AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

 
 FXUS64 KEPZ 242057
 AFDEPZ
 
 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
 257 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2008
 
 .SYNOPSIS...
 DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
 PRESSURE SITS OVER THE SOUTHWEST. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT EARLY
 MONDAY WILL COOL TEMPERATURES 5 TO 10 DEGREES AND AN UPPER LEVEL
 DISTURBANCE MOVING OVER THE REGION WILL BRING SOME CLOUD COVER
 MIDWEEK.
 
 &&
 
 .DISCUSSION...
 THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER ARIZONA AND CALIFORNIA
 WILL SHIFT EASTWARD AS THE WEEKEND PROGRESSES. THIS WILL KEEP
 THINGS WARM AND DRY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. MONDAY MORNING A
 BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION. MODELS HAVE SOME
 DISAGREEMENT FROM RUN TO RUN CONCERNING THE DEPTH/STRENGTH OF THIS
 FRONT. THUS ONLY MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE TEMPERATURES TO TREND
 TOWARD THE COOLER SOLUTION.
 
 WEDNESDAY AN UPPER LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL EJECT SOME
 WEAK SHORTWAVES OVER THE BORDERLAND. THERE IS SOME MOISTURE
 ASSOCIATED WITH THESE SHORTWAVES AND THUS SOME CLOUD COVER IS
 EXPECTED. NO PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST HOWEVER AS THE WAVE
 LOOKS FAIRLY WEAK AND THE MOISTURE IS LIMITED.
 
 &&
 
 .AVIATION...VALID 25/00Z-26/00Z...
 VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. SEE APPROPRIATE TAFS FOR MORE DETAILS.
 
 
 &&
 
 .FIRE WEATHER...
 DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO 
 THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM BACK 
 TOWARDS NORMAL. TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE 
 NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND. REL HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO BE QUITE 
 DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD.  A COOL FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA 
 FROM THE EAST ON MONDAY. EXPECT TEMPERATURES BACK BELOW NORMAL ON 
 MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WHILE REL HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE DUE TO THE 
 COOLER TEMPERATURES AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEW POINTS. LITTLE IN THE 
 WAY OF ANY CHANCE OF RAIN...BUT PERHAPS SOME SPRINKLES OR DRIZZLE 
 POSSIBLE FOR ZONE 113 ON MONDAY WITH COOL FRONT.
 
 &&
 
 .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
 EL PASO                 47  80  49  81  50 /   0   0   0   0   0 
 SIERRA BLANCA TX        37  76  40  77  45 /   0   0   0   0   0 
 LAS CRUCES              45  78  46  80  45 /   0   0   0   0   0 
 ALAMOGORDO              42  74  44  76  43 /   0   0   0   0   0 
 CLOUDCROFT              30  59  35  62  29 /   0   0   0   0   0 
 TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   41  76  44  79  43 /   0   0   0   0   0 
 SILVER CITY             32  73  34  77  38 /   0   0   0   0   0 
 DEMING                  39  82  42  82  44 /   0   0   0   0   0 
 LORDSBURG               36  83  38  84  45 /   0   0   0   0   0 
 
 &&
 
 .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
 NM...NONE.
 TX...NONE.
 &&
 
 

 
 23/23
 
 
 

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