000
FLUS43 KEAX 121804
HWOEAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
104 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2009

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-131815-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
104 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IN KANSAS WAS TRIGGERING SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN KANSAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS
WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
UNLIKELY. HOWEVER...A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL.

BY LATE TONIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH EXTREME NORTHWEST
MISSOURI. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE GENERALLY TO THE
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70 LATE TONIGHT. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
IS POSSIBLE...NORTH OF A LINE FROM ST JOSEPH TO GRANT CITY. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ON WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI BY MID
TO LATE MORNING WITH THE FRONT REACHING A KANSAS CITY TO BETHANY
LINE BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. IN THE MORNING INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS...THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE VERY CAPPED...LIMITING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...BUT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON THE CAP
SHOULD BREAK...WITH THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY
EARLY ON IN THE EVENT BEFORE INDIVIDUAL STORMS CONGEAL INTO A LINE.

AT THE CURRENT TIME...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
BY MID AFTERNOON...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM KANSAS CITY
TO BETHANY. THE STORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY TO A MOUND CITY KANSAS TO
BOONVILLE LINE BY 7 PM.

FOR THE THURSDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY TIMEFRAME...ANOTHER ROUND OF WARM
AIR ADVECTION THURSDAY NIGHT SHOULD LEAD TO MORE THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE FOCUS FOR THESE STORMS ON
FRIDAY SHOULD BE MORE ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
TO NEAR THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF MISSOURI BY LATE IN THE DAY. THEN
FRIDAY NIGHT...THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE THUNDERSTORMS INITIALLY WITH THE WARM
AIR ADVECTION THURSDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE ELEVATED IN NATURE BUT MAY
PRODUCE SMALL HAIL. ON FRIDAY...WITH THE AREA IN THE WARM SECTOR
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE OF SEEING
SEVERE WEATHER. AND WITH THE COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO EARLY
SATURDAY...SEVERE WEATHER MAY ALSO OCCUR.

ALSO OF CONCERN WITH THESE PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLOODING OR ADDITIONAL RIVER
FLOODING WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL MOST LIKELY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IN
AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A ST JOSEPH TO KANSAS CITY LINE. FOR LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IF STORMS GROW
STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE HAIL. THEN LATE TONIGHT IN AREAS NORTH OF A
LINE FROM ST JOSEPH TO GRANT CITY...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY ALSO BE NEEDED.

$$

PC/DB

000
FLUS43 KEAX 121051
HWOEAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
551 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2009

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-131100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
551 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS MOISTURE SURGES BACK NORTH INTO EASTERN KANSAS AND
WESTERN MISSOURI. BY LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...THE
THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA. AT
THIS TIME SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY
THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. HOWEVER...A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY
APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ON WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI BY
MIDDAY. IN THE MORNING THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE CAPPED...LIMITING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...BUT BY AFTERNOON THE CAP SHOULD
BREAK...WITH THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL BE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. THIS
FRONT SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED
TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY EARLY ON IN THE EVENT
BEFORE INDIVIDUAL STORMS CONGEAL INTO A LINE.

LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY...ANOTHER ROUND OF WARM AIR
ADVOCATION AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT SHOULD PRODUCE MORE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION...WHICH MAY LIFT TO THE NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA BY THE AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME SEVERE
WEATHER IS LOOKS POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. THEN FRIDAY NIGHT AND
INTO SATURDAY MORNING...ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS FRONT.

WITH THESE PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLOODING OR ADDITIONAL RIVER
FLOODING WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

$$

DEROCHE

000
FLUS43 KEAX 111913 CCA
HWOEAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
106 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2009

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-121815-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
106 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2009

...CORRECTION TO FRIDAY WEATHER INFORMATION...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

TUESDAY...INITIAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE DAY
WILL BE OCCURRING AS MOISTURE SURGES BACK NORTH INTO EASTERN KANSAS
AND WESTERN MISSOURI. BY LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO TUESDAY
NIGHT...THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK
AREA. AT THIS TIME SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED WITH THIS
ACTIVITY...BUT SOME HAIL MAY OCCUR.

ON WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING A BETHANY TO ST
JOSEPH LINE BY MIDDAY. IN THE MORNING THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE
CAPPED...LIMITING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...BUT BY AFTERNOON...THE
CAP SHOULD BREAK...WITH THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL BE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
REGION. THIS FRONT SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT MAY
BE SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN
NOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY EARLY ON IN THE EVENT BEFORE INDIVIDUAL
STORMS FORM INTO LINES.

LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY...ANOTHER ROUND OF WARM AIR
ADVOCATION AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT SHOULD PRODUCE MORE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION...WHICH MAY LIFT TO THE NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA BY AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME SEVERE WEATHER IS
LOOKS POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.  THEN FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO
SATURDAY MORNING...ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS FRONT.

WITH THESE PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLOODING OR ADDITIONAL RIVER
FLOODING WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL MOST LIKELY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING...MAINLY IN AREAS FROM BETHANY TO ST
JOSEPH...SOUTHWARD.

$$

PC

000
FLUS43 KEAX 111806
HWOEAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
106 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2009

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-121815-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
106 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

TUESDAY...INITIAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE DAY
WILL BE OCCURRING AS MOISTURE SURGES BACK NORTH INTO EASTERN KANSAS
AND WESTERN MISSOURI. BY LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO TUESDAY
NIGHT...THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK
AREA. AT THIS TIME SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED WITH THIS
ACTIVITY...BUT SOME HAIL MAY OCCUR.

ON WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING A BETHANY TO ST
JOSEPH LINE BY MIDDAY. IN THE MORNING THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE
CAPPED...LIMITING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...BUT BY AFTERNOON...THE
CAP SHOULD BREAK...WITH THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL BE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
REGION. THIS FRONT SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT MAY
BE SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN
NOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY EARLY ON IN THE EVENT BEFORE INDIVIDUAL
STORMS FORM INTO LINES.

LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY...ANOTHER ROUND OF WARM AIR
ADVOCATION AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT SHOULD PRODUCE MORE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION...WHICH MAY LIFT TO THE NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA BY AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY.  THEN FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY
MORNING...ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS FRONT.

WITH THESE PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLOODING OR ADDITIONAL RIVER
FLOODING WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL MOST LIKELY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING...MAINLY IN AREAS FROM BETHANY TO ST JOSEPH...SOUTHWARD.

$$

PC

000
FLUS43 KEAX 111058
HWOEAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
558 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2009

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-121100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
558 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY
EVENING...ESPECIALLY FROM KANSAS CITY TO MACON SOUTHWARD. THESE
STORMS SHOULD BE ELEVATED IN NATURE. THOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...SMALL HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS.

WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND
NORTHEAST KANSAS BY MIDDAY...WITH INSTABILITY INCREASING AHEAD OF
THIS FRONT. INITIALLY THE ATMOSPHERE MAY BE CAPPED...BUT BY
AFTERNOON...THIS CAP SHOULD ERODE...ALLOWING STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. AT THIS
TIME IT APPEARS THE MORE LIKELY AREA TO SEE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KANSAS CITY TO CHILLICOTHE AND
KIRKSVILLE. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND...HOWEVER LARGE
HAIL AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THE COLD
FRONT SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION BY EARLY EVENING.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. IT IS TOO
EARLY TO TELL IF SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR WITH THIS ACTIVITY.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL MOST LIKELY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...MAINLY IN AREAS FROM KANSAS CITY TO KIRKSVILLE...SOUTHWARD.

$$

000
FLUS43 KEAX 101756
HWOEAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1256 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2009

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-111800-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1256 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THESE STORMS SHOULD BE ELEVATED IN NATURE. THOUGH SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...SMALL HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH
THESE STORMS.

WEDNESDAY...A COLD FRONT SHOULD BE MOVING INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND
NORTHEAST KANSAS BY MIDDAY...WITH IT BECOMING UNSTABLE AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT. INITIALLY THE ATMOSPHERE MAY BE CAPPED...BUT BY
AFTERNOON...THIS CAP SHOULD ERODE...ALLOWING THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE
MORE LIKELY AREA TO SEE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM KANSAS CITY TO CHILLICOTHE AND KIRKSVILLE. SEVERE WEATHER
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES. THIS COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION BY
EARLY EVENING.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR AGAIN ON SATURDAY WITH YET ANOTHER
COLD FRONT. IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF SEVERE WEATHER MAY OCCUR WITH
THIS ACTIVITY.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL MOST LIKELY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING...MAINLY IN AREAS FROM KANSAS CITY TO KIRKSVILLE...SOUTHWARD.

$$

PC

000
FLUS43 KEAX 101058
HWOEAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
558 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2009

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-111100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
558 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. ON
TUESDAY...THE STORMS WOULD BE OCCURRING AS WARMER AIR SURGES BACK TO
THE NORTH AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS
POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS. THE COLD FRONT MAY STILL
EXTEND ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT
WOULD THEN BE THE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
SEVERE STORMS LOOK POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT...WITH
CENTRAL MISSOURI THE MORE LIKELY AREA TO SEE THE STRONGER STORMS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH MONDAY.

$$

33