ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/18/07 1757Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1745Z  KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:1457Z  DMSP SSMI:1150Z/1211Z TRMM:0925Z/1100Z
.
LOCATION...FLORIDA...SW GEORGIA...S ALABAMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...TAE...BMX...MOB...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...LMRFC...
.
EVENT...TRAINING HVY RAIN BURSTS TO CONTINUE FOR URBAN TYPE FF...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...HYDROESTIMATOR 3HR MAX AMOUNTS NOW
OVERLAND SE SANTA ROSA INTO OKALOOSA COUNTY AT CLOSE TO 3.0 INCHES
PER HR.  SEE SATELLITE ESTIMATES ON HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW.
MICROWAVE AND GOES SOUNDER MOISTURE INFO/ANALYSIS CONTINUED TO SHOW
DEEP PW MOISTURE PLUME ORIENTED SW TO NE AND MOVING VERY SLOWLY WITH
LITTLE OR NO KICKER UPSTREAM.  THIS MEANS CONTINUED SURGES OF HVY RAIN
BURSTS OF 1-2 INCHES PER HR FROM GULF OF MEXICO INTO FL PANHANDLE AND
S ALABAMA AND SPECIFICALLY THE CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE AND ONLY DRIFTING
SLOWLY EAST INTO THE EASTERN FL PANHANDLE.   SPILLOVER AFFECTS INTO S
ALABAMA AND SW GA WON'T PRODUCE AS HIGH OF AMOUNTS AS FL PANHANDLE...BUT
STILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THOSE AREAS FOR LOCALIZED URBAN TYPE FF.
CURRENT CONCERNS OKALOOSA THRU WALTON COUNTY THAT ARE LIKELY TO
SEE 3 INCHES PER 3HRS SPREADING TO JACKSON TO BAY COUNTY THRU THE
AFTERNOON.  MOISTURE TRANSPORT STILL VERY GOOD AND PWS NOW OVER 200
PERCENT OF NORMAL IN GULF FOR THE PAST 18HRS WHICH SHOULD HELP AS WELL.
SEE HTTP://AMSU.CIRA.COLOSTATE.EDU/GPSTPW FOR BLENDED TPW TOP PANEL AND
TPW ANOMALY IMAGERY LOOP ON THE BOTTOM PANEL.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3176 8515 3059 8415 2936 8743 3032 8826
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic


-