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Land Use, Value, and Management: Agricultural Land Values

Contents
 

Farm Real Estate and Farm Finance

Farm real estate is the major asset on the farm sector balance sheet, accounting for nearly 79 percent of total U.S. farm assets in 2000.

In addition to being the largest single investment item in a typical farmer's portfolio, farm real estate is the principal source of collateral for farm loans, enabling farm operators to finance the purchase of additional farmland and equipment or to finance current operating expenses. For additional information, see the explanation of farm assets, debt and wealth in the Farm Income and Costs Briefing room.

Farm Business Assets, 2001F

Trends in Farm Real Estate Values

The rapid increase in farmland values during the 1970s and early 1980s was followed by a sharp decline during 1982-87. The slow upward trend beginning in 1987 began to accelerate in 1994.

Average Real and Nominal Values of U.S. Farm Real Estate

Since 1987, average U.S. farm real estate values have rebounded 102 percent, from $599 per acre to $1,210 per acre in January 2002. In real or inflation-adjusted terms (1982 dollars), this amounts to a 39-percent gain. It was not until January 1995 that the average nominal value per acre surpassed the previous record high of $823 set in 1982. Even now, though, the real (inflation-adjusted) value is still 23 percent below the 1981 peak.

Agricultural land values vary across States and regions depending on the inherent quality of the land for agricultural production, and on competing demands for other uses, such as development. As of January 2002, the Northeast farm production region had the highest value of land and buildings, at $2,810 per acre, due in large part to the expected value of agricultural land for future nonagricultural uses. New Jersey had the highest average value of any State, at $8,000 per acre.

 

Average value per acre of farm real estate, January 1, 2002

 

At the other extreme, farmland values in New Mexico, which contains large amounts of low-value rangeland, averaged $220 per acre.

For additional information, including historical data for States and counties, see:

Federal Commodity Program Payments and U.S. Farmland Values

Since the 1930s, Federal policy has exerted significant indirect influence on cropland values through capitalization of income from commodity supply control programs. Because farmland values are closely tied to the income-generating capacity of the land, payments from Federal farm programs have had a positive effect on farmland values.

Previous analyses of the wheat, corn, cotton, and Conservation Reserve Programs all indicate that these programs have a positive effect on farmland values, but the magnitude of that effect is often debated.

Recent analysis indicates that just prior to the 1996 Farm Bill, the largest relative effect of direct payments from farm commodity programs occurred on cropland values in the Northern Plains. Further analysis shows that much of the increase in government payments accrued to landlords in the form of higher rents.

For additional information, see "Evidence of Capitalization of Direct Government Payments into U.S. Cropland Values," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 79 (5), 1997: pp. 1642-1650 (C.H. Barnard, G. Whittaker, D. Westenbarger, and M. Ahearn).

Urban Influence and Farmland Values

While much of the market value of agricultural land reflects potential capacity to produce crops and livestock, nonfarm factors such as recreation and urbanization potential also influence market value. In States where farmland is in great demand for conversion to urban use, much of the market value of farmland is attributable to nonfarm demand.

The importance of this effect can be seen by comparing cash rent-to-value ratios. Cash rents are believed to be good indicators of current annual agricultural returns, while market value includes the effect of nonfarm influence.

Rent-to-value ratios, selected States, 1960-1994

In urbanized States, such as Delaware, New Jersey, and Maryland, cash rent-to-value ratios are relatively low (often 0.01-0.03), indicating that the average market value reflects a substantial amount of nonfarm demand.

In contrast, rent-to-value ratios of 0.065 to 0.10 occur for States in the Northern Plains and Corn Belt, where market value is largely determined by the value of the land for agricultural use.

 

For more information, contact: Michael Brady

Web administration: webadmin@ers.usda.gov

Updated date: June 28, 2005