Hurricane KATRINA

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HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122005
0300Z FRI AUG 26 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE
BEEN COMPLETED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
FLORIDA BAY FROM KEY WEST NORTHWARD...AND ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTH AND EASTWARD TO SOUTH OF FLORIDA
CITY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS THE FLORIDA
WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ANCLOTE KEY.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM
WATCH ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF JUPITER HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  80.7W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  80.7W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  80.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.4N  81.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 55NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.5N  83.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 26.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 28.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 31.5N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 37.0N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N  80.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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