************************************************************************************************ ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - JULY 2005 ************************************************************************************************ Special notice: Due to the unique incentives offered by automobile dealers in July, the Census Bureau altered an option in its seasonal adjustment procedures to produce July adjusted estimates for Automotive and other motor vehicle dealers (combined NAICS industry groups 4411,4412). This alteration ensured that the published July adjusted estimates fully included the effects of the incentives. We used a statistical procedure to diminish the effect of the July 2005 observation in the computation of the seasonal factors for July and surrounding months since the appropriate statistical test showed that the unadjusted July value was atypical and this result was supported by independent sources. For technical details, see http://www.census.gov/retail. The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $357.0 billion, an increase of 1.8 percent (±0.7%) from the previous month and up 10.3 percent (±0.8%) from July 2004. Total sales for the May through July 2005 period were up 8.8 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The May to June 2005 percent change was unrevised from +1.7 percent (±0.3%). Retail trade sales were up 1.9 percent (±0.7%) from June and were up 10.7 percent (±0.8%) above last year. Gasoline station sales were up 20.3 percent (±3.1%) from July 2004 and sales of motor vehicle and parts dealers were up 17.9 percent (±2.8%) from last year. The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication. The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for August is scheduled to be released September 14, 2005 at 8:30 a.m. EDT. * The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different from zero. TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2005 (Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2) (In Millions of dollars) 2005 2005 2005 2004 2004 NAICS(1) Kind of Business Jul(3) Jun May Jul Jun Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 357,013 350,801 344,933 323,604 319,926 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 271,396 270,576 268,253 250,977 249,342 Retail ....................................... 323,245 317,092 311,296 291,912 288,580 GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 88,902 87,969 84,031 83,106 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 85,617 80,225 76,680 72,627 70,584 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 79,568 74,168 70,717 67,064 65,086 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 8,948 9,066 8,875 8,820 8,592 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,410 8,328 8,291 7,880 7,897 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,748 6,707 6,312 6,359 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,580 1,584 1,568 1,538 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 27,402 27,512 27,427 25,270 25,225 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 24,390 24,298 22,410 22,463 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 43,301 43,323 43,200 41,344 41,230 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 38,722 38,754 38,656 37,149 37,044 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,831 2,799 2,657 2,647 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 18,208 18,092 18,136 17,070 17,118 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 15,482 15,533 14,607 14,693 447 Gasoline stations................................ 31,898 31,161 30,557 26,523 26,657 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 16,726 16,805 16,629 15,653 15,576 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 852 837 785 768 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,131 3,092 2,891 2,924 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,000 2,004 1,938 1,935 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 6,813 6,778 6,831 6,736 6,609 452 General merchandise stores....................... 44,600 44,599 44,036 41,696 41,213 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 17,968 18,147 17,897 17,867 17,726 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 26,452 26,139 23,829 23,487 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) 23,006 22,734 20,570 20,272 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,446 3,405 3,259 3,215 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,710 9,570 9,565 8,877 8,833 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 21,612 21,633 21,069 19,416 19,046 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 13,551 13,335 12,299 12,172 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 33,768 33,709 33,637 31,692 31,346 TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2005 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 7 month total % Chg. 2005 2005 2005 2004 2004 NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2005 from Jul(2) Jun May Jul Jun Code 2004 (a) (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 2,363,105 7.3 360,496 359,512 353,294 333,020 325,584 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 1,808,037 7.4 269,599 271,410 272,511 252,710 248,937 Retail ....................................... 2,129,298 7.4 324,702 325,095 318,412 299,236 293,642 GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 84,773 84,574 80,227 78,458 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 555,068 7.2 90,897 88,102 80,783 80,310 76,647 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 513,078 7.2 84,660 81,585 74,677 74,374 70,748 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 66,778 60,595 62,452 58,727 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,517 6,106 5,936 5,899 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 59,302 3.3 8,841 8,939 8,618 8,873 8,463 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,835 4,661 4,936 4,661 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,104 3,957 3,937 3,802 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 53,124 5.7 7,888 7,803 7,554 7,446 7,419 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 6,289 6,144 5,952 5,952 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,514 1,410 1,494 1,467 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 191,058 8.5 28,237 31,906 32,410 26,974 29,296 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 27,439 26,849 24,068 25,316 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 297,498 4.2 44,664 43,592 44,089 43,223 41,110 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 267,571 3.9 39,884 38,987 39,506 38,784 36,933 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,831 2,749 2,840 2,618 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 124,578 5.5 17,625 17,857 18,317 16,848 16,913 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 15,234 15,688 14,329 14,443 447 Gasoline stations................................ 211,141 16.8 34,290 32,688 31,902 28,857 27,963 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 104,415 5.4 15,335 15,574 16,014 14,636 14,214 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 816 792 706 723 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,062 3,175 2,616 2,801 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 5,849 5,849 5,693 5,189 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 1,912 2,010 1,952 1,829 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 41,956 1.5 6,241 6,134 5,977 6,177 6,060 452 General merchandise stores....................... 286,636 6.2 42,846 43,314 43,333 40,111 39,393 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 112,720 0.1 16,421 17,108 16,913 16,440 16,286 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 17,292 17,098 16,651 16,511 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 26,206 26,420 23,671 23,107 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) (*) (*) 22,822 22,984 20,549 19,988 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,384 3,436 3,122 3,119 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 63,538 5.9 9,328 9,624 9,968 8,749 8,835 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 140,984 11.8 18,510 19,562 19,447 17,032 17,329 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 12,724 12,708 11,278 11,478 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 233,807 6.7 35,794 34,417 34,882 33,784 31,942 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate TABLE 2. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2005 (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.) Jul Jun 2005 2005 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun Code 2005 2004 2005 2004 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... +1.8 +10.3 +1.7 +9.7 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.3 +8.1 +0.9 +8.5 Retail .................................. +1.9 +10.7 +1.9 +9.9 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +6.7 +17.9 +4.6 +13.7 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +7.3 +18.6 +4.9 +14.0 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -1.3 +1.5 +2.2 +5.5 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +1.0 +6.7 +0.4 +5.5 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -0.4 +8.4 +0.3 +9.1 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -0.1 +4.7 +0.3 +5.1 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -0.1 +4.2 +0.3 +4.6 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.6 +6.7 -0.2 +5.7 447 Gasoline stations................................ +2.4 +20.3 +2.0 +16.9 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -0.5 +6.9 +1.1 +7.9 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.5 +1.1 -0.8 +2.6 452 General merchandise stores....................... 0.0 +7.0 +1.3 +8.2 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -1.0 +0.6 +1.4 +2.4 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +1.5 +9.4 +0.1 +8.3 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -0.1 +11.3 +2.7 +13.6 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.2 +6.6 +0.2 +7.5 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1 of this report. Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. Jul Jun 2005 2005 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun Code 2005 2004 2005 2004 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.3 +8.3 +1.8 +10.4 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -0.7 +6.7 -0.4 +9.0 Retail .................................. -0.1 +8.5 +2.1 +10.7 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +3.2 +13.2 +9.1 +14.9 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ +3.8 +13.8 +9.3 +15.3 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -1.1 -0.4 +3.7 +5.6 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +1.1 +5.9 +3.3 +5.2 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -11.5 +4.7 -1.6 +8.9 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +2.5 +3.3 -1.1 +6.0 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +2.3 +2.8 -1.3 +5.6 446 Health & personal care stores.................... -1.3 +4.6 -2.5 +5.6 447 Gasoline stations................................ +4.9 +18.8 +2.5 +16.9 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -1.5 +4.8 -2.7 +9.6 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +1.7 +1.0 +2.6 +1.2 452 General merchandise stores....................... -1.1 +6.8 0.0 +10.0 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -4.0 -0.1 +1.2 +5.0 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -3.1 +6.6 -3.5 +8.9 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -5.4 +8.7 +0.6 +12.9 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +4.0 +5.9 -1.3 +7.7 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1 of this report. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--JULY 2005 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713.