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Using Simulation and Decision Modeling to Inform Decision Making


Slide Presentation from the AHRQ 2008 Annual Conference


On September 8, 2008, Ann Zauber, PhD; Shalini Kulasingam, PhD; and Diana Petitti,, MD, MPH, made this presentation at the 2008 Annual Conference. Select to access the PowerPoint® presentation (1.2 MB).


Slide 1

Using Simulation and Decision Modeling to Inform Decision Making

AHRQ Annual Meeting
Sept. 8, 2008

Slide 2

This Morning's Session

  • Can Clinical Trials really answer all relevant questions?
  • What if the patient is older/younger/sicker/ better/etc. than in the trials?
  • What if the technology has changed?
  • What if management strategy has changed?
  • Can simulation modeling help fill in the gaps?

Slide 3

From the Modeler's Side
  • Many decision models in the literature:
    • Single use "one off" models
    • More global natural history models designed for wide range of questions
  • Can decision models inform decisions?
    • Working with the decision makers to determine:
      • Relevant alternatives and inputs
      • Relevant outcomes
    • Case study today of working with the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) to examine Cancer Screening

Slide 4

Today's Agenda

  • Diana Petitti, MD, MPH (briefly) Professor of Biomedical Informatics, Arizona State University
    Vice Chair, USPSTF
    Author of Meta-Analysis, Decision Analysis, and Cost-Effectiveness
    Analysis
  • Ann Zauber, PhD
    Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, NY
    Coordinator of Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) Colorectal Cancer Modeling Groups
  • Shalini Kulasingam, PhD
    University of Minnesota
    Investigator on the Duke Cervical Cancer Model
  • Diana Petitti
  • Slide 5

    • Zauber
    • Kulasingam
    • Petitti

    Current as of December 2008


    Internet Citation:

    Using Simulation and Decision Modeling to Inform Decision Making. Slide Presentation from the AHRQ 2008 Annual Conference (Text Version). January 2009. Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, Rockville, MD. http://www.ahrq.gov/about/annualmtg08/090808slides/Kulasingam2.htm


     

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