FXUS62 KMLB 100107
AFDMLB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
907 PM EDT SAT MAY 9 2009
.DISCUSSION...
...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TO END THE WEEKEND...
...SOME RELIEF POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK...
CURRENTLY-TONIGHT...EAST/WEST COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES COLLIDED   
ACROSS THE INTERIOR IN THE VICINITY OF METRO ORLANDO.  THE 
ATMOSPHERE WAS TOO DRY/STABLE TO GENERATE ANY DEEP CONVECTION...IN 
FACT THERE WAS VERY LITTLE CLOUDINESS. THE REST OF THE NIGHT WILL BE 
A BASIC FAIR WEATHER FORECAST WITH CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AS 
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY AIR DOMINATE.
&&
.AVIATION...TOO DRY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT FOG BUT RECENT KSFB REPORT 
SHOWED SLIGHT VISIBILITY RESTRICTION DUE TO SMOKE.  FEEL THIS WILL 
BE LOCALIZED AND THEREFORE PLAN TO MAINTAIN VFR FORECASTS.
&&
.MARINE...TONIGHT/SUNDAY...DEEP LOW LIFTING OUT FROM THE EASTERN 
GREAT LAKES SHOULD CAUSE ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE TO NUDGE SLIGHTLY 
NORTHWARD.  WHILE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS OFFSHORE IN THE NORTH 
TONIGHT MIGHT STILL REACH 10-15 KNOTS...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD 
BE A LITTLE WEAKER ON SUNDAY SO 10 KNOT OR LESS FLOW IS EXPECTED. 
&&
.FIRE WEATHER (PREVIOUS DISCUSSION)...EXPECT ANOTHER AFTERNOON WITH 
LOW RHS FROM 30-35 PCT ACROSS WELL INTERIOR SECTIONS FOR 2-4 HOURS 
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. WILL NOT HOIST A FIRE WEATHER WATCH YET 
BUT MID CREW MAY NEED TO CONSIDER ANOTHER SHORT FUSE RFW FOR WELL 
INTERIOR SECTIONS PENDING THE 00Z MODELS.
MON-THU...HOT TEMPS AND LOWER DEWPTS WILL CREATE MIN RH VALUES IN 
THE LOW/MID 30S OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR AGAIN MON. HOWEVER 
DURATION LOOKS TO ONLY LAST FOR 2-3 HOURS DUE TO INLAND MOVING SEA 
BREEZE BOUNDARIES EACH AFTERNOON. 
&&
.CLIMATE...MCO TIED THEIR RECORD HIGH TODAY WHILE THE OTHER 3 SITES 
CAME UP ONE DEGREE SHORT OF EQUALING THEIR RECORD HIGHS.
       RECORD HIGH 5/9    RECORD HIGH 5/10
DAB       94 (1978)          94 (2008) 
MCO       95 (1971)          97 (1962) 
MLB       94 (1978)          95 (1978)
VRB       93 (1977)          95 (1976)
&&
.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...LASCODY
LONG TERM....BRAGAW