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Table 2. Outcomes Table: Benefits and Harms of Screening 1000 Pregnant Women at High Risk for Bacterial Vaginosisa

Benefit and Relevant Factors General High-Risk Group (95% CI)b More Selected High-Risk Group (95% CI)c

Assumptions and estimates 

Prevalence of bacterial vaginosis in population

0.25

0.25

Sensitivity of screening test

0.95

0.95

Specificity of screening test

0.95

0.95

Adherence to treatment

0.80

0.80

Effect sizes in patients with bacterial vaginosisd

Delivery <37 weeks

-0.125 (-0.239 to -0.010)50,57,e

+0.229 (+0.118 to +0.339)58-60,e

Preterm, premature rupture of membranes

-0.036 (-0.114 to +0.042)57,e

+0.237 (+0.115 to +0.360)58,59,e

Delivery <34 weeks

-0.033 (-0.126 to +0.060)50,57,e

+0.079 (-0.026 to +0.183)58,59,e

Effect sizes in patients without bacterial vaginosisd

Delivery <37 weeks

0.00

0.00

Preterm premature rupture of membranes

0.00

0.00

Delivery <34 weeks

-0.02

-0.06

Results, n

Unsuspected bacterial vaginosis

250

250

No bacterial vaginosis

750

750

Correctly diagnosed as having bacterial vaginosis

238

238

Has bacterial vaginosis and has completed therapy

190

190

Incorrectly diagnosed as having bacterial vaginosis

38

38

No bacterial vaginosis and has completed therapy

30

30

Has bacterial vaginosis and missed or did not complete therapy

60

60

Outcomes

Delivery <37 weeks

-24 (-45 to -2)

+44 (+22 to +64)

Preterm, premature rupture of membranes

-7 (-22 to +8)

+45 (+22 to +68)

Delivery <34 weeks

-7 (-25 to +11)

+13 (-7 to +33)

a. The proportion of all patients who meet the criteria for high risk varies with practice setting, patient population, and the criteria used to define high risk. A negative sign (-) indicates a net increase in adverse outcomes (harm), whereas a positive sign (+) indicates a net decrease in adverse outcomes (benefit).
b. Preterm delivery baseline risk <30%.
c. Preterm delivery baseline risk >30%.
d. Probability in control group—probability in treated group.
e. We used effect size data from high-risk studies where available for specific outcomes.

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