Table 3.—Dispersion and Relative Dispersion in Revisions to Current-Dollar and Real GDP and Its Components: Current Quarterly Estimates Compared with Latest Estimates, 1983-97

Vintage of estimates Dispersion
(percentage points)
Relative
dispersion
(percent)
Current-dollar estimates Real estimates Current-dollar estimates Real estimates
Gross domestic product:
Advance1.041.081631
Preliminary0.991.101632
Final1.021.151633
Personal consumption expenditures:
Advance1.181.241836
Preliminary1.111.181735
Final1.081.191635
Durable goods:
Advance3.603.663235
Preliminary3.523.503133
Final3.553.593234
Nondurable goods:
Advance1.591.913275
Preliminary1.201.662465
Final1.201.592462
Services:
Advance1.271.241738
Preliminary1.331.231738
Final1.331.291740
Gross private domestic investment:
Advance7.897.796263
Preliminary7.677.806063
Final7.477.775963
Fixed investment:
Advance2.973.613750
Preliminary2.743.513449
Final2.953.773752
Nonresidential:
Advance3.424.084049
Preliminary3.384.033948
Final3.374.393952
Structures:
Advance5.565.265458
Preliminary4.364.404248
Final4.434.264347
Producers' durable equipment:
Advance3.674.743847
Preliminary4.195.064450
Final4.285.354553
Residential:
Advance4.754.903641
Preliminary4.604.933541
Final4.694.813640
Change in business inventories/1/
Net exports of goods and services/1/
Exports:
Advance4.844.894651
Preliminary4.184.344045
Final4.494.764350
Imports:
Advance6.527.895873
Preliminary5.227.504769
Final5.387.614870
Government consumption expenditures and gross investment:/2/
Advance2.813.3752102
Preliminary2.843.165396
Final2.863.245398
Federal:
Advance6.407.41100125
Preliminary6.567.36103124
Final6.537.37102124
Defense:
Advance3.384.054661
Preliminary3.083.904259
Final3.134.004360
Nondefense:
Advance24.9121.52225209
Preliminary25.8021.27233207
Final25.2220.49228199
State and local:
Advance1.521.552450
Preliminary1.411.542249
Final1.411.572250
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic product:
Advance1.161.281939
Preliminary1.011.201636
Final1.111.351841

1. Negative values in some quarters make the calculation of percent changes impossible.

2. Prior to the fourth quarter of 1995, this component was defined as "government purchases" and thus excluded consumption of fixed capital.