FXHW60 PHFO 100134 AFDHFO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 334 PM HST SAT MAY 9 2009 .SYNOPSIS... LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH MONDAY...AND REMAIN LIGHT FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK...AS A SURFACE RIDGE SITS JUST NORTH OF KAUAI. JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS WILL AFFECT WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS...MAINLY DURING NIGHTS AND MORNINGS. DAYTIME SEA BREEZES WILL PRODUCE AFTERNOON CLOUDS...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS...OVER LEEWARD AREAS. && .DISCUSSION... LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS CONTINUE TODAY WITH WINDSPEEDS RANGING FROM 5 TO 15 MPH AT MOST LOCATIONS. FLOW ACCELERATION IN THE ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL AND OVER THE WATERS NEAR SOUTH POINT ARE INCREASING WINDS TO 20 MPH. SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS SPARSE ACROSS THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON. A SURFACE HIGH FAR NE OF THE ISLANDS EXTENDS IT/S ASSOCIATED RIDGE 200 MILES TO THE NORTH OF KAUAI. THE PROXIMITY OF THE RIDGE IS KEEPING HAWAII UNDER A RELAXED PRESSURE GRADIENT AND HENCEFORTH THE LIGHT/MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK AS LOW PRESSURE FAR TO NORTH KEEPS THE RIDGE IN PLACE. BY TUESDAY...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECASTED TO PUSH THE RIDGE EVEN FARTHER SOUTH...INTO A POSITION JUST N OF KAUAI. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL...AND THE RIDGE WILL STALL ALONG WITH IT...JUST N OF THE STATE. WITH THE RIDGE IN THIS POSITION...LARGE SCALE WINDS NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY TRADES...WHILE WINDS NEAR KAUAI WILL BE LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLIES. THIS SET-UP WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES AND OVERNIGHT LAND BREEZES. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL FAVOR INTERIOR AND LEEWARD AREAS DURING AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...THOUGH THE LIGHT E FLOW COULD BRING AN ISOLATED SHOWER TO WINDWARD AREAS NIGHTS AND MORNINGS. MINIMAL TOTAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS MID LEVEL RIDGING MAINTAINS STABLE CONDITIONS. VOLCANIC EMISSIONS...EMANATING FROM HALEMAUMAU AND PUU OO ON THE BIG ISLAND...ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT THE CHANCE OF THIS HAZE SPREADING TO THE SMALLER ISLANDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN AS THE RIDGE NEARS NEXT WEEK. && .MARINE... A LONG PERIOD SOUTH SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 FOOT SURF ALONG SOUTH FACING SHORES BEFORE DIMINISHING SUNDAY NIGHT. && .HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MORRISON