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USGS Water Resources Research: Recent Climate Change Publications Addressing Water Availability Issues
Many of the links below are to files in Adobe® Acrobat® (.pdf) format. If you do not have Adobe® Acrobat® you can download a free copy of Adobe® Acrobat® Reader® here. Most other links are to abstracts, where generally the full article is available with a subscription to the journal or for a fee.
2008
Barnett, T.P.,
Pierce, D.W., Hidalgo, H.G., Bonfils, C., Santer, B.D., Das, T., Bala, G.,
Wood, A.W., Nozawa, T., Mirin, A.A., Cayan, D.R., Dettinger, M.D., 2008,
Human-Induced Changes in the Hydrology of the Western United States:
Science, v. 316, p. 1080-1083. (pdf format, 685 KB)
Cayan,
D.R., Maurer, E.P., Dettinger, M.D., Tyree, M., and Hayhoe, K., 2008,
Climate change scenarios for the California region: Climatic Change, v. 87
(Suppl. 1), p. S21-S42.
Milly,
P.C.D., Betancourt, J., Falkenmark, M., Hirsch, R.M., Kundzewicz, Z.W.,
Lettenmaier, D.P., and Stouffer, R.J., 2008, Stationarity is dead: Whither
water management?: Science, v. 319, no. 5863, p. 573-574. (pdf format)
Peterson,
D.H., Stewart, I., and Murphy, F., 2008, Principal
hydrologic responses to climatic and geologic
variability in the Sierra Nevada, California: San
Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, v. 6, issue 1
(February), article 3, 21 p. (5955 KB - "San
Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science" is an open
access, peer-reviewed journal)
2007
Bidlake,
William R., Edward G. Josberger, and Mark E. Savoca
(2007) Water, Ice, and Meteorological Measurements at
South Cascade Glacier, Washington, Balance Years 2004
and 2005, USGS Scientific Investigations Report
2007-5055, 70 p. (pdf format, 5.7 MB)
Cunningham,
W.L., Geiger, L.H., and Karavitis, G.A., 2007,
U.S. Geological Survey Ground-Water Climate Response
Network: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet
2007-3003. (pdf format, 723 KB; or obtain a high resolution pdf file, 4.6 MB)
Dettinger, M.D., and
Earman, S., 2007, Western ground water and climate change - Pivotal to
supply sustainability or vulnerable in its own right?: Ground Water News
and Views, Association of Ground Water Scientists and Engineers
Newsletter, v. 4, no. 1, p. 4-5. (pdf format)
Hodgkins,
G.A., Dudley, R.W., and Aichele, S.S., 2007, Historical
Changes in Precipitation and Streamflow in the
U.S. Great Lakes Basin, 1915-2004: U.S. Geological
Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2007-5118, 31
p. (pdf format, 18.5 MB)
Maurer,
E.P., Stewart, I.T., Bonfils, C., Duffy, P.B., and Cayan, D.R., 2007:
Detection, attribution, and sensitivity of trends toward earlier
streamflow in the Sierra Nevada: Journal of Geophysical Research, v. 112,
D11118, doi:10.1029/2006JD008088.
McCabe,
G.J., Betancourt, J.L., and Hidalgo, H.G., 2007, Associations of decadal
to multidecadal sea-surface temperature variability with upper Colorado
River flow: Journal of the American Water Resources Association, v. 43,
no. 1, p. 183?192. doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2007.00015.x
McCabe,
G.J., Clark, M.P. and Hay, L.E., 2007,. Rain-on-snow events in the western
United States: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, v. 88, no.
3, p. 319-328. (pdf format, 3.41 MB, published by the American Meteorological Society with open access)
McCabe,
G.J., and Wolock, D.M., 2007, Warming may create substantial water supply
shortages in the Colorado River basin: Geophysical Research Letters, v.
34, L22708, doi:10.1029/2007GL031764. (pdf format, 182 KB, published by the American Geophysical Union, not subject to U.S. copyright)
2006
Hay,
L.E. , Leavesley, G.H., Clark, M.P., Markstrom, S.L.,
Viger, R.J., and Umemoto, M., 2006, Step-wise,
multiple-objective calibration of a hydrologic model for
a snowmelt-dominated basin: Journal of American Water
Resources, v. 42, no. 4, p. 877-890.
Hodgkins, G.A., and
Dudley, R.W.,2006, Changes in
the timing of winter-spring streamflows in eastern North
America, 1913-2002: Geophysical Research Letters, v. 33,
L06402, doi:10.1029/2005GL025593 (pdf format, 1322
KB, published by the American Geophysical Union, not
subject to U.S. copytright)
Hodgkins, G.A. and
Dudley, R.W., 2006, Changes in late-winter snowpack
depth, water equilvalent, and density in Maine,
1926-2004: Hydrological Processes, v. 20,
p. 741-751.
(pdf format, 702 KB, published by Wiley Inerscience as a U.S. Government work in the public domain)
Knowles,
N., Dettinger, M.D., and Cayan, D.R., 2006, Trends in snowfall versus
rainfall in the western United States: Journal of Climate, v. 18, p.
4,545-4,559.
McCabe,
G.J., and Clark, M.P., 2006, Shifting covariability of North American
summer monsoon precipitation with antecedent winter precipitation:
International Journal of Climatology, v. 26, no. 8, p.
991-999.
Woodhouse,
C.A., Gray, S.T., and Meko, D.M., 2006, Updated streamflow reconstructions
for the upper Colorado River basin: Water Resources Research, v. 42,
doi:10.1029/2005WR004455.
2005
Cohn, T.A.
and Lins, H.F., 2005, Nature's style: Naturally trendy,
Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L23402,
doi:10.1029/2005GL024476.
Dettinger,
M.D., 2005, Changes in streamflow timing in the western United States in
recent decades: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2005-3018. (pdf format, 739 KB)
Dudley,
R.W., and Hodgkins, G.A., 2005, Trends in streamflow,
river ice, and snowpack for coastal river basins in
Maine during the 20th century: U.S. Geological Survey
Fact Sheet 2005-3001. (pdf format, 723 KB)
Dudley,
R. W., Hodgkins, G. A., 2005, Trends in Timing,
Magnitude, and Duration of Summer and Fall/Winter
Streamflows for Unregulated Coastal River Basins in
Maine During the 20th Century, U.S. Geological Survey
Scientific Investigations Report 2005-5021, 26 p.
(pdf format, 1.4 MB)
Gibson,
C.A., Meyer, J.L., Poff, N.L., Hay, L.E., and Georgakakos, A., 2005, Flow
regime alterations under changing climate in two river basins:
implications for freshwater ecosystems: River Research and Applications,
v. 21, p. 849-864.
Hanson,
R.T. and Dettinger, M.D., 2005, Ground-water/surface-water responses to
global climate simulations, Santa Clara-Calleguas basin, Ventura County,
California, 1950-93: Journal of the American Water Resources Association,
v. 43, p. 517-536.
Hodgkins, G.A.,
Dudley, R.W., and Huntington, T.G., 2005, Changes in the
Number and Timing of Days of Ice-Affected Flow on
Northern New England Rivers, 1930-2000: Climatic Change,
v. 71, no. 3, p.319-340. (pdf file, 1664 KB,
published by Climatic Change; the U.S. Government right
to retain a non-exclusive royalty-free license in and to
any copyright is acknowledged.)
Hodgkins,
G.A., Dudley, R.W., Huntington, T.G. 2005, Summer low flows in New England
during the 20th Century: Journal of the American Water Resources
Association 41 (2), pp. 403-412.
Legates,
D.R., Lins, H.F., and McCabe, G.J., 2005, Comments on "Evidence for global
runoff increase related to climate warming" by Labat and others: Advances
in Water Resouces, v 28, no. 12, p. 1310-1315.
Lins,
H.F., 2005, Observed trends in hydrologic cycle
components, in M.G. Anderson, ed., Encyclopedia
of Hydrological Sciences, v. 5, part 17, sec. 197,
J. Wiley & Sons, London, p. 3035-3044. (pdf
format, 227 KB, a U.S. Government work in the public
domain)
Lins,
H.F. and Slack, J.R., 2005, Seasonal and regional
characteristics of U.S. streamflow trends in the United
States from 1940-1999: Physical Geography, 26,
489-501. (pdf format, 313 KB)
McCabe,
G.J., and Clark, M.P., 2005, Trends and variability in snowmelt runoff in
the western United States: Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 6, no. 4, p.
476-482.
Milly,
P.C.D., Dunne, K.A., and Vecchia, A.V., 2005, Global pattern of trends in
streamflow and water availability in a changing climate: Nature, v. 438,
no. 7066, p. 347-350. (paper in pdf format)
Stewart, I.,
Cayan, D., and Dettinger, M.D., 2005, Changes towards earlier streamflow
timing across western North America: Journal of Climate, v. 18, p.
1,136-1,155.
Webb,
R.H., Hereford, Richard, and McCabe, G.J., 2005, Climatic fluctuations,
drought, and flow in the Colorado River, in Gloss, S.P., Lovich, J.E., and
Melis, T.S., eds., The State of the Colorado River Ecosystem in Grand
Canyon: U.S. Geological Survey Circular 1282, p. 59-69. (on-line
article in pdf format)
2004
Dettinger, M.D.,
Cayan, D.R., Meyer, M.K., and Jeton, A.E., 2004, Simulated hydrologic
responses to climate variations and change in the Merced, Carson, and
American River basins, Sierra Nevada, California, 1900-2099: Climatic
Change, v. 62, no. 1, p. 283-317. (article in pdf format)
Dettinger, M.D.,
Redmond, K.T., and Cayan, D.R., 2004, Winter orographic-precipitation
ratios in the Sierra Nevada - Large-scale atmospheric circulations and
hydrologic consequences: Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 6, p.
1,102-1,116. (article, in pdf format)
Huntington,
T.G., Hodgkins, G.A., Keim, B.D., Dudley, R.W., 2004, Changes in the
proportion of precipitation occurring as snow in New England (1949-2000):
Journal of Climate 17 (13), pp. 2626-2636
Knowles, N., and
Cayan, D., 2004, Elevational dependence of projected hydrologic changes in
the San Francisco Estuary and watershed: Climatic Change, v. 62, no. 1, p.
319-336. (report in pdf format)
Manabe, S., Wetherald, R.T., Milly, P.C.D., Delworth, T.L., and Stouffer, R.J., 2004: Century-scale change in water availability: CO2-quadrupling experiment. Climatic Change, 64(1-2), 59-76. (article in pdf
format)
Stewart, I., Cayan,
D.R., and Dettinger, M.D., 2004, Changes in snowmelt runoff timing in
western North America under a "Business as usual" climate change scenario:
Climatic Change, v. 62, no. 1, p. 217-232. (pdf
format)
Webb, R.H., McCabe, G.J., Hereford, R., and Wilkowske, C., 2004, Climatic fluctuations, drought, and flow on the Colorado River: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2004-3062 (version 2). (pdf format, 823 KB)
2003
Clow, D.W., Schrott, L., Webb, R., Campbell, D.H., Torizzo, A., and Dornblaser, M., 2003, Groundwater occurrence and contributions to streamflow in an alpine catchment, Colorado Front Range: Ground Water, v. 41, no. 7, p. 937-950.
Huntington, T.G., 2003, Climate warming could reduce runoff significantly in New England, USA: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, v. 117, no. 3-4, p. 193-201.
Huntington, T.G., Hodgkins, G.A., Dudley, R.W., 2003, Historical trend in river ice thickness and coherence in hydroclimatological trends in Maine: Climatic Change, v. 61, no. 1-2, p. 217-236.
Hodgkins, G A, R. W. Dudley, and T. G. Huntington. 2003. Changes in the timing of high river flows in New England over the 20th century: Journal of Hydrology, v. 278, p. 244 - 252.
2002
Dudley, R.W., and Hodgkins, G.A. (2002) Trends in streamflow, river ice, and snowpack for coastal river basins in Maine during the 20th century: U.S. Geological Survey, Water-Resources Investigations Report 02-4245, 26 p (pdf format)
Hay, L.E., and McCabe, G.J., 2002, Spatial variability in water-balance model performance in the conterminous United States: Journal of the American Water Resources Association, v. 38, no. 3, p. 847-860.
Knowles, N., and Cayan, D.R., 2002, Potential effects of global warming on the Sacramento/San Joaquin watershed and the San Francisco estuary: Geophysical Research Letters, v. 29, no. 18, p, 1-5.
McCabe, G.J., and Dettinger, M.D., 2002, Primary modes and predictability of year-to-year snowpack variations in the western United States from teleconnections with Pacific Ocean climate: Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 3, p. 13-25. (pdf file)
McCabe, G.J., and Wolock, D.M., 2002, A step increase in streamflow in the conterminous United States: Geophysical Research Letters, v. 29, no. 24, p. 2185. (pdf format, 235 KB, published by the American Geophsyical Union, not subject to U.S. copyright)
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