Table 2. Outcomes Table: Benefits and Harms
of Screening 1000 Pregnant Women at High Risk for Bacterial Vaginosisa
Benefit
and Relevant Factors |
General High-Risk Group (95% CI)b |
More Selected High-Risk Group (95% CI)c |
Assumptions
and estimates |
Prevalence of bacterial vaginosis in population |
0.25 |
0.25 |
Sensitivity of screening test |
0.95 |
0.95 |
Specificity of screening test |
0.95 |
0.95 |
Adherence to treatment |
0.80 |
0.80 |
Effect
sizes in patients with bacterial vaginosisd |
Delivery <37 weeks |
-0.125 (-0.239 to -0.010)50,57,e |
+0.229 (+0.118 to +0.339)58-60,e |
Preterm, premature rupture of membranes |
-0.036 (-0.114 to +0.042)57,e |
+0.237 (+0.115 to +0.360)58,59,e |
Delivery <34 weeks |
-0.033 (-0.126 to +0.060)50,57,e |
+0.079 (-0.026 to +0.183)58,59,e |
Effect
sizes in patients without bacterial vaginosisd |
Delivery <37 weeks |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Preterm premature rupture of membranes |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Delivery <34 weeks |
-0.02 |
-0.06 |
Results, n |
Unsuspected bacterial vaginosis |
250 |
250 |
No bacterial vaginosis |
750 |
750 |
Correctly diagnosed as having bacterial vaginosis |
238 |
238 |
Has bacterial vaginosis and has completed therapy |
190 |
190 |
Incorrectly diagnosed as having bacterial vaginosis |
38 |
38 |
No bacterial vaginosis and has completed therapy |
30 |
30 |
Has bacterial vaginosis and missed or did not complete
therapy |
60 |
60 |
Outcomes |
Delivery <37 weeks |
-24 (-45 to -2) |
+44 (+22 to +64) |
Preterm, premature rupture of membranes |
-7 (-22 to +8) |
+45 (+22 to +68) |
Delivery <34 weeks |
-7 (-25 to +11) |
+13 (-7 to +33) |
a. The
proportion of all patients who meet the criteria for high risk varies with
practice setting, patient population, and the criteria used to define high risk.
A negative sign (-) indicates a net increase in adverse outcomes (harm),
whereas a positive sign (+) indicates a net decrease in adverse outcomes
(benefit).
b. Preterm
delivery baseline risk <30%.
c. Preterm
delivery baseline risk >30%.
d. Probability
in control group—probability in treated group.
e. We used
effect size data from high-risk studies where available for specific outcomes.
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