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Tropical Storm HANNA
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1500 UTC THU AUG 28 2008
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 1 1 1 1 1 3
TROP DEPRESSION 11 12 6 7 4 4 9
TROPICAL STORM 87 78 64 50 33 28 36
HURRICANE 2 9 29 42 62 67 51
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 2 8 25 31 36 33 28
HUR CAT 2 X 1 3 8 15 19 13
HUR CAT 3 1 1 1 3 8 12 8
HUR CAT 4 X X X 1 3 3 2
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40KT 45KT 55KT 60KT 70KT 75KT 70KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 3(13)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME
NNNN
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