U.S. Census Bureau

Goodness-of-Fit and Badness-of-Fit Diagnostic Tests for Time Series Models

Tucker McElroy and Scott Holan

KEY WORDS: ARMA, EXP Models, Frequency Domain, Nonstationary Time Series

ABSTRACT

Diagnostics for testing model goodness-of-fit and badness-of-fit for time series data are formulated by considering a convenient metrization of a spectral density's departure from constancy. The method is illustrated through numerical experiments and several case studies.

CITATION:

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Statistical Research Division

Created: November 13, 2007
Last revised: November 13, 2007