000 FNUS54 KMRX 150345 AAB FWFMRX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 1145 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009 .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160445- JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6- 1145 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 59-64 (+4) 76-81 (0) 58-63 75-80 RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+16) 51-56 (-5) 92-97 47-52 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 6 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 40 40 60 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.20 0.15 0.02 0.10 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5100 4600 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 W 14 DISPERSION 16 GEN POOR 32 FAIR REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160445- NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 1145 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 55-60 (+4) 74-79 (+1) 55-60 73-78 RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+12) 51-56 (-4) 95-100 52-57 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 5 W 5 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 40 50 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 1.00 0.17 0.02 0.10 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5200 4600 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 7 W 10 DISPERSION 13 GEN POOR 16 GEN POOR REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ072-074-160445- GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK- 1145 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 55-60 (0) 72-77 (+1) 55-60 70-75 RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+13) 53-58 (-5) 91-96 55-60 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 40 60 PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.85 0.13 0.02 0.10 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5100 4300 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 6 SW 8 DISPERSION 9 POOR 10 POOR REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ087-102-160445- SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 1145 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (-1) 76-81 (+1) 56-61 73-78 RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+13) 50-55 (-4) 91-96 56-61 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 40 70 PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.42 0.12 0.03 0.13 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 3900 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 3 SW 9 DISPERSION 10 POOR 14 GEN POOR REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ NCZ060-061-160445- NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST- 1145 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 59-64 (-2) 77-82 (+2) 55-60 73-78 RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+6) 49-54 (-2) 91-96 58-63 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 40 70 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.25 0.14 0.07 0.19 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 3900 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 5 SW 7 DISPERSION 10 POOR 10 POOR MAX LVORI 6 5 REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160445- TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1- 1145 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 59-64 (+5) 78-83 (+1) 58-63 77-82 RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+15) 50-55 (-3) 95-100 48-53 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 6 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 40 60 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.53 0.15 0.02 0.09 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 4400 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 7 W 14 DISPERSION 20 GEN POOR 35 FAIR REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160445- TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2- 1145 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 59-64 (+3) 77-82 (+1) 60-65 77-82 RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+19) 53-58 (-3) 90-95 52-57 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 5 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 40 30 70 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.29 0.12 0.02 0.14 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 4100 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 7 SW 13 DISPERSION 20 GEN POOR 31 FAIR REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160445- TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3- 1145 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009 /1045 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2009/ TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 61-66 (+4) 78-83 (+2) 60-65 78-83 RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+14) 51-56 (-7) 93-98 49-54 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 30 30 70 PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.41 0.11 0.02 0.13 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 3700 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 5 SW 9 DISPERSION 14 GEN POOR 21 FAIR REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$