TooZ

Taipei 1 00Z   Sao Paulo 1 00Z   Pusan 1 00Z   Athens 1 00Z

Taipei 2 00Z   Sao Paulo 2 00Z   Pusan 2 00Z   Athens 2 00Z

To6Z

Taipei 1 06Z   Sao Paulo 1 06Z   Pusan 1 06Z   Athens 1 06Z

Taipei 2 06Z   Sao Paulo 2 06Z   Pusan 2 06Z   Athens 2 06Z

T12Z

Taipei 1 12Z   Sao Paulo 1 12Z   Pusan 1 12Z   Athens 1 12Z

Taipei 2 12Z   Sao Paulo 2 12Z   Pusan 2 12Z   Athens 2 12Z

T18Z

Taipei 1 18Z   Sao Paulo 1 18Z   Pusan 1 18Z   Athens 1 18Z

Taipei 2 18Z   Sao Paulo 2 18Z   Pusan 2 18Z   Athens 2 18Z

T00Z

De Bilt 1 00Z   Bangalore 1 00Z   Chengdu 1 00Z

De Bilt 2 00Z   Bangalore 2 00Z   Chengdu 2 00Z

T06Z

De Bilt 1 06Z   Bangalore 1 06Z   Chengdu 1 06Z

De Bilt 2 06Z   Bangalore 2 06Z   Chengdu 2 06Z

T12Z

De Bilt 1 12Z   Bangalore 1 12Z   Chengdu 1 12Z

De Bilt 2 12Z   Bangalore 2 12Z   Chengdu 2 12Z

T18Z

De Bilt 1 18Z   Bangalore 1 18Z   Chengdu 1 18Z

De Bilt 2 18Z   Bangalore 2 18Z   Chengdu 2 18Z

T00Z

DCA 1 00Z   BWI 1 00Z   IAD_1_00Z

DCA 2 00Z   BWI 2 00Z   IAD_2_00Z

T06Z

DCA 1 06Z   BWI 1 06Z   IAD_1_06Z

DCA 2 06Z   BWI 2 06Z   IAD_2_06Z

T12Z

DCA 1 12Z   BWI 1 12Z   IAD 1 12Z

DCA 2 12Z   BWI 2 12Z   IAD 2 12Z

T18Z

DCA 1 18Z   BWI 1 18Z   IAD 1 18Z

DCA 2 18Z   BWI 2 18Z   IAD 2 18Z

Today's GFS forecast (00Z and 12Z) for tropical eastern Pac and Atlantic

GFS F00 today

GFS F12 today

GFS F24 today

GFS F36 today

GFS F48 today

GFS F60 today

GFS F72 today

GFS F84 today

GFS F96 today

GFS F108 today

GFS F120 today

GFS F132 today

GFS F144 today

GFS F156 today

GFS F168 today

GFS F180 today

Today's GFS (00Z and 12Z) forecast for tropical western Pac

GFS F00 today

GFS F12 today

GFS F24 today

GFS F36 today

GFS F48 today

GFS F60 today

GFS F72 today

GFS F84 today

GFS F96 today

GFS F108 today

GFS F120 today

GFS F132 today

GFS F144 today

GFS F156 today

GFS F168 today

GFS F180 today

AVN tropical storm track status with MRFX

Tropical storm track (72-hr fcst) status with MRFX

summer 2000 parallel using sas01 with random cloud top selection and momentum mixing by convection

summer 2000 parallel X. part of it with random cloud top part with deepest cloud top

Floyd tests

Example of the relocation algorithm

These are the storm track stats for convection change with a relocation that was only correcting to the within 15 km. EXP2 is the test package results

tropical storm track verification for 1999 compared with other operational center results

The following gif file shows the comparison of the experimental runs with the operational AVN runs. (EXP1 convection change with a relocation that is to the nearest degree lat/long point, EXP2 convection change and relocation to the nearest 15 km)

tropical storm track verification for 1999

The following two figures are precipitation scores for U.S. for the convection test. For these scores, PRY stood for the experimental convection runs.

T126 Precip threat score for August 1999

T126 Precip bias score for August 1999

Following are a set of month long assimilation and forecast results using T62 system to test tropical climate response to convection change. prq is the designated name for the experimental runs while pra is the control.

Tropical relative humidity cross-section

day1 forecast prh exp and control oct99 mean

day16 forecast prh exp and control oct99 mean

Pwat day16 forecast prh exp and control oct99 mean

OLR day16 forecast prh exp and control oct99 mean

These are the SST anomalies for which convection tests for month long integration are done

SSTA Jan99 & control

SSTA Jan98 & control

Observed precip for January 1998

Predicted precip for January 1998

Observed precip for January 1999

Predicted precip for January 1999