Table 3. Efficient and Near-Efficient Strategies for Colonoscopy Screening
Test, Age Begin–Age Stop, Intervala |
Outcomes per 1000 Persons (COL) |
Outcomes per 1000 Persons (LYG) |
Outcomes per 1000 Persons (ΔCOL) |
Outcomes per 1000 Persons (ΔLYG) |
Outcomes per 1000 Persons (ΔCOL/ΔLYG) |
MISCAN |
|
|
|
|
|
COL, 60–75, 20 |
2175 |
156 |
– |
– |
– |
COL, 50–75, 20 |
3325 |
203 |
1150 |
47 |
24.7 |
COL, 50–75, 10 |
4136 |
230 |
811 |
27 |
29.6 |
COL, 50–85, 10 |
4534 |
236 |
398 |
5 |
72.9 |
COL, 50–75, 5 |
5895 |
254 |
1362 |
18 |
74.8 |
COL, 50–85, 5 |
6460 |
257 |
565 |
4 |
156.1 |
SimCRC |
|
|
|
|
|
COL, 60–75, 20 |
1780 |
165 |
– |
– |
– |
COL, 50–75, 20 |
2885 |
246 |
1106 |
82 |
13.5 |
COL, 50–75, 10 |
3756 |
271 |
871 |
25 |
34.7 |
COL, 50–85, 10 |
4114 |
273 |
358 |
2 |
Near-efficientb |
COL, 50–75, 5 |
5572 |
281.6 |
1816 |
10 |
178.8 |
COL, 50–85, 5 |
6031 |
282.1 |
459 |
0.5 |
975.7 |
COL = colonoscopy; ΔCOL = incremental number of colonoscopies compared with the next-best nondominated strategy; LYG = life-years gained compared with no
screening;
ΔLYG = incremental number of life-years gained compared with the next-best nondominated strategy; MISCAN = Microsimulation Screening Analysis;
SimCRC = Simulation Model of Colorectal Cancer.
a. Bold indicates recommendable strategy. Age and intervals expressed as years.
b. Strategy yields life-years gained within 98% of the efficient frontier.
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