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Hurricane KATRINA
ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.0N 87.0W 43 X X X 43 BURAS LA X 3 11 4 18
26.0N 88.7W 19 9 1 X 29 NEW ORLEANS LA X 1 9 7 17
27.4N 89.9W 1 17 4 1 23 NEW IBERIA LA X X 9 7 16
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 4 9 13
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 3 3 GALVESTON TX X X 4 8 12
SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X X 3 8 11
MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 X 1 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 2 6 8
FT MYERS FL X 1 X 1 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 1 4 5
VENICE FL 1 1 1 1 4 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 1 2 3
TAMPA FL X 1 1 2 4 GULF 29N 85W X 2 4 5 11
CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 29N 87W X 6 6 4 16
ST MARKS FL X X 2 6 8 GULF 28N 89W 1 14 5 2 22
APALACHICOLA FL X 1 3 6 10 GULF 28N 91W X 10 9 2 21
PANAMA CITY FL X 1 3 7 11 GULF 28N 93W X 3 10 4 17
PENSACOLA FL X X 6 7 13 GULF 28N 95W X X 6 6 12
MOBILE AL X X 6 8 14 GULF 27N 96W X X 3 5 8
GULFPORT MS X 1 7 8 16 GULF 25N 96W X X 2 2 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER KNABB
$$
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