000 FNUS53 KPAH 130913 FWFPAH FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE HEARTLAND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 413 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008 .DISCUSSION... THE HEARTLAND WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN POISED ALONG THE WESTERN LIMB OF AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THROUGH TONIGHT. ON TUESDAY...THE LEADING EDGE OF A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS BEFORE STALLING OUT JUST NORTH OF THE HEARTLAND. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BECOME WEAK AND DIFFUSE IN NATURE...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN HOLDING BACK TOWARD PARTS OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BECOME ENERGIZED AGAIN LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY...PUSHING SOUTH OF THE AREA BY LATE THURSDAY. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL THEN PUSH IN TO THE REGION WITH AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL DOMINATE THE HEARTLAND INTO NEXT NEXT WEEKEND. MOZ098-100-106>109-132215- SHANNON-WAYNE MO-OREGON-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER- INCLUDING ...THE MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST 413 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008 TODAY TONIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 RH % (24H TREND) 53 (-4) 100 (+6) 46 20FTWND-AM(MPH) SE 4-8 LGT/VAR 20FTWND-PM(MPH) SE 3-7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.04 PRECIP DURATION 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM PRECIP END CONTINUING TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (-1) 57 (-4) 80 1700'MIX HGT TEMP 70 74 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3963 4853 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 15 S 7 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 8 S 4 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 9664 5916 DISPERSION INDEX FAIR TO GOOD FAIR LAL 1 1 3 HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 STABILITY(DSI) STBL N/A STBL REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WINDS NEAR CALM. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ MOZ074>076-085>087-132215- ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-PERRY MO-MADISON-BOLLINGER- CAPE GIRARDEAU- INCLUDING ...THE MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST 413 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008 TODAY TONIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 RH % (24H TREND) 48 (-7) 100 (+10) 47 20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 6-10 LGT/VAR 20FTWND-PM(MPH) S 4-8 LGT/VAR S 3-7 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.04 PRECIP DURATION 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM PRECIP END CONTINUING TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (0) 58 (-3) 80 1700'MIX HGT TEMP 71 74 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4871 5084 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 17 SW 7 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 9 SW 4 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 13365 6200 DISPERSION INDEX GOOD FAIR LAL 1 1 3 HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 STABILITY(DSI) STBL N/A STBL REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WINDS NEAR CALM. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ MOZ110>112-114-132215- STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 413 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008 TODAY TONIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 RH % (24H TREND) 45 (-2) 100 (+13) 44 20FTWND-AM(MPH) SE 5-9 LGT/VAR 20FTWND-PM(MPH) SE 3-7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 PRECIP DURATION 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM PRECIP END CONTINUING TEMP (24H TREND) 81 (-1) 60 (-2) 82 1700'MIX HGT TEMP 74 76 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5578 5057 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 13 S 8 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 S 4 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 11900 6164 DISPERSION INDEX GOOD FAIR TO GOOD LAL 1 1 2 HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 STABILITY(DSI) SLGT UNSTBL N/A STBL REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ KYZ001>022-132215- FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON- MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER- HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD- INCLUDING ... THE LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES NATIONAL RECREATIONAL AREA 413 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008 TODAY TONIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 RH % (24H TREND) 39 (-1) 100 (+14) 39 20FTWND-AM(MPH) SE 4-8 LGT/VAR 20FTWND-PM(MPH) S 3-7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION PRECIP BEGIN PRECIP END TEMP (24H TREND) 83 (-2) 60 (-1) 83 1700'MIX HGT TEMP 73 76 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5054 5486 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 11 S 6 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 S 3 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 9240 5016 DISPERSION INDEX FAIR TO GOOD FAIR LAL 1 1 2 HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 STABILITY(DSI) SLGT UNSTBL N/A STBL REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS NEAR CALM. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ ILZ084>094-132215- JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN- ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC- INCLUDING ...THE SHAWNEE NATIONAL FOREST 413 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008 TODAY TONIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 RH % (24H TREND) 42 (-1) 100 (+11) 43 20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 5-9 LGT/VAR 20FTWND-PM(MPH) S 4-8 LGT/VAR S 3-7 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 PRECIP DURATION 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM PRECIP END CONTINUING TEMP (24H TREND) 81 (-3) 60 (-1) 81 1700'MIX HGT TEMP 74 75 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5272 5196 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 13 SW 8 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 SW 4 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 11249 6336 DISPERSION INDEX GOOD FAIR TO GOOD LAL 1 1 2 HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 STABILITY(DSI) SLGT UNSTBL N/A STBL REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. WINDS NEAR CALM. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS NEAR CALM. .THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS NEAR CALM. .SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS NEAR CALM. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ ILZ075>078-080>083-132215- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE- 413 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008 TODAY TONIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 RH % (24H TREND) 40 (-1) 100 (+13) 43 20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 4-8 LGT/VAR 20FTWND-PM(MPH) S 5-9 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.04 PRECIP DURATION 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM PRECIP END CONTINUING TEMP (24H TREND) 83 (-2) 60 (-1) 80 1700'MIX HGT TEMP 74 74 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4906 5123 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 13 SW 9 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 SW 5 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 10465 7810 DISPERSION INDEX GOOD FAIR TO GOOD LAL 1 1 3 HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 STABILITY(DSI) SLGT UNSTBL N/A STBL REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WINDS NEAR CALM. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS NEAR CALM. .SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS NEAR CALM. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ INZ081-082-085>088-132215- GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER- 413 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008 TODAY TONIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 RH % (24H TREND) 38 (+3) 98 (+17) 43 20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 3-7 LGT/VAR 20FTWND-PM(MPH) S 3-7 LGT/VAR SW 3-7 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DURATION PRECIP BEGIN PRECIP END TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (-2) 60 (+1) 81 1700'MIX HGT TEMP 74 76 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4867 5991 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 13 SW 8 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 SW 4 VENT RATE (M/S-M) 10381 7304 DISPERSION INDEX GOOD FAIR TO GOOD LAL 1 1 2 HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 STABILITY(DSI) SLGT UNSTBL N/A STBL REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. WINDS NEAR CALM. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS NEAR CALM. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ SMITH