ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/17/08 0110Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0102Z          CW
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LOCATION...TEXAS...NEW MEXICO...
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ATTN WFOS...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED AND WIDESPREAD
WITH POSSIBLE MCS DEVELOPMENT OVER NEXT FEW HRS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...STLT AND RADAR BOTH INDICATE SCATTERED
SHOWERS/TSTMS OVER NM/SE CO/EXT W OK ATTM.  STORMS HAVE BEEN RATHER
PROGRESSIVE IN THEIR MOVEMENT EITHER EWD OR SEWD.  OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS OF
17Z SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE INDICATES A MAX AREA OF CONVERGENCE ACROSS
MUCH OF ERN NM.  SFC/850MB/925MB WINDS ALL ARE FOUND TO BE E/ESE ACROSS
W TX AND INTO E NM PROVIDING GOOD LLVL MOISTURE TRANSPORT.
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WV ANIMATION HAS A S/WV DIVING SEWD ACROSS NW NM/SW CO AND IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE PROVIDING THE NECESSARY LIFT FOR THIS EVENINGS STORMS TO
CONTINUE.  EXPERIMENTAL STLT WIND PRODUCT INDICATES MAX REGION OF UPPER
LVL DIVERGENCE ACROSS E NM WHICH HAS BEEN INCREASING IN MAGNITUDE OVER
THE PAST 1-2 HRS.  IT IS LIKELY THAT AS STORMS PUSH EWD INTO E NM WHERE
A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF STRONGER SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE..HIGHER
PW VALUES (1.2-1.5")..AND UPPER LVL DIVERGENCE EXISTS..THAT STORMS COULD
BECOME MORE ORGANIZED..MERGE AND EVOLVE INTO AN MCS OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS.
THREAT OF HVY RAINS THIS EVENING INCLUDES MUCH OF E NM/EXT W TX/SW TX.
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SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW FOR STLT GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 10 MINS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3684 10227 3147 10151 3157 10570 3676 10592
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