ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SCZ000-FLZ000-GAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/22/08 1412Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1345Z		DS
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LOCATION...S SOUTH CAROLINA...FLORIDA...S/SE GEORGIA...
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ATTN WFOS...CHS...MLB...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...FAY CONTINUES WWD MOTION ACROSS FL
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES UNOFFICIAL CENTER
LOCATION OF TS FAY NEAR THE GILCHRIST/ALACHUA COUNTY BORDER IN N FL
AT THIS TIME WITH A CONTINUED SLOW WWD MOTION. RECENT LIGHTNING DATA
HAS ALL BEEN OFFSHORE IN THE COLDER TOP BAND E OF THE STORM AND WITHIN
THE REFORMING OUTER BAND PRESENT OVER SW FL. THERE IS CERTAINLY MORE
OF A CONCERN OF FF RATHER THAN LONGER TERM FLOODING ASSCD WITH THESE
TWO OUTER BANDS AND TRAINING OF THE INTENSE CELLS WITHIN THE BANDS WILL
ALLOW FOR FAST ACCUMULATIONS IN THE DEEP MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT. IR SHOWS
COLDER TOPS OF OFFSHORE OUTER BAND WRAPPING INLAND NR THE GA/SC BORDER
INVOF KSAV AND LIFTING SLOWLY NWD TO AFFECT MORE AND MORE OF EXTREME
SRN SC. VIS SHOWS LOWER WARMER TOPPED DVLPMT OCCURRING ON THE INSIDE
EDGE OF THIS BAND THOUGH OVER BQK/SSI IN GA WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE AS
CELL GROWTH OFFSHORE FEEDING THE BAND IS SEEN TO BE ON THE INCREASE.
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INNER BAND HAS ALSO HAD NEW WARM TOP DVLPMT ON THE SE/E SIDES SINCE ABOUT
11Z THIS MORNING WITH IR BEGINNING TO SHOW CLOUD TOPS BREAKING INTO THE
-50C RANGE. VIS SHOWS EXPANDING AREA OF LOW TOP CELLS FROM LEE TO OMN
TO JAX WITH MOISTURE ABLE TO FEED IN OFF THE COASTAL ATLANTIC WATERS
INTO JAX. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS KEPT STRONGEST WINDS/BETTER WRAP
AROUND FLOW ON THE NE SIDE OF THE STORM FROM SGJ/FL TO BQK/GA.
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AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES HAVE NOT BEEN PICKING UP ON THESE NEW AREAS OF
WARMER TOPPED CELLS BUT FOR THE PAST 6 HR HAD SHOWN A SMALL 2-3" AREA
OVER PARTS OF GILCHRIST/ALACHUA/LEVY/MARION WITH A MAX OF 4.1" IN SRN
GILCHRIST. ANOTHER SMALL AREA NR THE GA/FL BORDER SHOWED BETWEEN 2-2.5"
DURING THE 6 HRS ENDING 1345Z. DURING THE PAST HR STLT ESTIMATES SHOWED
UP TO 1.3" OVER DESOTO/CHARLOTTE COUNTIES IN SW FL AS WELL. PLEASE SEE
WEB ADDRESS FOR ESTIMATE GRAPHIC SHORTLY.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3266 7941 2847 7978 2849 8403 3131 8443
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