ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
KSZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/29/08 1039Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1032Z GG
.
1.LOCATION...SE KANSAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...SGF...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
.
EVENT...STATIONARY REDEVELOPMENT
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...PERSISTENT -60 TO -65C TOPS HAVE BEEN
PRESENT FOR OVER 3HRS AND WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF PWS AROUND 1.75"
PER GOES SOUNDER AND GPS NETWORK. WITH RATES OF 1.25-1.5/HR... TOTALS
ARE NOW APPROACHING THE 4-4.5" RANGE OVER NEOSHO COUNTY (3HR AUTOMATED
TOTALS ARE 2.8" ENDING AT 10Z) WITH 2-3" ESTIMATES ACROSS S ALLEN AND
SW BOURBON COUNTIES.  RUC2 ANALYSIS ALSO SHOWS THAT CELL PROPAGATION
VECTORS ARE VERY LIGHT (LESS THAN 5-10KT TO THE DUE EAST) UNDER
A GOOD ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT THAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
ONGOING DEVELOPMENT INCLUDING NEW CELLS THAT ARE FIRING UP STREAM.
WITH ORIENTATION OF NEW DEVELOPMENT...AND CELL MOTION VECTORS TRAINING
OVER WILSON AND NEOSHO COUNTIES COULD INCREASE THE AREAL FF THREAT.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3803 9651 3797 9477 3706 9470 3707 9651
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic


-