Hurricane RITA

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HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182005
2100Z WED SEP 21 2005
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GULF OF
MEXICO COAST FROM PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
EAST OF CAMERON TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA AND FROM SOUTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO
NORTHWARD.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE RITA.
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  86.8W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  914 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 175SE 150SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  86.8W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  86.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.5N  88.5W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.2N  90.6W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.0N  92.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.0N  94.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.5N  97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 33.0N  97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 36.0N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N  86.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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