State and Local Government Employee-Retirement Systems
Fiscal Year 2004

 
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Sample Design
    Description of design:
  Prior to Fiscal Year (FY) 2004, the Annual Retirement Survey (ARS) was based on a non-probability sample design. In 2004 it became a probability sample and was designed to produce estimates for Local as well as State and Local Retirement systems with a relative standard error of 3 percent or less on the following categories: receipts by source, payments, financial holdings, membership, and benefit payments. For this sample, three data items of interest helped determine the initial sample sizes: total earnings on investments, total benefits paid and withdrawals, and total holdings and investments. The sampling frame for the 2004 Annual Retirement Survey is the 2002 Government Finance Census file, updated with births, deaths, and mergers since fiscal year 2002. Units satisfying the following criteria were automatically included in the sample with a probability of one. These units represent themselves only and are called certainty units.

    1) Jacket units (large units whose data are compiled in-house);

  2) All State Retirement Systems;

  3) Systems with Total Holdings and Investments greater than $50 million;

  4) Systems in a state that had fewer than 10 local retirement systems with a probability          not equal to one;

  5) Systems with Total Earnings on Investments greater that $8 million, or Total Benefits          Paid and Withdrawals greater than $15 million.

 

After determining the initial sample size, non-certainty governments were selected for the sample based on a probability proportional to its size, which was based on the variable total holdings and investments. Prior to selecting the sample, the file was ordered by state and probability of selection.

    Weighting:
 

The weight for each unit in the sample is the inverse of that unit’s probability of being selected into the sample. For example, for units that were included in the sample with a probability of .02, the weight is (1/.02)=50. For units that were included in the sample with a probability of 1, the weight is 1.

    Sample size:
 

The sample size is 1076 units of which 830 had a probability of selection equal to one.


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Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Governments Division,
Created: September 22 2005
Last revised: October 02 2006