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Options for Restructuring the Army
  May 2005  


Cover Graphic



Notes

Unless otherwise indicated, all dollar figures in this report are in 2006 dollars of budget authority, and all years are federal fiscal years (which run from October 1 to September 30).

Numbers in the text and tables may not add up to totals because of rounding.

The Congressional Budget Office's (CBO's) estimates of defense investment and operations costs through 2022 are based on the fiscal year 2005 Future Years Defense Program, on CBO's projections of the long-term implications of that program, and on widely used cost relationships and methods. However, such long-term projections are inherently uncertain.

The cover photo, showing a member of the Army's 2nd Infantry Division in Tall Afar, Iraq, was taken by Sgt. Jeremiah Johnson. It is used courtesy of the U.S. Army.





                
Preface

The U.S. Army has seen its missions grow in number and intensity in recent years with the global war on terrorism and the invasion and occupation of Iraq. The resulting levels of stress that have been placed on the Army's active and reserve components have generated public debate about whether the Army's present organization is adequate for the roles that the service is playing now and will play in the foreseeable future. At the same time, the Army has begun an extensive restructuring effort, called "modularity," that is designed to significantly alter how the service is organized and how it operates in the field.

This Congressional Budget Office (CBO) study--prepared at the request of the House Committee on Armed Services--examines the Army's capability to fight wars, sustain long deployments, and deploy rapidly to overseas operations, as well as its dependence on personnel and units in the reserve component. This study also analyzes eight options for restructuring the Army, each of which would either increase the Army's ability to perform some types of missions or decrease its reliance on the reserve component. The options offer a broad overview of the general types of policy choices and trade-offs that decisionmakers will face when considering the size, structure, and capability of any plan for reorganizing the Army. In keeping with CBO's mandate to provide impartial analysis, this study makes no recommendations.

Adam Talaber of CBO's National Security Division wrote the study, under the general supervision of J. Michael Gilmore. Jason Wheelock and David Newman of CBO's Budget Analysis Division prepared the cost estimates, under the general supervision of Jo Ann Vines. Frances Lussier provided guidance and advice during the writing of this report, and Douglas Hamilton, David Moore, Barbara Edwards, Arlene Holen, and Elizabeth Robinson provided thoughtful comments on an earlier draft. In addition, Andrew Krepinevich of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments and John Tillson of the Institute for Defense Analyses offered valuable insights and comments. (The assistance of external participants implies no responsibility for the final product, which rests solely with CBO.)

Janey Cohen and Christian Spoor edited the study, and Christine Bogusz proofread it. Cindy Cleveland produced drafts of the manuscript. Maureen Costantino produced the cover and prepared the study for publication, and Annette Kalicki prepared the electronic version for CBO's Web site.

Douglas Holtz-Eakin
Director
May 2005




CONTENTS
 
  Summary
 
The Army's Current and Planned Structure

The Army's Force Structure Prior to Modularity

How Army Units Are Used in the Field

Concerns with the Premodular Structure

Planned Changes in the Army's Structure

 
Alternatives for the Army's Force Structure

Policy Choices and Their Implications

Measures for Evaluating the Effects of Changing the Army's Force Structure

Alternatives That Would Increase the Size of the Army

Alternatives That Would Reduce Dependence on the Reserve Component

Alternatives That Would Create New Types of Units

 
Detailed Descriptions of Current and Proposed Army Units

Theaters

Corps

Divisions

Brigades

New Units from the Options in This Analysis

 
The Army's Plan for Modularity

Overview of Modularity

Assumptions About the Impact of Modularity on the Army's Force Structure

Implications for Warfighting

Implications for the Army's Ability to Sustain Extended Deployments

Implications for the Army's Dependence on the Reserve Component

Implications for Deployment Speed

 
The Measures of Army Capability Used in This Study

Size and Composition of the Force

Cost of the Force

Ability to Fight Wars

Ability to Sustain Extended Deployments

 
How CBO Estimated the Costs of Options for Restructuring the Army

Methods for Estimating Investment Costs

Methods for Estimating Operation and Support Costs

Results of the Cost Analysis


Tables
   
S-1.  Number of Army Personnel and Units
S-2.  Alternative Force Structures Examined in This Analysis
S-3.  Comparison of Alternatives with the Army's Premodular Force Structure
1-1.  Number of Major Combat Units and Personnel in Those Units in Premodular and Modular Forces
2-1.  Size and Composition of the Premodular Army
2-2.  Cost of the Premodular Army
2-3.  The Premodular Army's Ability to Fight Wars
2-4.  The Premodular Army's Ability to Sustain Extended Deployments
2-5.  Sizes of Past U.S. Peacekeeping and Occupation Forces
2-6.  Effects of Alternative 1A on the Size and Composition of the Army
2-7.  Effects of Alternative 1A on the Cost of the Army
2-8.  Effects of Alternative 1A on the Army's Ability to Fight Wars
2-9.  Effects of Alternative 1A on the Army's Ability to Sustain Extended Deployments
2-10.  Effects of Alternative 1B on the Size and Composition of the Army
2-11.  Effects of Alternative 1B on the Cost of the Army
2-12.  Effects of Alternative 1B on the Army's Ability to Fight Wars
2-13.  Effects of Alternative 1B on the Army's Ability to Sustain Extended Deployments
2-14.  Effects of Alternative 2 on the Size and Composition of the Army
2-15.  Effects of Alternative 2 on the Cost of the Army
2-16.  Effects of Alternative 2 on the Army's Ability to Fight Wars
2-17.  Effects of Alternative 2 on the Army's Ability to Sustain Extended Deployments
2-18.  Effects of Alternative 3 on the Size and Composition of the Army
2-19.  Effects of Alternative 3 on the Cost of the Army
2-20.  Effects of Alternative 3 on the Army's Ability to Fight Wars
2-21.  Effects of Alternative 3 on the Army's Ability to Sustain Extended Deployments
2-22.  Effects of Alternative 4 on the Size and Composition of the Army
2-23.  Effects of Alternative 4 on the Cost of the Army
2-24.  Effects of Alternative 4 on the Army's Ability to Fight Wars
2-25.  Effects of Alternative 4 on the Army's Ability to Sustain Extended Deployments
2-26.  Effects of Alternative 5 on the Size and Composition of the Army
2-27.  Effects of Alternative 5 on the Cost of the Army
2-28.  Effects of Alternative 5 on the Army's Ability to Fight Wars
2-29.  Effects of Alternative 5 on the Army's Ability to Sustain Extended Deployments
2-30.  Effects of Alternative 6 on the Size and Composition of the Army
2-31.  Effects of Alternative 6 on the Cost of the Army
2-32.  Effects of Alternative 6 on the Army's Ability to Fight Wars
2-33.  Effects of Alternative 6 on the Army's Ability to Sustain Extended Deployments
2-34.  Effects of Alternative 7 on the Size and Composition of the Army
2-35.  Effects of Alternative 7 on the Cost of the Army
2-36.  Effects of Alternative 7 on the Army's Ability to Fight Wars
2-37.  Effects of Alternative 7 on the Army's Ability to Sustain Extended Deployments
B-1.  Potential Size of the Modular Army
B-2.  Number and Types of Brigades in Premodular and Modular Forces
D-1.  Summary of Incremental Costs or Savings for Options to Restructure the Army
   
Figures
   
A-1.  Symbols of Unit Size
A-2.  Symbols of Unit Type
A-3.  Structure of an Army Theater
A-4.  Structure of an Army Heavy Corps
A-5.  Structure of an Army Heavy Division Under Various Designs
A-6.  Structure of an Army Light Division Under the Army of Excellence Design
A-7.  Structure of an Army Heavy Brigade Under Various Designs
A-8.  Structure of an Army Armored Cavalry Regiment
A-9.  Structure of an Army Medium (Stryker) Brigade
A-10.  Structure of an Army Light Brigade Under Various Designs
A-11.  Structure of a Notional Stabilization and Reconstruction Division
A-12.  Structure of Notional Heavy and Light Army Expeditionary Forces
B-1.  Army Command Levels Before and After Modularity
C-1.  Amount of Equipment Deployed over Time by Airlift or Sealift
   
Box
   
1-1.  Army Command Levels

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