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Seabirds
and El Nino
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Because
this most recent El Niño event was forecast
well in advance of its spread to temperate northern
Pacific realms, biologists had a chance to prepare
specific studies for assessment of ecosystem
response to changing marine conditions. Researchers
studying marine birds in the central and southern
portions of the California Current marine ecosystem
knew from previous El Niños and other
basin-scale events that birds can serve as
stand-ins for more difficult-to-study marine
organisms, and that certain reproductive and
population parameters can be used as timely
bio-indicators of both physical and biological
oceanographic change. Partners for these
investigations in the Central California region
included: NOAA/Environmental Research Laboratory,
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service/San Francisco Bay
National Wildlife Refuge, National Park
Service/Channel Islands National Park, National
Fish and Wildlife Foundation, and Friends of Point
Reyes Bird Observatory.
In Central California, we
studied the response of seabirds to El Niño
at Southeast Farallon (SEFI) and Año Nuevo
islands (ANI). ANI is home to the Rhinoceros
Auklet, a relative of puffins, and a species which
nests in underground burrows and approaches the
colony only under the protective cloak of darkness.
SEFI is located about 90 km north of ANI, beyond
the boundaries of the Monterey Bay National Marine
Sanctuary. This colony supports core populations of
Brandt's and Pelagic Cormorants, Western Gulls,
Common Murres, Cassin's Auklets, and Pigeon
Guillemots in Central California. During the
non-breeding season, individuals disperse to the
north and south, thus bringing SEFI birds into the
Monterey Bay region.
While seabird breeding at
these sites in 1997 was relatively unaffected by El
Niño, it was apparent early on that things
would be different in 1998. (See Figure 1 for
examples.) From March to June, mean sea surface
temperatures at SEFI were 1 - 2.5° C higher
than long-term (27-year) averages. By July and
August, however, temperatures had dropped to
average values. Warmer than normal winter and
spring ocean temperatures, and the corresponding
drop in ocean productivity (i.e., prey for birds)
resulted in moderate to substantial delays in
egg-laying. For example, the mean Common Murre and
Cassin's Auklet egg-laying dates were delayed by
two and eight weeks, respectively. Breeding
populations were also much reduced. Again,
considering the murre and auklet: the SEFI murre
population was about 20 percent lower than in 1997,
while the auklet population was almost 65 percent
smaller. Similarly, numbers of breeding Pigeon
Guillemot declined by over 75 percent, Brandt's
Cormorant by about 35 percent, and Pelagic
Cormorant by roughly 50 percent. For those that
attempted reproduction, success was very poor.
Pelagic Cormorant and Pigeon Guillemot experienced
near total reproductive failure. The reproductive
performance of Brandt's Cormorant was 30 percent of
the 27- year mean, whereas for the murre, this
value was 52 percent, and for Rhinoceros Auklet it
was 22 percent.
The only species which
demonstrated near normal productivity was Cassin's
Auklet, in which the value for 1998 exceeded the
long-term mean by 16 percent. However, given that
very few Cassin's Auklets attempted to breed,
island-wide offspring production was extremely low.
In short, these observations were quite similar,
with slight variations, to observations made on the
Farallon seabird community in other severe El
Niño years.
Our time series for
Rhinoceros Auklets on ANI is considerably more
limited, and efforts to enhance this population by
providing habitat (nest boxes) may complicate
interpretations. Nevertheless, El Niño's
influence was apparent there as well. While the
auklet population increased 98 percent from 1993 to
1997 (due to management efforts), it declined by 18
percent in 1998. Mean productivity for pairs in
nest boxes also increased from 0.33 to 0.64
young/pair between 1993 and 1997, yet dropped to
0.47 young/pair in 1998. In natural burrows,
productivity dropped from an average of 0.83
young/pair to 0.55 young/pair. Lastly, we noted a
major change in the chick diet for Rhinoceros
Auklets on ANI. In past years, northern anchovies
composed the vast majority of the prey items
brought to developing offspring, whereas in 1998
Pacific saury made up most of the diet. Saury
generally occur further offshore than anchovies,
requiring greater foraging effort by adults. This
mechanism may help explain reduced productivity in
this species on ANI in 1998.
El Niño, and its
counterpart, La Niña, generally persist on
time scales of one to two years; however, the
biological effects of El Niño may be further
complicated by oceanographic change which operates
on longer time scales. In particular, the 1998 El
Niño has come at the end of a period of
general ocean warming. Thus, while El Niño
serves to illustrate one endpoint in the natural
range of variation, it is only applicable to the
climate regime under which observations are
obtained. Few El Niños studied by marine
ornithologists occurred during a cool-water climate
regime. This highlights the need for continuing
long-term observations to evaluate El
Niño/La Niña effects under both warm
and cold water climate regimes. As highly-visible
upper trophic level predators, birds can be used as
accurate and immediate gauges to the timing and
intensity of both relatively short and longer-term
oceano-graphic anomalies.
William J. Sydeman
Director of Farallon/Marine Studies,
Point Reyes Bird Observatory
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