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Tropical Storm KATRINA
ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.1N 78.8W 47 X X X 47 CHARLESTON SC X X X 3 3
26.2N 79.7W 31 1 X X 32 KEY WEST FL 2 4 3 4 13
26.3N 80.7W 19 3 1 1 24 MARCO ISLAND FL 8 7 2 3 20
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 3 3 FT MYERS FL 7 8 3 3 21
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 2 2 VENICE FL 2 10 4 4 20
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 5 6 TAMPA FL 1 9 5 4 19
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 2 2 CEDAR KEY FL X 3 6 7 16
MYEG 235N 758W X X 1 1 2 ST MARKS FL X X 3 9 12
MYAK 241N 776W 5 1 1 2 9 APALACHICOLA FL X X 3 9 12
MYNN 251N 775W 99 X X X 99 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 8 10
MYGF 266N 787W 48 X X X 48 PENSACOLA FL X X X 6 6
MARATHON FL 5 4 3 3 15 MOBILE AL X X X 4 4
MIAMI FL 20 2 1 1 24 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
W PALM BEACH FL 26 2 X 1 29 BURAS LA X X X 4 4
FT PIERCE FL 19 3 2 1 25 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL 9 7 3 3 22 GULF 29N 85W X 1 4 8 13
DAYTONA BEACH FL 1 7 5 4 17 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 8 9
JACKSONVILLE FL X 1 4 7 12 GULF 28N 89W X X X 5 5
SAVANNAH GA X X 1 5 6 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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