ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ORZ000-WAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/06/08 1638Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11: 1615Z		DS
NOAA AMSU: 1123Z	 CIMSS MIMIC TPW: 1000Z
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LOCATION...OREGON...WASHINGTON...
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ATTN WFOS...OTX...PDT...MFR...SEW...PQR...
ATTN RFCS...NWRFC...CNRFC...
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EVENT...NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM APPROACHING W COAST
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...GOES-W WV IMAGERY SHOWS PACIFIC STORM
WITH UPPER LOW CENTERED CURRENTLY NEAR 47N/137W PROGESSING FAIRLY
QUICKLY TO THE ENE WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE CENTER TO PASS NEAR THE
NRN END OF VANCOUVER ISLAND AROUND 06Z. THOUGH RAINFALL EVENT FROM
THIS STORM DOES NOT APPEAR AS THOUGH IT WILL BE ANYTHING OUT OF THE
ORDINARY..IT WILL ALLOW FOR FIRST SIGNIFICANT CHC OF SNOWFALL IN THE
NRN CASCADES AND OTHER MTN AREAS AFTER COLD FRNT PASSES THROUGH. AMSU
PASS THIS MORNING SHOWED A THINNING PW PLUME AS THE STORM PULLS N AND
IS CLOSE TO SEVERING ITS TROPICAL CONNECTION..HOWEVER PW'S OF 1.5-1.6"
WERE STILL PRESENT ALONG THE PLUME AND WRAPPING INTO THE LOW. GOES STLT
WINDS INDICATE A 120KT JET MAX STRETCHING ALONG IN THE BASE OF THE TROF
GNRLY FROM W-E. AREAL AVG RAIN RATES FROM THE 1123Z AMSU PASS SHOWED
0.2-0.3"/HR RATES ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE STORM NR AND JUST W OF
47N/130W WHICH HAVE NOW PROGRESSED TO JUST SW OF VANCOUVER ISLAND. ALSO
PRESENT CLOSER TO THE STORMS CENTER WERE ISOLATED PIXELS SHOWING RATES
OVER 0.5"/HR. GOES VIS/IR SHOWS THAT MOST OF THE PRECIP FROM THIS STORM
SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 00Z TUES EXCEPT IN NW WA WHERE LEADING EDGE
PRECIP WILL COME ASHORE EARLIER. PLEASE SEE SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS BELOW
FOR GRAPHIC DEPICTING THESE RAINRATES. ALSO THE CIMSS MIMIC TPW WEBSITE
SHOWS A NICE LOOP OF THE APPROACHING MOISTURE ASSCD WITH THIS STORM AT
HTTP://CIMSS.SSEC.WISC.EDU/TROPIC/REAL-TIME/TPW2/EPAC/MAIN.HTML
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4967 12098 4283 12143 4312 12490 4920 12509
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