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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/24/07 0051Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11: 0030Z	DS
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LOCATION...ARIZONA...UTAH...NEVADA...
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ATTN WFOS...GJT...TWC...FGZ...SLC...PSR...VEF...LKN...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...CNRFC...
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EVENT...MOD/HVY RAINS CONTINUE IN AZ..STORMS HAVE SURGED NWD INTO SE UT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS..N-S ORIENTED MCS STRETCHING ACROSS THE
US/MX BORDER FROM WRN PIMA COUNTY SWD ALONG THE GULF OF CA NOW SEEMS TO
BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR HVY RAIN. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS BEST MOISTURE
CNVG AREA TO BE INVOF E PIMA/S MARICOPA COUNTIES. OUTFLOW BNDRY SEEN
MOVING SWWD ON VIS STLT AND RADAR IMAGERY WILL LIKELY CAUSE A LARGE
BLOWUP WITH THE MCS EXTENDING NWD AS A RESULT. ONE MERGER HAS ALREADY
TAKEN PLACE OVER N PINAL/E MARICOPA AS A RESULT OF THIS OUTFLOW. CELLS
IN W PIMA ARE MOVING WWD INTO YUMA COUNTY WHERE GOES SOUNDER SHOWS LIs
OF -5 TO -6 NOW AND PW VALUES OF 1.4-1.6 EXTENDING INTO THE EXTREME
SERN COUNTIES ON SRN CA. WITH MERGER AND MOVEMENT OF CELLS..EXPECT
VERY HVY RAINS TO AFFECT PIMA/MARICOPA COUNTIES FOR NEXT 1-2 HRS AND
BEGINNING TO AFFECT YUMA/LA PAZ COUNTIES IN THE NEXT 30 MIN. RAIN RATES
OF 1-1.5"/HR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH RATES UP TO 2" IN THE HALF HR AFTER
CELLS MERGE. LOOKS LIKE MERGER IS HAPPENING OVER SE MARICOPA/W PINAL
COUNTY AT THIS TIME PER 0030Z VIS IMAGE. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC.
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TO THE N..CELLS HAVE PUSHED OUT OF AZ INTO UT AND HAVE WEAKENED
SOMEWHAT. HOWEVER CELLS MOVING WWD FROM W CO INTO SW UT MAY CAUSE SOME
PROBLEMS AS THEY GET CLOSER TO THE CLUSTER THAT IS NOW CURRENTLY OVER
SAN JUAN/KANE COUNTIES. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THESE AREAS OVER NEXT FEW HRS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3876 11560 3808 10943 3077 10978 3059 11294
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