Table 4.—Dispersion in Revisions to Current-Dollar and Real GDP and Its Components:

Current Quarterly Estimates Compared with Latest Estimates for Selected Periods

[Percentage points]

Vintage of estimates 1983-89 1990-97
Current-dollar estimates Real estimates Current-dollar estimates Real estimates
Gross domestic product:
Advance1.191.050.911.11
Preliminary1.171.150.831.05
Final1.251.280.821.05
Personal consumption expenditures:
Advance1.471.550.930.97
Preliminary1.501.550.780.86
Final1.501.540.710.88
Durable goods:
Advance4.634.322.703.08
Preliminary4.464.152.692.93
Final4.694.452.552.84
Nondurable goods:
Advance1.972.401.271.48
Preliminary1.472.200.961.18
Final1.502.140.941.11
Services:
Advance1.401.301.161.18
Preliminary1.471.281.201.18
Final1.641.471.051.13
Gross private domestic investment:
Advance10.4610.065.645.81
Preliminary9.959.965.675.92
Final9.8010.175.445.66
Fixed investment:
Advance3.124.012.833.25
Preliminary2.963.952.543.13
Final3.254.252.683.35
Nonresidential:
Advance4.024.972.893.31
Preliminary3.784.733.043.41
Final3.665.093.113.79
Structures:
Advance6.065.845.134.76
Preliminary4.674.914.093.96
Final5.255.093.703.53
Producers' durable equipment:
Advance4.116.063.283.60
Preliminary4.316.124.074.14
Final4.506.384.094.44
Residential:
Advance5.265.544.304.35
Preliminary5.405.553.914.39
Final5.695.693.814.03
Change in business inventories/1/
Net exports of goods and services/1/
Exports:
Advance5.495.544.274.32
Preliminary5.274.913.223.84
Final5.785.623.364.02
Imports:
Advance9.1311.154.235.03
Preliminary8.8512.022.053.55
Final9.2012.282.043.52
Government consumption expenditures and gross investment:/2/
Advance4.385.231.431.74
Preliminary4.415.141.461.42
Final4.535.331.391.40
Federal:
Advance10.2812.093.013.30
Preliminary10.5412.133.083.19
Final10.5312.243.033.12
Defense:
Advance3.784.753.023.43
Preliminary2.994.563.163.31
Final2.974.393.273.66
Nondefense:
Advance43.2933.768.8310.81
Preliminary45.4433.278.6210.77
Final44.1533.748.6510.64
State and local:
Advance1.611.881.451.26
Preliminary1.601.881.231.24
Final1.651.951.211.24
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic product:
Advance1.461.741.160.88
Preliminary1.361.631.010.84
Final1.551.911.110.87

1. Negative values in some quarters make the calculation of percent changes impossible.

2. Prior to the fourth quarter of 1995, this component was defined as "government purchases" and thus excluded consumption of fixed capital.