ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES SUMMARY - SEPTEMBER 2000 The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail sales for September, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $273.2 billion, an increase of 0.9 percent (+/- 0.7%) from the previous month and up 7.6 percent (+/- 0.9%) from September 1999. Total sales for the July through September period were up 7.6 percent (+/- 0.7%) from the same period a year ago. The July to August 2000 percent change was revised from +0.2 percent (+/- 0.7%) to +0.1 percent (+/- 0.2%). Durable goods increased 0.9 percent (+/- 1.4%) from August and were 5.5 percent above last year. Furniture sales were up 6.0 percent from September a year ago, while automotive sales were up 5.8 percent from last year. Nondurable goods increased 0.9 percent (+/- 0.6%) from August and were up 9.1 percent from September 1999. Gasoline sales were up 16.9 percent from September a year ago, while drug stores sales were up 11.9 percent from last year. The advance estimates are based on a small subsample of the Bureau's full retail sales sample. Estimates from the advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the earlier reporting in the advance and because of sampling variability present in both surveys. The Advance Monthly Retail Sales Report for October is scheduled to be released November 14, 2000 at 8:30 a.m. TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--September 2000 Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 2000 2000 2000 SIC Kind of business Sep Aug Jul code adv. prel. final Retail trade, total........... 273,237 270,854 270,645 Total (excl. auto dealers). 205,340 203,908 203,411 Durable goods, total........ 112,462 111,441 111,700 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,208 15,309 15,259 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 12,106 12,084 525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,320 1,309 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 67,897 66,946 67,234 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 64,272 63,384 63,700 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (NA) (NA) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,562 3,534 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 14,644 14,523 14,437 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 7,050 7,033 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) 6,400 6,335 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (NA) (NA) Nondurable goods, total..... 160,775 159,413 158,945 53 General merchandise group stores.. 34,323 34,243 34,154 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 26,690 26,584 26,444 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 27,024 26,898 533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,394 1,378 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 6,265 6,332 54 Food stores....................... 40,468 40,338 40,373 541 Grocery stores.................. 38,325 38,196 38,218 554 Gasoline service stations......... 18,544 18,169 18,454 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,915 11,871 11,702 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) 943 952 562,3 Women's clothing, accessory stores........................ (*) 3,334 3,271 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (NA) (NA) 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,814 1,791 58 Eating and drinking places........ 25,841 25,577 25,698 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 11,360 11,238 11,072 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,570 2,546 5961 Total mail order................... (*) 9,292 9,073 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 70,182 69,901 594 1999 1999 SIC Kind of business code Sep(r) Aug(r) Retail trade, total........... 253,992 253,458 Total (excl. auto dealers). 189,847 188,532 Durable goods, total........ 106,616 107,252 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 14,746 14,996 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 11,386 11,646 525 Hardware stores................. 1,290 1,301 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 64,145 64,926 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 60,804 61,581 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (NA) (NA) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,341 3,345 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 13,821 13,637 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 6,628 6,557 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ 6,129 6,031 5722 Household appliance stores.... (NA) (NA) Nondurable goods, total..... 147,376 146,206 53 General merchandise group stores.. 31,935 31,709 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 24,980 24,776 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 25,485 25,232 533 Variety stores.................. 1,217 1,206 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,738 5,727 54 Food stores....................... 38,640 38,114 541 Grocery stores.................. 36,679 36,183 554 Gasoline service stations......... 15,859 15,652 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,277 11,360 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... 911 927 562,3 Women's clothing, accessory stores........................ 3,006 3,071 565 Family clothing stores.......... (NA) (NA) 566 Shoe stores..................... 1,785 1,801 58 Eating and drinking places........ 24,022 23,859 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 10,156 10,108 592 Liquor stores..................... 2,370 2,331 5961 Total mail order................... 7,746 7,726 53,56,57, GAF................................ 65,917 65,491 594 TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--September 2000 Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 2000 2000 2000 SIC Kind of business Sep Aug Jul code adv. prel. final Retail trade, total........... 264,568 279,668 267,893 Total (excl. auto dealers). 198,052 206,967 199,849 Durable goods, total........ 109,090 118,093 111,652 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,451 16,437 16,267 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 13,208 13,014 525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,370 1,381 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 66,516 72,701 68,044 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 62,858 68,772 64,337 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) 58,711 54,506 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,929 3,707 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 14,073 14,644 13,679 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 7,247 6,885 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) 6,362 5,879 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) 1,064 1,007 Nondurable goods, total..... 155,478 161,575 156,241 53 General merchandise group stores.. 31,173 33,516 31,556 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 24,181 25,973 24,196 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 26,445 24,632 533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,334 1,275 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 6,209 6,085 54 Food stores....................... 40,056 41,221 41,604 541 Grocery stores.................. 38,018 39,113 39,479 554 Gasoline service stations......... 18,804 19,386 19,561 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,522 12,845 10,839 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) 945 858 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ (*) 3,297 2,967 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) 4,982 4,267 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 2,251 1,764 58 Eating and drinking places........ 25,634 26,702 26,932 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 10,826 11,058 10,607 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,578 2,612 5961 Total mail order................... (*) 8,772 7,748 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 70,168 64,423 594 1999 1999 SIC Kind of business code Sep Aug Retail trade, total........... 245,799 256,859 Total (excl. auto dealers). 182,499 188,695 Durable goods, total........ 104,113 110,628 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,275 15,749 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 11,887 12,415 525 Hardware stores................. 1,293 1,313 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 63,300 68,164 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 59,892 64,598 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... 51,654 55,541 553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,408 3,566 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 13,247 13,501 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 6,515 6,603 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ 5,712 5,910 5722 Household appliance stores.... 934 961 Nondurable goods, total..... 141,686 146,231 53 General merchandise group stores.. 29,071 30,652 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 22,607 23,958 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 23,034 24,421 533 Variety stores.................. 1,110 1,122 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,354 5,572 54 Food stores....................... 37,972 38,254 541 Grocery stores.................. 36,129 36,364 554 Gasoline service stations......... 15,938 16,622 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 10,754 12,023 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... 827 910 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ 2,832 2,960 565 Family clothing stores.......... 4,265 4,794 566 Shoe stores..................... 1,698 2,169 58 Eating and drinking places........ 23,445 24,861 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,679 9,785 592 Liquor stores..................... 2,268 2,280 5961 Total mail order................... 7,607 7,077 53,56,57, GAF................................ 60,810 64,487 594 TABLE 1C. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--September 2000 Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 9 month total Change SIC Kind of business 2000 from code 1999 Retail trade, total........... 2375740 9.3 Total (excl. auto dealers). 1755680 9.4 Durable goods, total........ 1005320 8.3 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 140,504 3.8 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) (*) 525 Hardware stores................. (*) (*) 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 620,060 8.9 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 588,215 9.1 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (*) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) (*) 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 124,054 9.3 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) (*) 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) (*) 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (*) Nondurable goods, total..... 1370420 10.0 53 General merchandise group stores.. 277,404 8.0 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 214,640 7.2 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) (*) 533 Variety stores.................. (*) (*) 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) (*) 54 Food stores....................... 358,021 6.2 541 Grocery stores.................. 339,546 6.0 554 Gasoline service stations......... 162,834 23.1 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 98,092 5.1 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) (*) 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ (*) (*) 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (*) 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) (*) 58 Eating and drinking places........ 230,068 8.5 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 96,002 9.5 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) (*) 5961 Total mail order................... (*) (*) 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) (*) 594 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised. TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--September 2000 Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Sep Aug 2000 2000 adv. prel. from-- from-- SIC Kind of business Aug Sep Jul Aug CODE 2000 1999 2000 1999 Prel. Final Final Final Retail trade, total........... +0.9 +7.6 +0.1 +6.9 Total (excl. auto dealers). +0.7 +8.2 +0.2 +8.2 Durable goods, total........ +0.9 +5.5 -0.2 +3.9 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. -0.7 +3.1 +0.3 +2.1 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ +1.4 +5.8 -0.4 +3.1 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. +1.4 +5.7 -0.5 +2.9 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. +0.8 +6.0 +0.6 +6.5 Nondurable goods, total..... +0.9 +9.1 +0.3 +9.0 53 General merchandise group stores.. +0.2 +7.5 +0.3 +8.0 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). +0.4 +6.8 +0.5 +7.3 531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +0.5 +7.1 54 Food stores....................... +0.3 +4.7 -0.1 +5.8 541 Grocery stores.................. +0.3 +4.5 -0.1 +5.6 554 Gasoline service stations......... +2.1 +16.9 -1.5 +16.1 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... +0.4 +5.7 +1.4 +4.5 58 Eating and drinking places........ +1.0 +7.6 -0.5 +7.2 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... +1.1 +11.9 +1.5 +11.2 Not Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Sep Aug 2000 2000 adv. prel. from-- from-- SIC Kind of business Aug Sep Jul Aug CODE 2000 1999 2000 1999 Prel. Final Final Final Retail trade, total........... -5.4 +7.6 +4.4 +8.9 Total (excl. auto group).. -4.3 +8.5 +3.6 +9.7 Durable goods, total........ -7.6 +4.8 +5.8 +6.7 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. -6.0 +1.2 +1.0 +4.4 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ -8.5 +5.1 +6.8 +6.7 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. -8.6 +5.0 +6.9 +6.5 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. -3.9 +6.2 +7.1 +8.5 Nondurable goods, total..... -3.8 +9.7 +3.4 +10.5 53 General merchandise group stores.. -7.0 +7.2 +6.2 +9.3 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). -6.9 +7.0 +7.3 +8.4 531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +7.4 +8.3 54 Food stores....................... -2.8 +5.5 -0.9 +7.8 541 Grocery stores.................. -2.8 +5.2 -0.9 +7.6 554 Gasoline service stations......... -3.0 +18.0 -0.9 +16.6 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... -10.3 +7.1 +18.5 +6.8 58 Eating and drinking places........ -4.0 +9.3 -0.9 +7.4 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... -2.1 +11.9 +4.3 +13.0 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Retail Sales--September 2000 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 457-2713/2666.