CB-02-154FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION 8:30 A.M. ET, Thursday, December 12, 2002
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for November, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $302.5 billion, up 0.4 percent (±1.0%) from the previous month and up 2.1 percent (±1.1%) from November 2001. Total sales for the September through November 2002 period were up 2.1 percent (±0.6%) from the same period a year ago. The September to October 2002 percent change was revised from virtually unchanged (±1.0%) to +0.1 percent (±0.2%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.4 percent (±1.2%) from October and were 1.8 percent (±1.2%) above last year. Gasoline stations sales were up 11.8 percent (±2.1%) from last year and sales of nonstore retailers were up 8.7 percent (±7.1%) from November 2001.
The scheduled release dates for 2003 are as follows: January 14, February 13, March 13, April 11, May 14, June 12, July 15, August 13, September 12, October 15, November 14, December 11.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section at the end of this page.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2002
Data adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Millions of dollars) 2002 2002 2002 2001 2001 NAICS Kind of Business Nov Oct Sep Code adv. prel. final Nov(r) Oct(r) Retail & food services, total.................... 302,529 301,421 301,181 296,406 304,043 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 231,373 230,227 228,464 220,365 220,258 Retail ....................................... 274,467 273,437 273,048 269,632 277,416 GAFO............................................. (*) 80,764 79,404 77,592 76,440 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 71,156 71,194 72,717 76,041 83,785 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 65,038 65,049 66,532 70,055 77,763 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 8,209 8,026 8,013 7,740 7,592 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,980 7,908 7,830 7,683 7,356 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 5,662 5,610 5,413 5,298 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 2,246 2,220 2,270 2,058 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 26,782 26,457 26,441 25,051 25,079 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 23,046 23,014 21,752 21,752 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 40,524 40,150 40,113 39,929 39,878 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 36,377 36,057 36,004 35,926 35,950 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,631 2,644 2,604 2,569 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 15,716 15,666 15,634 14,668 14,717 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 13,199 13,273 12,321 12,504 447 Gasoline stations................................ 20,141 20,054 19,639 18,018 18,797 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 14,582 14,768 13,992 13,897 14,074 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 846 845 873 887 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,788 2,761 2,766 2,763 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 1,801 1,753 1,799 1,763 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,412 7,449 7,453 7,621 7,243 452 General merchandise stores....................... 38,868 38,754 38,283 37,044 36,647 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 18,662 18,919 18,705 19,348 19,149 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 19,835 19,578 17,696 17,498 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) 16,517 16,313 14,609 14,484 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,318 3,265 3,087 3,014 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,384 9,526 9,576 9,327 9,442 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 13,713 13,485 13,357 12,613 12,806 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 9,365 9,323 8,802 8,877 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 28,062 27,984 28,133 26,774 26,627 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2002
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 11 month total % Chg. 2002 2002 2002 2001 2001 NAICS Kind of Business 2002 from Nov Oct Sep Code 2001 adv. prel. final Nov Oct Retail & food services, total.................... 3,251,836 3.2 301,767 300,307 285,453 297,547 302,176 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 2,448,474 3.8 238,136 229,075 215,539 228,585 218,353 Retail ....................................... 2,943,144 3.0 274,435 272,071 257,995 271,630 275,416 GAFO............................................. (*) (*) (*) 77,042 71,546 87,162 72,591 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 803,362 1.3 63,631 71,232 69,914 68,962 83,823 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 735,157 1.3 57,819 64,724 63,871 63,120 77,530 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 55,133 54,435 54,736 68,338 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,508 6,043 5,842 6,293 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 85,854 4.5 9,112 7,986 7,564 8,522 7,630 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,302 4,159 4,639 4,127 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,684 3,405 3,883 3,503 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 80,879 7.4 8,826 7,268 7,069 8,405 6,768 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 5,056 4,942 6,149 4,747 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,212 2,127 2,256 2,021 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 291,233 5.4 24,799 27,721 25,748 23,720 26,347 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 24,682 23,106 21,186 23,383 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 436,971 2.0 40,988 39,876 38,461 40,185 39,257 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 393,671 1.8 36,704 35,949 34,672 36,070 35,483 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,563 2,446 2,745 2,505 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 166,408 8.3 15,292 15,588 14,696 14,360 14,673 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 13,186 12,450 12,124 12,491 447 Gasoline stations................................ 213,425 -3.4 19,255 20,616 19,757 17,315 19,229 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 148,534 3.0 16,002 14,156 12,601 15,501 13,368 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 851 769 994 882 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,766 2,598 2,921 2,744 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 5,250 4,379 5,642 4,672 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 1,668 1,590 1,745 1,613 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 75,264 5.0 8,220 6,652 6,857 8,383 6,432 452 General merchandise stores....................... 397,429 6.8 43,666 37,193 33,901 42,479 34,916 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 194,062 -1.4 21,633 17,956 16,228 23,194 17,969 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (*) (*) 18,280 16,525 23,637 18,320 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 19,237 17,673 19,285 16,947 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) (*) (*) 15,972 14,780 15,763 14,035 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,265 2,893 3,522 2,912 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 101,109 0.9 9,463 9,574 9,007 9,604 9,418 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 142,676 1.6 15,181 14,209 12,420 14,194 13,555 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 9,815 8,848 10,122 9,383 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 308,692 5.5 27,332 28,236 27,458 25,917 26,760 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (r) Revised.TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2002
Data adjusted for seasonal variatons, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Percent Change) Nov Oct 2002 2002 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct Code 2002 2001 2002 2001 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.4 +2.1 +0.1 -0.9 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.5 +5.0 +0.8 +4.5 Retail .................................. +0.4 +1.8 +0.1 -1.4 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -0.1 -6.4 -2.1 -15.0 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... 0.0 -7.2 -2.2 -16.3 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +2.3 +6.1 +0.2 +5.7 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.9 +3.9 +1.0 +7.5 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +1.2 +6.9 +0.1 +5.5 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.9 +1.5 +0.1 +0.7 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.9 +1.3 +0.1 +0.3 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.3 +7.1 +0.2 +6.4 447 Gasoline stations................................ +0.4 +11.8 +2.1 +6.7 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -1.3 +4.9 +5.5 +4.9 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -0.5 -2.7 -0.1 +2.8 452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.3 +4.9 +1.2 +5.7 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -1.4 -3.5 +1.1 -1.2 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.5 +0.6 -0.5 +0.9 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +1.7 +8.7 +1.0 +5.3 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.3 +4.8 -0.5 +5.1 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (Percent Change) Nov Oct 2002 2002 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct Code 2002 2001 2002 2001 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.5 +1.4 +5.2 -0.6 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +4.0 +4.2 +6.3 +4.9 Retail .................................. +0.9 +1.0 +5.5 -1.2 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -10.7 -7.7 +1.9 -15.0 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -10.7 -8.4 +1.3 -16.5 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +14.1 +6.9 +5.6 +4.7 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +21.4 +5.0 +2.8 +7.4 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -10.5 +4.5 +7.7 +5.2 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +2.8 +2.0 +3.7 +1.6 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +2.1 +1.8 +3.7 +1.3 446 Health & personal care stores.................... -1.9 +6.5 +6.1 +6.2 447 Gasoline stations................................ -6.6 +11.2 +4.3 +7.2 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +13.0 +3.2 +12.3 +5.9 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +23.6 -1.9 -3.0 +3.4 452 General merchandise stores....................... +17.4 +2.8 +9.7 +6.5 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +20.5 -6.7 +10.6 -0.1 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.2 -1.5 +6.3 +1.7 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +6.8 +7.0 +14.4 +4.8 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -3.2 +5.5 +2.8 +5.5 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--NOVEMBER 2002 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713.
Source of Data: The Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey each month to provide an early indication of sales of retail and food service companies. The Advance Monthly Retail Survey is a voluntary survey of a sub-sample of about 5,000 firms selected from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey. Firms responding to this survey account for approximately 65% of the dollar volume estimate. Reliability of Estimates: The reliability of the estimates is a function of sampling and nonsampling errors. The margin of sampling error, as included on page 1, gives a range about the estimate which is a 90% confidence interval. If, for example, the trend estimated is +1.2% and the standard error is 0.9%, then the margin of sampling error is ±1.65 x 0.9% or ±1.5%, and the 90% confidence interval is -0.3% to +2.7%. If the interval contains 0, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. For monthly level, the coefficient of variation (CV) is given. The resulting confidence interval is the estimated value ± 1.65 x CV x (the estimated value). Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. Nonsampling error, on the other hand, can occur because of nonresponse,insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors. Although not directly measured, precautionary steps are taken to minimize nonsampling error. Additional survey information is available at www.census.gov/svsd/www/advtable.html.
3rd Quarter 2002 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
