| Vintage of estimate | Percentage of estimates that provided the correct indication/1/ | ||
| Of the direction of change | Of the acceleration/ deceleration from the preceding quarter | Of the growth of trend rate/2/ | |
| Advance | 98 | 78 | 78 |
| Preliminary | 98 | 73 | 73 |
| Final | 98 | 78 | 73 |
| Number of quarters compared | 60 | 60 | 37 |
1. For each quarter, the current quarterly estimate is compared with the latest available estimate to determine whether the current quarterly estimate provided a "correct indication."
2. Consists of the quarters in which the latest estimates increased at least 1.5 percent but no more than 4.5 percent.