.ciler.org.

Applications must be received by March 1, 2004. Successful candidates will be notified by April 1, 2004. Application packages must contain a resume, transcripts (unofficial copies are acceptable), one academic letter of recommendation, and a cover letter specifically stating which opportunity (ies) you are interested in. Submit all documentation to:

Ms. Sarah Mark
NOAA/Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab
2205 Commonwealth Blvd.
Ann Arbor, MI 48105-2945
734-741-2251
sarah.mark@noaa.gov

For specific questions about each opportunity, contact the mentor. Their email address is provided with the opportunity description. The University of Michigan is an equal opportunity/affirmative action employer.

Fellowship Descriptions

1. Aquatic Biologist - Mentor: Thomas Nalepa Thomas.Nalepa@noaa.gov,
The fellow will be involved in a study to examine the abundance and distribution of benthic macroinvertebrate organisms in Lakes Michigan and Huron. Duties will include sorting and counting collected organisms, preparing organisms for taxonomic identification, tabulating data, and creating spreadsheets. Of primary concern is the abundance of the benthic amphipod Diporeia, which is rapidly declining in both lakes. Other duties include determining length-weights, and assisting with laboratory experiments. The incumbent will be expected to do some field sampling. The position is located in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

2. Communications and Outreach Specialist - Mentor: Michael Quigley Michael.Quigley@noaa.gov
The fellow will assist in supporting GLERL communications and outreach activities including: 1) Developing and writing short summaries of GLERL research activities for distribution to a diverse constituent audience; 2) Working with GLERL scientists and support staff in responding to constituent requests for GLERL products, services, and expertise; 3) Supporting GLERL outreach events such as laboratory open houses, tours and related activities. The incumbent should have a strong background in Great Lakes or marine science and demonstrated training or experience in journalism and/or communications. Position is located in Ann Arbor, Michigan

3. Aquatic Ecologist - Mentor: Scott Peacor Scott.Peacor@noaa.gov
The fellow will be involved in a project examining the behavior and ecology of Great Lakes zooplankton. In particular, we will examine how invasive cladocerans affect the behavior and growth of their prey.. Sample collection and laboratory experiments will compose the bulk of the responsibilities. Experience spending time on boats is highly desirable. This position will be based at the Lake Michigan Field Station in Muskegon, Michigan

4. Aquatic Biologist or Ecologist - Mentors: Hank Vanderploeg henry.vanderploeg@noaa.gov and Radka Pichlova radka.pichlova@noaa.gov
The summer fellow will be involved in examining impact of invasive predatory zooplankton species, Cercopagis pengoi and Bythotrephes cederstroemi, to the plankton community of Lake Michigan. Tasks will include microscope elaboration of preserved samples (counting and measuring), help with keeping cultures of prey animals, and help with field experimental work (collection of live animals, their sorting and counting). From mid July through August, the work will include frequent traveling from Ann Arbor to the Muskegon field station, where the experiments will be run over a few days. (Travel expenses will be paid by GLERL). Position will be located in Ann Arbor, Michigan

5. GIS Operator - Mentor: Tom Croley Tom.Croley@noaa.gov
Acquire, process, and analyze multiple databases of topography, land use, soil, and hydrography, and derive input parameters for a hydrological simulation model. Strong background in Geographic Information Systems (GIS) (ArcView and Arc/Info) and statistics is required. The work is to be conducted in the Department of Geography at Western Michigan University in Kalamazoo, Michigan.

6. Computer Programmer - Mentor: Tom Croley Tom.Croley@noaa.gov
Develop, test, and refine an interface between Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and GLERL's 2-D Large Basin Runoff Model (2-D LBRM) to Automate the extraction of multiple input parameters to the model from databases of topography, land use, soil, and hydrography. Proficiency in computer programming and GIS is required. The work is to be conducted in the Department of Geography at Western Michigan University in Kalamazoo, Michigan.

7. Food Web Modeler - Mentor: Scott Peacor Scott.Peacor@noaa.gov
The fellow will assist in developing an individually based model of interacting species using the SWARM platform. The objective of the project is to use "virtual ecosystems" to gain insight into adaptive behavior and species invasions. Each individual organism will have an underlying evolutionary algorithm (e.g., a genetic algorithm) that dictates behavior that is context dependent. Programming skills are required. Please see
Globe icon indicates a link to a non-NOAA site http://www.msu.edu/~peacor/>http://www.msu.edu/~peacor/ for a brief description of this project and list of collaborators. Position will be located in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

8. Remote Sensing Technician - Mentor: George Leshkevich george.leshkevich@noaa.gov
The fellow will assist in supporting remote sensing/image processing research activities involving computer work but with the possibility of some field data collection on the Great Lakes. The main activity will involve processing and cataloging retrospective digital satellite synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images of ice cover on the Great Lakes to create an online archive. The incumbent should have a strong background in computer programming and web design on PC and UNIX machines. It is desirable that the incumbent has a working knowledge of the IDL programming language. Position will be located in Ann Arbor, Michigan

9. Aquatic Ecologist - Mentor: Stuart.Ludsin@noaa.gov
The fellow will provide technical assistance to an ongoing effort to synthesize six years of hydro acoustics and habitat data from the Chesapeake Bay. These data ultimately will be used to help management agencies understand and predict fish (e.g., bay anchovy, striped bass) distributional and growth patterns in Chesapeake Bay. The incumbent will be encouraged to pursue independent analyses, using the large body of data collected. Responsibilities: Specific duties will primarily involve processing hydro acoustics data on fish distributions in Chesapeake Bay, and secondarily involve generation of graphical presentations of the data (typically using Sigma Plot and Excel). The possibility of assisting other researchers in aquatic ecology research and field endeavors also exists. Qualifications: Candidates with strong academic records are encouraged to apply. Experience with Microsoft Excel, data analysis, graphics generation, and/or computer programming is highly desired, but not essential. No experience with hydro acoustics is required. Position will be located in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

10. Aquatic Biologist or Ecologist - Mentor: David Reid David.Reid@noaa.gov
This fellowship provides an opportunity to contribute to the development of a relational database of aquatic invasive species in the Great Lakes. The Fellow will work independently under the broad guidance of one or more GLERL scientists to gather information for the Great Lakes Nonindigenous Species Database, an on-line invasive species information resource being developed by the NOAA National Center for Research on Aquatic Invasive Species. The Fellow will use literature and Internet searches to obtain, interpret, verify, and add biological and ecological information to the database on a species-by-species basis. The required information covers invasion history, population biology (including life-history characteristics and abundance), community ecology (e.g., habitat utilization, environmental tolerances, ecological interactions), and economic impacts. This work is suitable for an upper division undergraduate biological science student, or a graduate biological science student, who has completed course work in invertebrate biology, fishes, and aquatic ecology, limnology, or oceanography. See (http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/Programs/invasive/) Position will be located in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

11. Bathymetry Cartographer - Mentor: David Reid david.reid@noaa.gov
This fellowship provides an opportunity to contribute to the development of new, detailed bathymetry for Lake Superior. The Fellow will work independently, with broad guidance from the project scientist, to create new bathymetric map sections for Lake Superior by interpreting and contouring sounding field sheets obtained from the National Geophysical Data Center and/or the Canadian Hydrographic Service. This work is suitable for an upper division undergraduate, or a graduate student, who has completed coursework in basic geological principals, including stratigraphy and geomorphology. Additional coursework related to bathymetry, mapping or cartography would be useful but not mandatory. A general description of the project may be found at (http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/Task_rpts/ppreid01-1.html). Position will be located in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

12. Data Analyst - Mentor: Nathan Hawley Nathan.Hawley@noaa.gov
The fellow will assist with the interpretation of physical data collected to determine how sediment is transported by waves and current action in the Great Lakes. Any statistical background, especially familiarity with time series techniques, will be helpful. The intern must have programming experience in at least one high level language. Position is located in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

13. Data Analyst - Mentor: Stephen Lozano Stephen.Lozano@noaa.gov
The fellow will assist in a project to model the distribution and biomass of zebra and quaga mussels in western Lake Erie. It has been estimated that in 1990, the mussel population removed 26% of the primary production from western Lake Erie. Field samples, video and acoustic mapping will be used to create a GIS model of dreissenid biomass and environmental parameters that structure their distribution. The primary responsibilities of the fellow will be to assist in data entry, video and map interpretation, and data analysis, however some fieldwork will be required. The fellow should have experience with programming; familiarity with GIS computer software would be helpful. Position will be located in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

14. Electronics Engineer - Mentor: Guy Meadows, NAME, University of Michigan gmeadows@engin.umich.edu
The fellow will assist project staff in the development and testing of a wireless and continuous monitoring buoy to collect real-time observation of chemical, physical, and biological parameters in the Great Lakes. Data are received and distributed via the Internet. Buoys will also be used as part of sensor evaluation project and the incumbent may be required to assist in field deployments and sampling efforts as part of these evaluations. Position will be located in Ann Arbor, Michigan

15. Electronics Engineer - Mentor: Harvey Bootsma, University Wisconsin-Milwaukee hbootsma@uwm.edu
We are searching for a field technician to assist with the development, deployment and maintenance of a water quality buoy network in Lake Michigan, which is a collaborative effort between the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Great Lakes WATER Institute, the NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, and the University of Michigan. The selected fellow will assist in the assembly of a buoy platform equipped with wireless telemetry hardware and software, the deployment of mooring systems in Lake Michigan, and the maintenance of water quality monitoring sensors. Applicants should have some level of experience in one or more of the following areas: electronics, wireless communication (802.11b [Wi-Fi] wireless LAN technology), and water chemistry. Experience with SCUBA diving or small boat operation is also an asset, but not essential. The position will be housed at the Water Institute of the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee.

16. Electronics, Mechanical, or Environmental Engineer - Mentor: Steve Ruberg Steve.Ruberg@noaa.gov
Assist technical staff in scientific instrumentation preparation for field deployments, participate in field deployments aboard laboratory research vessels and assist engineering staff in instrument development. Must be able and willing to work aboard a research vessel operating in the Great Lakes. Position will be located in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

17. Maritime Historian/Archaeologist - Mentor Jefferson Gray jeff.gray@noaa.gov
Sanctuary website:Bird icon indicates a link to a non-GLERL NOAA site www.thunderbay.noaa.gov
The fellow will have an opportunity to participate in many aspects of maritime history, underwater archaeology, and submerged cultural resource management at NOAA's Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary and Underwater Preserve (TBNMS/UP) in Alpena, Michigan. Opportunities for this summer's fellowship include the following: (1) TBNMS/UP recently acquired an extensive maritime history research collection that requires cataloguing and archiving. Historic research will also be conducted using the collection, and information on shipwrecks within the Sanctuary will be entered into a comprehensive database; and (2) recent expeditions in the Sanctuary have recorded more than 80 hours of high definition video and side-scan sonar imagery that must be reviewed and correlated. Archaeological fieldwork may include documentation of shallow water and beach wreckage, as well as terrestrial features such as docks and piers. The position will be located in Alpena, Michigan.

3. Graduate Research Assistantship

Seeking a Master's degree student to help develop otolith (calcium-carbonate concretions of the inner ear) microchemistry as a tool for identifying the natal origins of Great Lakes sea lamprey, an exotic nuisance (fish) species that parasitizes large-bodied fishes. Otoliths and statoliths (the calcium-phosphate equivalents in sea lamprey) incorporate trace elements from the surrounding water as they grow. Therefore, their micro-elemental chemistry can serve as a permanent record of the environment experienced by individual fish. Specifically, the student would work on one or more of the following project objectives:

1. Determine whether statolith micro-chemical "signatures" differ among sea lamprey larvae produced in different Lake Huron tributaries.
2. Quantify the relative contributions of parasitic and spawning sea lamprey from important Lake Huron production tributaries.
3. Develop relationships to predict statolith elemental chemistry from water chemistry in both Lake Huron and Lake Champlain.

Ultimately, this research would be used to help fisheries management agencies develop cost-effective control strategies for sea lamprey in both lakes Huron and Champlain.

Qualifications: This position is available at the Great Lakes Institute for Environmental Research at the University of Windsor, but the student would be co-advised by Drs. Brian Fryer (geochemist at U of Windsor), J. Ellen Marsden (ecologist at U of Vermont), and Stuart Ludsin (ecologist at NOAA's Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory). Opportunity exists to do field work in both lakes Huron and Champlain (where a parallel study is being conducted); however, most time will be spent learning and refining state-of-the-art statolith processing and analysis (laser-ablation inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry) techniques. A background in fisheries ecology and/or geochemistry is preferred, but not required.

Salary: Graduate Research Associate funding exists for two years; however, the student also would have an opportunity to serve as a Graduate Teaching Assistant, if desired.

Start Date: Spring, summer, or autumn 2004. Application review will begin on February 20, and continue until a suitable candidate is found.

Contact: For additional information, contact Brian Fryer (bfryer@uwindsor.ca; 519-253-3000 ext. 3750), J. Ellen Marsden (jmarsden@uvm.edu; 802-6560684), or Stuart Ludsin (stuart.ludsin@noaa.gov; 734-741-2355). Interested students should mail, email, or FAX a cover letter, CV, contact information for three references, and copies of transcripts to: Stuart Ludsin, NOAA-GLERL, 2205 Commonwealth Blvd., Ann Arbor, MI 48103, Email: stuart.ludsin@noaa.gov, FAX: 734-741-2055. In the cover letter, please briefly describe your background, indicate whether your interests orient more toward fisheries ecology or geochemistry, and let us know when you could start.

4. New Reprints
AS-SALEK, J.A., and D.J. SCHWAB. High-frequency water level fluctuations in Lake Michigan. Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering 45-53 (2004). Holcombe, T.L., L.A. Taylor, D.F. REID, J.S. Warren, P.A. VINCENT, and C.E. Herdendorf. Revised Lake Erie postglacial lake level history based on new detailed bathymetry. Journal of Great Lakes Research 29(4):681-704 (2003).

Bronte, C.R., M.P. Ebener, D.R. Schreiner, D.S. DeVault, M.M. Petzold, D.A. Jensen, C. Richards, and S.J. LOZANO. Fish community change in Lake Superior, 1970-2000. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 60:1552-1574 (2003). /pubs/fulltext/2003/20030016.pdf

LANDRUM, P.F., M. Leppanen, S.D. ROBINSON, D.C. GOSSIAUX, G.A. Burton, M. Greenberg, J.V.K. Kukkonen, B.J. EADIE, and M.B. LANSING. Comparing behavioral chronic endpoints to evaluate the response of Lumbriculus variegatus to 3,4,3',4'-Tetrachlorobiphenyl sediment exposures. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry 23(1):187-194 (2004).

LANDRUM, P.F., M. Leppanen, S.D. ROBINSON, D.C. GOSSIAUX, G.A. Burton, M. Greenerg, J.V.K. Kukkonen, B.J. EADIE, and M.B. LANSING. Effect of 3,4,3',4'-Tetrachlorobiphenyl on the reworking behavior of Lumbriculus variegatus exposed to contaminated sediment. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry 23(1):178-186 (2004).

PICHLOVA, R. and Z. Brandl. Predatory impact of Leptodora kindtii on zooplankton community in the Slapy Reservoir. Hydrobiologia 504:177-184 (2003).

SANO, L.L., R.A. Moll, A.M. Krueger, and P.F. LANDRUM. Assessing the potential efficacy of glutaraldehyde for biocide treatment of un-ballasted transoceanic vessels. Journal of Great Lakes Research 29(4):545-557 (2003).

5. NOAA Great Lakes Seminar Series at GLERL
http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/news/seminars/

Date: Thursday, February 19, 2004
Time: 10:30 a.m.
"GLERL's Distributed Hydrology Model for the Maumee River Watershed"
Dr. Thomas E. Croley II, Research Hydrologist, NOAA/GLERL

GLERL adapted their Large Basin Runoff Model from its lumped-parameter definition for an entire watershed to a two dimensional representation of the flow cells comprising the watershed. GLERL modified the LBRM to allow cell inflow from upstream by considering only flows be-tween adjacent cell surfaces but not their subsurface zones. They also organized watershed cell calculations and implemented spatial flow routing. They now take model parameters for each cell proportional to spatial variations observed in the field (in permeability, surface slope, land use and cover, and flow roughness) and calibrate to find the spatial mean parameter values. GLERL and Western Michigan University developed spatial databases for the Kalamazoo River watershed and the Maumee River watershed, for use with the distributed model. After experi-menting with modeling alternatives and behavior, they applied the model to both watersheds to produce animations of spatial outputs, mapped over the watershed. These include daily air tem-perature, precipitation, snow pack, upper soil zone moisture, lower soil zone moisture, ground-water moisture, evapotranspiration, surface moisture storage, and runoff for every cell compris-ing the watershed. GLERL considered several methods to spatially estimate meteorology and depicted their spatial appearance. The animations help to clarify the hydrological processes un-derway in the continuous simulation of the watershed. Extensions of the distributed-parameter model include the addition of lateral cell flows between adjacent subsurface zones (soil zones and groundwater zone), spatial variation schemes for additional model parameters, land cover/land use experiments, application to other watersheds, and the addition of conservative tracer concentrations.

For more information, contact: Dr. David Reid, NOAA/GLERL, 734-741-2019 david.reid@noaa.gov

January 16, 2004

New Reprints
ASSEL, R.A. Great Lakes monthly and seasonal accumulations of freezing degree days - winters 1898-2002. NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-127. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 36 pp. (2003). ftp://ftp.glerl.noaa.gov/publications/tech_reports/glerl-127/

Krause, A.E., K.A. Frank, D.M. MASON, R.E. Ulanowicz, and W.W. Taylor. Compartments revealed in food-web structure. Nature 426:282-285 (2003). /pubs/fulltext/2003/20030014.pdf

Thayer, G.W., T.A. McTigue, R.J. Bellmer, F.M. Burrows, D.H. MERKEY, A.D. Nickens, S.J. LOZANO, P.F. Gayaldo, P.J. Palmateer, and P.T. Pint. Science-based restoration monitoring of coastal habitats. Volume One: A framework for monitoring plans under the Estuaries and Clean Water Act of 2000 (Public Law 160-457). NOAA Coastal Ocean Program, Decision Analysis Series No. 23, Volume 1. NOAA Coastal Ocean Program, Silver Spring, MD, 116 pp. (2003). /pubs/fulltext/2003/20030013.pdf

REID, D. F. NOAA National Center for Research on Aquatic Invasive Species. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 2 pp. (2003). http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/pubs/brochures

VANDERPLOEG, H.A. Ecological forecasting of impacts of ponto-caspian species in the Great Lakes: Describing, understanding, and predicting a system in transition. In Ecological Forecasting: New Tools for Coastal and Marine Ecosystem Management. NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 1.
N. Valette-Silver and D. Scavia (Eds.). pp. 81-84 (2003). http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/pubs/fulltext/2003/20030015.pdf

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