ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/13/08 0000Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2345Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...IOWA...KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN THREAT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...HAVE SEEN A NOTICEABLE INCREASE IN
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE LAST 1-2 HOURS FROM APPROXIMATELY GREENWOOD
COUNTY NE TOWARDS CLAY AND JACKSON COUNTIES.  CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE
OCCURRING NEAR OBJECTIVELY ANALYZED MOISTURE CONVERGENCE MAXIMUM ALONG
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH REGION AND ALSO IN HIGHLY
DIVERGENT RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF ANTI-CYCLONICALLY CURVED UL JET STREAK
OVER GREAT LAKES REGION.
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GOES SOUNDER/BLENDED MICROWAVE AND GPS PRECIPITABLE WATER ANALYSIS
SHOWS HIGHLY ANAMOLOUS MOISTURE IN PLACE WITH PRECIPITABLE WATERS WELL
IN EXCESS OF 2.00" OVER REGION.  THESE VALUES ARE IN EXCESS OF 200%
ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL VALUES.
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ALTHOUGH SATELLITE PRESENTATION IS NOT QUITE IMPRESSIVE AT THIS POINT,
UPSTREAM MOISTURE CONVERGENCE MAX FROM INCIPIENT CONVECTION MENTIONED
ABOVE RAISES THE LIKELIHOOD THAT CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
UPSTREAM WITH DOWNSTREAM TRAINING OVER PORTIONS OF NE KS AND N MO.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS SITUATION UNFOLDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4061 9322 4058 9205 4004 9122 3887 9160 3794 9488 3746
9692 3814 9684 3931 9561
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